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  • Look North For Opportunity

    LOOK NORTH FOR OPPORTUNITY

    By The Daily Star
    Tuesday, December 15, 2009

    Most places in the world are suffering the ramifications of the global
    economic slowdown, but this doesn't mean that things are standing
    still.Arab societies, and perhaps our economies as well, are often
    geared toward looking west, or east, for opportunity, but events to
    the north of us shouldn't be discounted. Russian officials have begun
    the process of forging a customs union with Kazakhstan and Belarus.

    The nucleus of a potentially dynamic trading bloc is taking shape,
    and if the effort proves to be a success, other countries from the
    former Soviet Union will be anxious to get on board.

    Of course, the future course of Russia remains unknown, given the
    dichotomy between Dmitry Medvedev and Vladimir Putin, the former
    promoting policies of European Union-style cooperation, and the latter
    projecting the dreams of resurrecting a Russian empire. Nevertheless,
    the lifting of trade and customs barriers among the three countries
    could spur robust growth, with Central Asian states like Kyrgyzstan
    and Tajikistan expressing enthusiasm about the project.

    Another "northern" development is the process of normalization between
    Turkey and Armenia. When the various hurdles to Turkish-Armenian
    relations are finally cleared, the potential benefits of open borders
    could spur considerable economic activity and generate opportunities
    for investment in these two countries.

    Although the two peoples share a history of conflict, their
    rapprochement is spurring serious interest in potential investment
    opportunities. They share technical and industrial prowess, and a good
    level of demand, and if their relationship takes off, their economies
    will constitute an attractive destination for investment flows.

    Arab countries that remain awash in oil and gas money can look
    northward for investment opportunities, in the dynamic areas of the
    former Soviet Union, and the promising markets of a reconciled Turkey
    and Armenia.

    This type of investment isn't about altruism; individuals, corporations
    and state investors want to make money, and this will happen if the
    policies and measures in these countries are sound. They can also make
    a mark by investing in stability, as in the Turkish-Armenian arena,
    which could have knock-on benefits for neighboring countries. These
    developments also represent a chance to gain a foothold in key sectors
    like energy, industry and foodstuffs, as well as the always-attractive
    destination of European markets.

    The world might be under the spell of the global financial crisis, but
    the news from the north is the latest indication that not everything
    is static, or that initiatives and opportunities have dried up.
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