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According To Bagrat Asatrian, Because Of Loans Armenia Has Ailing Ec

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  • According To Bagrat Asatrian, Because Of Loans Armenia Has Ailing Ec

    ACCORDING TO BAGRAT ASATRIAN, BECAUSE OF LOANS ARMENIA HAS AILING ECONOMY, WHICH IT TRIES TO TREAT WITH NEW LOANS

    Noyan Tapan
    Aug 19, 2009

    YEREVAN, AUGUST 19, NOYAN TAPAN. There has been a 16.3% economic
    downturn in Armenia in 2009 due to a decline in construction (53%)
    and industry (11.3%), RA Deputy Minister of Finance Vardan Aramian
    announced on August 19. In his words, there is the same situation
    in the world economy which means that the developments in Armenia's
    economy are in line with the global developments.

    He forecast a 12-15% downturn in late 2009.

    According to V. Aramian, the government is conducting an expansionary
    policy: instead of the private sector which is in poor condition now,
    it injects money into the economy, and the sooner the economy absorbs
    that money, the sooner a growth will begin.

    The member of the RA National Assembly "Prosperous Armenia" faction,
    Deputy Chairman of the NA Standing Committee on Economic Issues Vardan
    Bostanjian expressed an opinion that one of the causes of the current
    hard economic conditions is the incomprehensible forecasts made by
    non-experts. "We continue requesting money from outside to inject it
    into the economy. We don't see anything good in this," he noted. At
    the same time he stated that there would be a positive result in 2010.

    In the opinion of the former Chairman of the Central Bank of Armenia
    (CBA) Bagrat Asatrian, 16.3% economic dowturn recorded in Armenia
    in 2009 is conditioned by the poor work done in the last quarter of
    2008. In his words, the economy contracted by almost 20% at the time
    when the authorities forecast an economic growth. B. Asatrian said
    there is now a growth in trade and service sectors due to the existence
    of a shadow economy. However, this resource will be exhausted soon.

    B. Asatrian said that a growth may be recorded in agriculture and
    industry in 2010, but these are optimistic forecasts.

    In his estimation, Russia's economy will have a decisive impact on the
    Armenian economy. If Russia ensures a growth of at least 3% in 2010,
    only in this case our economy will begin to stabilize.

    He expressed an opinion that no anti-crisis program exists at the
    present time, while the government's expansionary policy is beyond
    understanding.

    According to the speaker, the reason for the current situation is
    that at one time a double-digit ecomomic growth was recorded on the
    basis of private remittances and loans received from international
    organizations. "As a result we have an ailing economy. Today we again
    take loans from outside to overcome the crisis. It turns out that
    we want to treat the illness with the resources that caused it,"
    B. Asatrian said.
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