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  • Turkey Woos Russia As EU Hopes Dim

    TURKEY WOOS RUSSIA AS EU HOPES DIM

    The National
    August 12. 2009 12:25AM

    ISTANBUL // As the EU shows little interest in taking Turkey on board
    as a new member in the near future, Russia has emerged as a powerful
    new partner for Ankara, providing energy and trade deals and sending
    a growing number of holidaymakers to Turkey's sunny coasts.

    The ever closer relations between Ankara and Moscow is a sign of
    weakened ties between Turkey and the EU, Nihat Ali Ozcan, an analyst
    at the Economic Policy Research Foundation, or Tepav, an Ankara-based
    think tank, said yesterday.

    "If things were better with the EU, Turkey would be part of the
    European approach. But because it is outside that approach, it plays
    more locally."

    Nowhere is that trend more visible than in energy policy. Turkey is
    eager to become a major player in international energy matters and
    wants to make full use of its unique geostrategic position as a country
    between East and West. "Turkey is pursuing its own interests, it is
    more independent" than it would be as an EU member, Mr Ozcan said.

    "Europeans need to really understand what's going on in Turkey,
    how close it has gotten to Russia as opposed to Europe and the US,"
    Zeyno Baran, an energy expert at the US-based Hudson Institute,
    told EUobserver.com, an online publication dealing with EU affairs.

    During a visit to Ankara last week, Vladimir Putin, the Russian prime
    minister, signed a protocol with his Turkish counterpart, Recep Tayyip
    Erdogan, paving the way for a multibillion dollar gas pipeline from
    Russia through the Black Sea to the Balkans.

    The agreement on the South Stream pipeline, which would provide Moscow
    with a new pathway to deliver gas to Europe, came less than a month
    after Turkey and several European partners launched the rival Nabucco
    project, which is backed by the EU and designed to lessen European
    dependency on Russian gas imports.

    Ankara started EU membership talks in late 2005, but negotiations have
    proceeded slowly. Turkish officials have repeatedly voiced frustration
    about the hostile position taken by high-ranking EU politicians such
    as the French president, Nicolas Sarkozy, who has openly rejected
    the Turkish application in spite of the ongoing negotiation process.

    The attitude of Mr Sarkozy and other sceptics in the EU has made it
    easier for Russia to court Turkey, Mr Ozcan said.

    Although the two countries are heirs of rival empires and stood on
    opposing sides during the Cold War, relations between Turkey and
    Russia have improved significantly in recent years.

    They signed 20 different agreements during Mr Putin's visit. Russia
    is also interested in building Turkey's first nuclear power
    plant. According to official figures, trade between the two countries
    reached a volume of US$40 billion (Dh147bn) last year. Russia has
    become Turkey's biggest single trading partner, while Turkey is
    Russia's fifth biggest, Mr Erdogan said.

    Putting their relations on a new level, Ankara and Moscow agreed
    on regular yearly meetings on the prime ministerial level. Other
    government ministers from the two countries will meet twice or three
    times a year.

    Meanwhile, Russian tourists have been flocking to Turkey's
    coasts. "Olga has overtaken Helga," a Turkish newspaper commented
    recently, when new official figures indicated that the number of
    Russian tourists in the southern coastal city of Antalya had surpassed
    that of German holidaymakers for the first time.

    Germans have traditionally been the strongest national group among
    tourists in Turkey, numbering 4.4 million visitors last year. But the
    Russians are catching up fast. Almost three million Russians came to
    Turkey last year, and Russian businessmen have invested billions of
    dollars in hotels on the Turkish south coast. In an acknowledgement
    of the growing number of Russian guests, the buildings of one hotel
    look like the Kremlin in Moscow.

    Turkey is sending a deliberate message with its new Russian
    partnership, Ahmet Davutoglu, the foreign minister, told journalists
    after Mr Putin's visit.

    "This is what we want to tell the world: Yes, we have an EU
    orientation, and no one should have doubts regarding our Nato
    membership, but [Turkey] conducts comprehensive policies with all
    global and neighbouring players in accordance with its geographical
    region," the minister said.

    >From time to time, critics may argue that Turkey is turning away
    from the West, while at other times there may be doubts that Turkey
    is cutting its ties to the East, Mr Davutoglu added. "We have to
    overcome those momentary and temporary ways to look at things."

    For Turkey, Russia plays a part in some of its most pressing foreign
    policy issues. As a close partner of the Greek part of Cyprus, Moscow
    could help to bring about a solution for the divided Mediterranean
    island, which would in turn improve Ankara's EU prospects.

    Russia is also an important player in the ongoing dispute between
    Armenia and Azerbaijan over the region of Nagorny-Karabakh, a problem
    that has prevented progress in efforts by Turkey to improve ties
    with Armenia.

    "Turkey is not an EU member country, nor should it be expected
    to become one soon," Cagri Erhan, a political scientist at Ankara
    University, wrote in the Turkiye newspaper. "There is no rational
    reason why Turkey, as a country that is not an EU member yet, should
    synchronise its foreign policy with Brussels."

    Mr Ozcan of Tepav said this trend was likely to continue, as there was
    no sign of a turnaround in Turkish-EU affairs, let alone of a quick
    Turkish accession to the EU. Unlike Europeans, who are perceived by
    many Turks as endlessly lecturing their country about human rights
    and other issues, Russians "do not treat Turkey condescendingly",
    Mr Ozcan said.
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