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ANKARA: First Impressions of White House Meeting

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  • ANKARA: First Impressions of White House Meeting

    Hurriyet, Turkey
    Dec 8 2009


    First Impressions of White House Meeting

    by Sedat Ergin

    Any fresh-from-the-oven evaluation made based on the statements given
    immediately after the meeting at the White House between US President
    Barack Obama and Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erodgan undoubtedly
    carries the risk of missing out some details. However, it is
    nevertheless still possible to highlight some of the lines drawn just
    by looking at the general tone of the statements.

    In particular, the warm tone dominating Obama's statement is doubtless
    important in that the President set himself the goal of raising
    relations with Turkey to the highest level possible. It may be said
    that Obama's approach, as seen during his visit to Turkey in April,
    has been given fresh impetus with this visit. The decision to set up a
    new mechanism in order to take relations further seems to be one
    tangible outcome of this visit in terms of bilateral relations.
    Obama's stressing that Ankara was increasing its influence in its area
    shows that the regional role Turkey is playing is being both
    appreciated and supported by the Democrat administration. Obama's
    comments at the same time showed once again the United States desires
    to work closely and to cooperate with Turkey in international issues.

    Protocols with Armenia not advancing

    Obama praised Turkey's courage for signing the protocols with Armenia
    then voiced his expectations for the next step to be taken, for the
    protocols to be ratified. Erdogan for his part said that progress in
    Turkish-Armenian relations, in other words ratification of the
    protocols, hinged on the Karabakh problem being fixed. "This is very
    important for normalization," he said. By saying this, the prime
    minister clearly told the United States that he expected it to apply
    pressure on Armenia with respect to Karabakh. As it is now, all sides
    are clearly maintaining their respective positions on the Armenia
    issue. It all comes down to the degree to which the United States can
    twist Armenia's arm.

    United States may not be insistent on Afghanistan

    What gave yesterday's meeting a critical image even before it began
    was the United States request for Turkey to send combat forces to
    Afghanistan. However, in the light of yesterday's statements we can
    say that this topic has been left behind. Obama talked of Turkey's
    "outstanding contributions" in Afghanistan even as he began his
    address. This may be seen as a sign that he is not going to be
    insistent on this matter. Erdogan recalled that Turkey was already
    boosting the number of its soldiers in Afghanistan and stated that it
    was going to play a more active role in training the army and the
    police and was going to invest more in infrastructure. This can be
    seen as an effort to make up in other areas for America's request for
    combat forces. It may be guessed that the prime minister voiced the
    opinion that any dispatch of combat forces by Muslim Turkey would only
    hinder any contributions that Turkey could make for Afghanistan. Obama
    can be expected to have seen the sense in this.

    Turkey could be trapped in the middle in Iran

    Obama's mention that Turkey could play an important role in
    international efforts regarding Iran's nuclear programme showed that
    he appreciated the role being played in this area by Turkish diplomacy
    in the new era. It is obvious that Erdogan wants to play a bridging
    role between the United States and Iran. Following these statements it
    may be guessed that there is going to be a lot of activity within the
    Washington-Ankara-Tehran triangle in the period ahead. However,
    yesterday's statements gave no indication of how synchronization could
    be achieved between the United States concerns about Iran and Turkey's
    more sympathetic approach to Iran in this matter when compared to the
    West. If the United States goes for the diplomatic option and takes
    the matter to the UNSC, Turkey could well find itself squished between
    Iran and the United States.

    Importance Of White House

    When you look at the other topics apart from those ones you can put
    another tick in the plus column for Turkey with Obama's support for
    the Kurdish overture and his unambiguous words of support regarding
    terrorism. Visits to the White House have always been meetings that
    bolster a Turkish leader's political standing. In this respect it may
    be said that Erdogan is going to return to Turkey this time with his
    sails filled by the winds of Obama's strong support.

    [translated from Turkish]
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