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AUTUMN TO GIVE ANSWERS TO LOTS OF QUESTIONS
Vardan Barseghyan
Hayots Ashkhar Daily
26 Sep 2008
Armenia
In our view this autumn promises comparably complex and unpredictable
events to the subjects of the political life.
Pro-Levon opposition promises to abruptly liven up the struggle,
certain political developments are also anticipated in Azerbaijan
linked with the forthcoming presidential elections. Georgia is in a
sharp confrontation with Russia and its ex sovereign republics. Iran
is facing new intimidations by America, the future of Armenian-Turkish
relations is rather vague and finally based on the before mentioned
picture certain foreign powers have desire to imitate the settlement
of Karabkh conflict.
In the target of the before mentioned contradicting signals this
autumn Armenia's internal political life will unavoidably bear the
impact of the sharp competition taking place in the region and around
it, as well as the results of certain social-political developments
taking place inside the country, such as the mounting prices.
The political forces, which refused to join Armenian National
Congress, remained on their positions. They continued to keep certain
balance between the pro-governmental and pro-oppositional camps. This
circumstance of course raised the possibility of the future political
reforms in Armenia.
But the fans of revolutionary concussions don't like the unpredictable
process of the already l ost "autumn round". That is why Armenian
Pan National Movement together with its satellites, as well as the
architects of the complex geopolitical games taking place in the
region try to give "non-standard settlements".
Similar "non-standard settlement" is also noticed in the abrupt
swiftness employed in the regulation process of Karabakh conflict,
which is far not conditioned by the concerns to find swift solutions
to similar issues, but rather the desire to change the status quo of
Armenia and Azerbaijan.
After overcoming the post-election crises, Armenia will become a
more independent and self-confident player in the whole region of
South Caucasus.
But it is enough to press our country in terms of Karabakh issue,
to make the future events unpredictable.
We shouldn't also overlook the fact that the poor sector of the society
is very disapproved of the mounting prices and powerlessness of the
authorities to control the uncontrolled activity of the rich.
Similar facts can also serve as a reason to destabilize the country's
internal political situation.
There are certain political forces that can use the before mentioned
foreign pressures and internal developments as real possibility to
start revolutionary concussions.
So the comprehensive assessment of Armenia's internal and external
situation brings to the conclusion that this autumn can turn to the
period of serious20challenges. But if autumn turns to be quite and
peaceful, the destabilization of the internal political situation
will be excluded up to the next presidential elections.
Vardan Barseghyan
Hayots Ashkhar Daily
26 Sep 2008
Armenia
In our view this autumn promises comparably complex and unpredictable
events to the subjects of the political life.
Pro-Levon opposition promises to abruptly liven up the struggle,
certain political developments are also anticipated in Azerbaijan
linked with the forthcoming presidential elections. Georgia is in a
sharp confrontation with Russia and its ex sovereign republics. Iran
is facing new intimidations by America, the future of Armenian-Turkish
relations is rather vague and finally based on the before mentioned
picture certain foreign powers have desire to imitate the settlement
of Karabkh conflict.
In the target of the before mentioned contradicting signals this
autumn Armenia's internal political life will unavoidably bear the
impact of the sharp competition taking place in the region and around
it, as well as the results of certain social-political developments
taking place inside the country, such as the mounting prices.
The political forces, which refused to join Armenian National
Congress, remained on their positions. They continued to keep certain
balance between the pro-governmental and pro-oppositional camps. This
circumstance of course raised the possibility of the future political
reforms in Armenia.
But the fans of revolutionary concussions don't like the unpredictable
process of the already l ost "autumn round". That is why Armenian
Pan National Movement together with its satellites, as well as the
architects of the complex geopolitical games taking place in the
region try to give "non-standard settlements".
Similar "non-standard settlement" is also noticed in the abrupt
swiftness employed in the regulation process of Karabakh conflict,
which is far not conditioned by the concerns to find swift solutions
to similar issues, but rather the desire to change the status quo of
Armenia and Azerbaijan.
After overcoming the post-election crises, Armenia will become a
more independent and self-confident player in the whole region of
South Caucasus.
But it is enough to press our country in terms of Karabakh issue,
to make the future events unpredictable.
We shouldn't also overlook the fact that the poor sector of the society
is very disapproved of the mounting prices and powerlessness of the
authorities to control the uncontrolled activity of the rich.
Similar facts can also serve as a reason to destabilize the country's
internal political situation.
There are certain political forces that can use the before mentioned
foreign pressures and internal developments as real possibility to
start revolutionary concussions.
So the comprehensive assessment of Armenia's internal and external
situation brings to the conclusion that this autumn can turn to the
period of serious20challenges. But if autumn turns to be quite and
peaceful, the destabilization of the internal political situation
will be excluded up to the next presidential elections.