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  • Opposition's Hope

    OPPOSITION'S HOPE
    by Ike Janpoladjan

    WPS Agency
    What the Papers Say (Russia)
    April 9, 2009 Thursday
    Russia

    ELECTION OF MAYOR OF YEREVAN, ARMENIA, WILL BE A POLITICAL BATTLE OF
    THE FIRST MAGNITUDE; Armenia is on the threshold of fierce political
    wars.

    Political tranquility in Armenia was shattered by the opposition whose
    leader Levon Ter-Petrosjan (the first president of sovereign Armenia)
    decided to run for the Council of Elders and mayor of Yerevan. The
    voting is scheduled for May 31. Corridors of power in Yerevan avidly
    discuss the recent disturbances in Moldova where the mayor of the
    capital city was identified as one of the organizers of protests. Even
    these speculations aside, however, what has always been a routine in
    Armenia is now anything but. Armenia faces the prospect of vicious
    political wars.

    Seven political forces will run for the Council of Elders. Four of them
    represent the ruling coalition - Republican Party, Prosperous Armenia,
    Armenian Revolutionary Front Dashnaktsutjun, and Orinats Yerkir (or
    Land of Law). A couple of small organizations nominated candidates
    too, and so did the Armenian National Congress, a conglomerate of 18
    political parties led by Ter-Petrosjan.

    One has to know Yerevan to understand what the whole fuss is about. It
    so happens that nearly 50% of the population of Armenia lives in
    Yerevan. Practically all of the political, financial and economic,
    academic and educational, cultural, and intellectual potential of
    the republic is to be found within Yerevan's city limits. In other
    words, Yerevan is essentially a state within the state. Should the
    Republican Party (the ruling party) win the election in Yerevan, its
    positions will be rock-solid even for the next nationwide election. The
    Republican Party nominated incumbent Mayor Gagik Beglarjan for another
    term of office.

    Victory of the opposition on the other hand will put into motion some
    serious and far-reaching processes. The Armenian National Congress
    all but admits that election of the mayor of Yerevan will be but "an
    instrumental phase of restoration of the constitutional regime". The
    opposition means business as may be judged from the words of Congress
    Coordinator Levon Zurabjan that "... election of the mayor of Yerevan
    will become the second round of the presidential election" (that took
    place in February 2008).

    "Once victory is ours, we will serve the authorities the schedule
    of their resignations," Zurabjan said. Chances of the opposition are
    estimated as fine. Leader of the party that polled 40% plus one vote
    automatically becomes the mayor of Yerevan. Even by official estimates
    of the presidential election last year (whose outcome the opposition
    questions), the opposition polled 43% throughout the country and
    48.2% in Yerevan. Dispersing the opposition rally last March, the
    authorities bagged, tried, and convicted literally hundreds activists
    of independent movement. All of that couldn't help earning the Armenian
    National Congress sympathies of the population. The latest developments
    - devaluation of the national monetary unit and price-rise - delivered
    a serious blow at the image of the regime and society's trust in it.

    Sociometer Center Director Agaron Adibekjan kept telling everyone
    within earshot in 2008 that there was absolutely no chance for
    Ter-Petrosjan to poll above 4-6% votes (he polled 22%). Adibekjan
    changed his tune now. "If the first president plays it real smart, he
    may poll more than 35% in election of the Council of Elders," he said.
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