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  • Turkey Blunts Obama's Diplomacy

    TURKEY BLUNTS OBAMA'S DIPLOMACY

    The National
    April 14 2009
    UAE

    Less than a week after Barack Obama's historic visit, Turkey has
    denied plans to open its border with neighbouring Armenia any time
    soon, thereby dropping one of the president's key requests.

    Reacting to pressure from ally Azerbaijan and the opposition at home,
    Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the prime minister, indicated at the weekend
    that the border will not be opened in the foreseeable future.

    "We will not sign a final agreement with Armenia as long as there is
    no agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia concerning the Nagorno
    Karabakh issue," Mr Erdogan told reporters, referring to a quarrel over
    an Armenian enclave in Azerbaijan that led to a war in the early 1990s.

    He said his government was only conducting "preparation work" that
    depended on progress between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

    Yasar Yakis, a former Turkish foreign minister and member of Mr
    Erdogan's Justice and Development Party, or AKP, said the opening
    of the border with Armenia was part of a "big package" that also
    contained a solution to the Nagorno Karabakh question.

    In an address to the Turkish parliament in Ankara, Mr Obama said last
    week that both Turkey and Armenia would benefit if the border was
    open. "An open border would return the Turkish and Armenian people
    to a peaceful and prosperous coexistence that would serve both of
    your nations," the president said.

    But by binding the border issue to a resolution of the long-running
    conflict surrounding Nagorno Karabakh, Ankara has in effect abandoned
    any effort for a speedy reconciliation with Armenia.

    In the absence of any concrete steps in that direction, Turkey also
    risks new tensions with Washington and an official recognition of
    the Ottoman genocide against the Armenians in 1915 by Mr Obama's
    administration, something that Ankara wants to avoid at all cost.

    Turkey rejects the term genocide for what happened to the Armenians
    during the First World War.

    Up to 1.5 million people died in death marches and massacres during
    that time.

    While Armenia and most scholars say the violence was part of a plan
    by the Ottoman government to annihilate the Armenian population in
    Anatolia, Turkey maintains the deaths were the consequences of a
    resettlement plan under wartime conditions.

    A recognition as genocide by the United States would be a big blow to
    Ankara's efforts to keep governments around the world from officially
    adopting that term in reference to the events of 1915.

    Mr Obama is to issue a statement on the plight of the Armenians on
    the anniversary of the start of the massacres on April 24.

    During his visit to Ankara last week, Mr Obama said his views had not
    changed since he called the massacres a genocide during his election
    campaign, but that he wanted to encourage the process of rapprochement
    between Turkey and Armenia that started last year.

    The president also hinted that major developments were in the
    offing. "I want to be as constructive as possible in moving these
    issues forward quickly," Mr Obama said.

    "And my sense is that they are moving quickly."

    One week on, things do not look that way any more.

    "Normalisation with Armenia is left for some other time," Semih Idiz,
    a foreign policy columnist, wrote in yesterday's Milliyet newspaper.

    Azerbaijan's president, Ilham Aliev, demonstrated his displeasure
    about a possible Turkish-Armenian reconciliation last week by staying
    away from an Istanbul meeting of the Alliance of Civilisations,
    a UN-sponsored initiative headed by Turkey and Spain and aimed at
    strengthening dialogue between the West and the Islamic world.

    As a close traditional ally of Turkey, Azerbaijan had been expected
    to send its president to take part in the meeting.

    Turkey closed its border with Armenia in 1993 in protest against the
    Armenian occupation of parts of Azerbaijan's territory during the
    war between those two states over Nagorno Karabakh.

    A ceasefire has been in place in Nagorno Karabakh since 1994, but
    the conflict itself has not been resolved.

    Azeri officials said the close relationship between Turkey and
    Azerbaijan, which are routinely described as "one nation in two states"
    by Turkish politicians, could suffer. "If the border [with Armenia]
    is opened, Azerbaijan may look again at its relations with Turkey,"
    Hasan Zeynalov, the Azeri consul general in the eastern Turkish city
    of Kars, told Turkish newspapers.

    Other officials from Azerbaijan indicated that there may be negative
    consequences for Turkey in the energy sector. In recent years,
    Turkey has become an important transit country for oil and gas from
    Azerbaijan to world markets.

    In Ankara, the Turkish opposition lost no time in criticising
    the government's overtures to Armenia. An opening of the border
    would be tantamount to a recognition of "the Armenian occupation in
    Azerbaijan", Deniz Baykal, leader of the Republican People's Party,
    or CHP, Turkey's main secularist opposition party, told reporters.

    Mr Erdogan's government is also dragging its feet on another issue
    raised by Mr Obama during his visit to Turkey last week.

    In his speech to parliament, the president also said the reopening
    of a school for Greek-Orthodox priests on an island near Istanbul
    would be an "important signal" for democratic reform.

    The fate of the school, which has been closed since 1971, also came
    up during a meeting of the president with the Greek-Orthodox patriarch
    Bartholomew I in Istanbul.

    But just days after Mr Obama's visit, Turkish newspapers quoted Mr
    Erdogan as saying there were no plans to reopen the school.

    The state minister in charge of religious affairs, Said Yazicioglu,
    said the fact that the US president had called for the reopening of
    the school "does not change anything".
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