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  • Saakavili's "Order No. 2" Georgian Plots?

    http://counterpunch.com/hallinan04282009.html

    Apr il 28, 2009
    Saakavili's "Order No. 2"
    Georgian Plots?


    By CONN HALLINAN


    At the bottom of the recent demonstrations that have packed the
    capital city of Tbilisi with tens of thousands of protesters demanding
    the resignation of Georgian President Mikheil Saakavili is an
    investigation by the European Union (EU) as to who started last
    summer's war between Georgia and Russia. According to a report in the
    German newspaper Der Spiegel, `A secret document may prove that the
    Georgian president had planned a war of aggression in South Ossetia.'

    The Russians charge that Georgian troops launched a surprise attack on
    South Ossetia last Aug. 7, while Saakavili claims that Georgia was
    merely defending itself from an invasion by 150 Russian tanks through
    the Roki Tunnel connecting South Ossetia with North Ossetia. The
    latter is part of Russia.

    But an investigation by the EU has uncovered `Order No. 2' dated Aug.
    7, that says that Georgia was not defending itself but acting to
    `reestablish constitutional order' in South Ossetia. The EU is
    closely examining an Aug. 7 television interview in which Georgian
    Gen. Mamuka Kurashjvili used just those words. President Saakavili
    announced Aug. 8 that `Most of South Ossetia's territory is
    liberated.' He did not claim that Georgia was acting in `self-defense'
    until Aug. 11. By that time Russian troops had driven the Georgian
    Army out of South Ossetia and were within 31 miles of Tbilisi. The war
    lasted five days.

    The general's remarks, reports Der Spiegel, `indicate that Georgian
    President Mikheil Saakashvili was not repelling `Russian aggression,'
    as he continues to claim to this day, but was planning a war of
    aggression.'

    The EU commission questioned the Russian deputy head of the general
    staff, Anatoly Nogovitsyn, who said that the Russians had intercepted
    Order No. 2, and that it indeed contained the phrase about
    reestablishing constitutional order. `If the order, which Russian
    intelligence intercepted, is authentic, it would prove that
    Saakashvili lied,' says Der Spiegel.

    The investigation found that Georgia had massed 12,000 troops and 75
    tanks on the South Ossetian border for the Aug. 7 attack. The Russians
    tanks did not transit the tunnel until Aug. 8. While the Commission is
    also critical of the Russians for meddling in South Ossetia and not
    preventing South Ossetians from destroying some Georgian villages,
    `the EU investigation seems to be more of a problem for Tbilisi than
    for Moscow,' according to Der Spiegel.

    The Georgians refuse to turn over Order No. 2 to the commission,
    claiming it is a state secret. And Georgian Minister Temur
    Yakobashvili charges that the investigation is being funded by Russian
    gas giant, Gazprom. The commissioners , who reject the charges, are
    Swiss diplomat Heidi Tagliavini, and former German ambassador to
    Georgia, Uwe Schramm. Former German Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer
    advises the commission.

    `More and more former allies of Saakashvili are now blaming the
    authoritarian president for the war and calling for his resignation,'
    says Der Spiegel. Indeed, Nino Burjanadze, who helped lead the
    revolution that put Saakashvili into office, and Irakli Alasania,
    former Georgian ambassador to the United Nations, are leading the
    opposition demonstrations.

    So far, Saakashvili has not unleashed the police as he did in breaking
    up similar rallies in 2007, but he arrested 10 opposition members on
    the eve of the current demonstrations, accusing them of planning a
    violent overthrow of the government. The charge is based on a secret
    tape that records a man identified as a `coordinator' for Burjanadze's
    Democratic Movement - United Georgia Party saying that the former
    speaker is planning to provoke violence. Burjanadze denies knowing the
    so-called `coordinator' and says he has no position of authority in
    her organization.

    Saakashvili, who came to power in 2003, says he has no intention of
    resigning and will finish out his term in 2013. But demonstrators say
    they will not disperse until he steps down and calls an early
    election.

    The beleaguered president says he is willing to negotiate with the
    opposition, however most the people camped out in front of the
    Parliament say that the call for `talks' is a ploy. `He says things
    like this only for the U.S. and Europe,' farmer Amiran Tsertskhladze
    told The New York Times, `but no one here believes he really wants
    dialogue.'

    Sobering thought for the week: Only the opposition of Germany and
    France kept the Bush Administration from adding Georgia to the North
    Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) back in 2007. While the Obama
    Administration is not currently pushing for Georgia to join the
    alliance, the country's membership is still on the agenda. Had Georgia
    been a NATO member during the Russia-Georgia War, it would have
    triggered Article 5 of the treaty requiring member states to come to
    Georgia's aid - and NATO might have been snookered into a war with
    Russia.

    Conn Hallinan can be reached at: [email protected]
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