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Richard Giragosian: Armenia-Turkey Relations At A Turning Point

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  • Richard Giragosian: Armenia-Turkey Relations At A Turning Point

    RICHARD GIRAGOSIAN: ARMENIA-TURKEY RELATIONS AT A TURNING POINT
    Nvard Davtyan

    "Radiolur"
    08.04.2009 17:58

    The Armenian-Turkish relations are at a turning point, Richard
    Giragosian, Director of the Armenian Center for National and
    International Studies (ACNIS), told a press conference today. However,
    he predicted that this turn would take place by yearend, not before
    or after April 24.

    Why is the establishment of Armenian-Turkish relations becoming
    possible today? According to ACNIS Director, there are two main
    reasons. The first is that Turkey is changing. "We see Turkey
    undergoing a very profound internal revolution, where Turkish identity
    and the future direction of Turkey are being redefined. In other words,
    Turkey has become frustrated with looking to Brussels, and joining the
    European Union. Turkey is also redefining its role in the region. The
    Turkish effort in the region today is new because it is no longer
    meant for the US or to please Brussels," he said.

    According to Richard Giragosian, Turkey's every step towards
    rapprochement with Armenia alienates it from Azerbaijan. This is good
    for Armenia in the long-term, but the political scientist sees danger
    from Azerbaijan in the short-term.

    Turning to US President Barack Obama's visit to Turkey, Richard
    Giragosian said Obama's statement was clear. "His position on the
    Armenian Issue, as he said, has not changed. But20it is clear that
    Turkey is delaying any agreement. Turkey is waiting till after April
    24th to have maximum leverage over the Americans. For this reason
    we should not expect President Obama to use the genocide word." He
    noted, however, that Turkey is moving toward genocide recognition,
    but far too slowly.

    The next interesting thing, according to Richard Giragosian, was
    President Obama's recent phone call to Azerbaijani President Ilham
    Aliyev.

    Besides, US Co-Chair of the Minsk Group Matthew Bryza visited Baku
    recently.

    "The phone call and the visit are both part of the US plan to
    put pressure on Baku to allow Armenian-Turkish normalization," he
    said. The speaker noted there was interesting distinction between
    normalization and reconciliation, "Normalization implies open borders
    and diplomatic relations, while reconciliation means coming to terms
    with the Genocide.

    While I'm confident about normalization, I'm not confident about
    reconciliation," Giragosian stated.
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