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IMF Welcomes Armenian Central Banks' Time-To-Time Interventions

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  • IMF Welcomes Armenian Central Banks' Time-To-Time Interventions

    IMF WELCOMES ARMENIAN CENTRAL BANKS' TIME-TO-TIME INTERVENTIONS

    ARKA
    Dec 22, 2009

    YEREVAN, December 22. /ARKA/. IMF Resident Representative to Armenia
    Nienke Oomes, in an interview with ARKA News Agency, said: "We have
    always advised Armenia to stick to a floating exchange rate. This,
    however, does not necessarily mean that the CBA should not intervene
    in the foreign exchange market at all. We think it is reasonable that
    the CBA will intervene in the market from time to time in order to
    prevent unexpected sharp daily exchange rate changes."

    She finds it important that the CBA does not resist the overall
    objective exchange rate trends and follows them. In the beginning of
    this year, there were clear pressures for the foreign exchange rate
    to depreciate, because of the large drop in remittances, exports,
    etc, and it was clear that the CBA could not resist this depreciation.

    During the next year, it is possible that there will be pressures
    for the exchange rate to appreciate, when global growth resumes,
    in which case the CBA should also not resist these pressures.

    "In our view, the exchange rate should be determined by the market,
    based on foreign exchange inflows and outflows. However, I repeat
    that occasional interference of the CBA is justified in order to
    prevent sharp short-term exchange rate fluctuations," Oomes said in
    her interview.

    "We think that the CBA has been doing a very good job in ensuring
    financial stability. Compared to other countries, Armenia succeeded
    in avoiding a banking crisis. The CBA has already strengthened banking
    supervision and took several measures to protect the financial sector.

    Subsequently, we are satisfied with the CBA's financial sector
    policies," she added.

    Asked about likely share of non-performing banking loans at the end
    of 2009, Oomes said: "We are not making such projections, however,
    given the existing situation, the level of non-performing loans has
    probably stabilized. It recently fell from 9.3 percent in September
    to 8.1 percent in October."
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