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  • Friends and Neighbours

    Turkey and Armenia

    Friends and neighbours

    Sep 25th 2008 | ANKARA AND YEREVAN
    >From The Economist print edition


    Rising hopes of better relations between two historic enemies


    KEMAL ATATURK , father of modern Turkey, rescued hundreds of Armenian women
    and children from mass slaughter by Ottoman forces during and after the
    first world war. This untold story, which is sure to surprise many of today's
    Turks, is one of many collected by the Armenian genocide museum in Yerevan
    that "will soon be brought to light on our website," promises Hayk Demoyan,
    its director.

    His project is one more example of shifting relations between Turkey and
    Armenia. On September 6th President Abdullah Gul became the first Turkish
    leader to visit Armenia when he attended a football match. Mr Gul's decision
    to accept an invitation from Armenia's president, Serzh Sarkisian, has
    raised expectations that Turkey may establish diplomatic ties and open the
    border it closed during the 1990s fighting between Armenia and Azerbaijan
    over Nagorno-Karabakh. The two foreign ministers were planning to meet in
    New York this week. Armenia promises to recognise Turkey's borders and to
    allow a commission of historians to investigate the fate of the Ottoman
    Armenians.

    Reconciliation between Turkey and Armenia could tilt the balance of power in
    the Caucasus. Russia is Armenia's closest regional ally. It has two bases
    and around 2,000 troops there. The war in Georgia has forced Armenia to
    rethink its position. Some 70% of its supplies flow through Georgia, and
    these were disrupted by Russian bombing. Peace with Turkey would give
    Armenia a new outside link. Some think Russia would be happy too. "It would
    allow Russia to marginalise and lean harder on Georgia," argues Alexander
    Iskandaryan, director of the Caucasus Media Institute.

    Mending fences with Armenia would bolster Turkey's regional clout. And it
    might also help to kill a resolution proposed by the American Congress to
    call the slaughter of the Armenians in 1915 genocide. That makes the
    Armenian diaspora, which is campaigning for genocide recognition, unhappy.
    Some speak of a "Turkish trap" aimed at rewriting history to absolve Turkey
    of wrongdoing. Indeed, hawks in Turkey are pressing Armenia to drop all talk
    of genocide.

    Even more ambitiously, the hawks want better ties with Armenia to be tied
    anew to progress over Nagorno-Karabakh. But at least Mr Gul seems determined
    to press ahead. "If we allow the dynamics that were set in motion by the
    Yerevan match to slip away, we may have to wait another 15-20 years for a
    similar chance to arise," he has said.
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