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ACNIS Director Richard Giragosian Comments on Turkish Press Report

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  • ACNIS Director Richard Giragosian Comments on Turkish Press Report

    PRESS RELEASE
    Armenian Center for National and International Studies
    75 Yerznkian Street
    Yerevan 0033, Armenia
    Tel: (+374 - 10) 52.87.80 or 27.48.18
    Fax: (+374 - 10) 52.48.46
    Email: [email protected] or [email protected]
    Website: www.acnis.am


    February 11, 2009


    ACNIS Director Richard Giragosian Comments on Turkish Press Report
    Claiming "Breakthrough" over Nagorno Karabagh

    Yerevan--Armenian Center for National and International Studies
    (ACNIS) Director Richard Giragosian issued a statement today
    commenting on a recent report in the Turkish daily newspaper Hurriyet
    claiming that a new "partial agreement" has been reached between
    Armenia and Azerbaijan over Nagorno Karabagh, brokered by Turkish
    Foreign Minister Ali Babacan. The report alleged that Armenia and
    Azerbaijan reached a new agreement on four key points of a draft peace
    plan, including the reopening of road and rail links between
    Azerbaijan and Armenia and the deployment of an undefined
    international peacekeeping force to the region.

    While today's report in the Turkish media remains unsubstantiated by
    any Armenian, Azerbaijani or Turkish officials, the rather sensational
    claims of a sudden breakthrough over the unresolved Karabagh conflict
    raises several concerns. Most notably, the unconfirmed report reveals
    the danger posed by the overall lack of transparency and inadequate
    public awareness of the status of the peace process.

    By its very nature, the closed and secretive process of mediation by
    the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe's (OSCE) Minsk
    Group only fosters misunderstandings and misinformation, especially as
    neither the Armenian nor the Azerbaijani governments are doing enough
    to prepare their constituencies for a possible peace deal.

    At the same time, however, there is no viable alternative to the OSCE
    Minsk Group as a mediator for the Karabagh conflict. The Minsk Group
    is the sole international body empowered to manage the mediation
    effort aimed at resolving the Nagorno Karabagh conflict and has been
    long engaged in conducting delicate diplomacy toward that end.

    But the OSCE Minsk Group format is also structurally flawed by the
    absence of the democratically-elected representatives of the Nagorno
    Karabagh Republic (NKR) which, as a party to the conflict, must be
    afforded a more direct and formal role in the peace process.

    Moreover, the failure to incorporate Karabagh in the peace talks as a
    party of equal standing only questions the viability of reaching a
    negotiated resolution capable of meeting the minimum standards of
    security and sustainability.

    The recognition of the vital and primary role of the OSCE Minsk Group
    as the mediator for the Karabagh also means that Turkey can have no
    direct role in the peace process. By virtue of its close strategic
    relationship with Azerbaijan, and in terms of Turkey's open
    diplomatic, economic and military support for Azerbaijan, including
    its ongoing blockade of Armenia, Turkey can not been accepted as a
    neutral broker or mediator of the Karabagh conflict.

    On a broader level, the lack of information concerning the peace
    process only leads to misinformation, endangering the already fragile
    and delicate peace talks. For Armenia, the lack of information only
    fuels misunderstanding and fosters a deeper sense of apathy among the
    population. The Armenian government must do much more to educate and
    involve its citizens in the peace process.

    Equally important, Azerbaijan has also failed to properly prepare its
    public for any possible progress in the peace talks. In addition, the
    secrecy surrounding the peace talks has only strengthened the militant
    rhetoric of its leadership and has radicalized the discourse within
    Azerbaijani society. Although the August 2008 war in Georgia only
    reaffirmed the danger of a sudden outbreak of hostilities in the
    region, Azerbaijani leaders continue to dangerously promote an
    irresponsible language of aggression and threat, tending to exacerbate
    regional insecurity.

    Therefore, the recent revelations of the Turkish media suggesting a
    secret peace deal over Karabagh only serves to complicate efforts to
    forge a fair and lasting peace. Most crucially, the lack of
    information and transparency encourages a dangerous trend of
    misinformation and disinformation that entrenches stereotypes and
    emboldens more extreme views. Thus, the failure of all sides to
    prepare and engage their publics in the peace process only reveals the
    deficit of prudent statesmanship and proper leadership.

    ------------------------------------- ---------------------------

    The Armenian Center for National and International Studies (ACNIS) is
    a leading independent strategic research center located in Yerevan,
    Armenia. As an independent, objective institution committed to
    conducting professional policy research and analysis, ACNIS strives to
    raise the level of public debate and seeks to broaden public
    engagement in the public policy process, as well as fostering greater
    and more inclusive public knowledge. Founded in 1994, ACNIS is the
    institutional initiative of Raffi K. Hovannisian, Armenia's first
    Minister of Foreign Affairs. Over the past fifteen years, ACNIS has
    acquired a prominent reputation as a primary source of professional
    independent research and analysis covering a wide range of national
    and international policy issues.

    For further information on the Center call (37410) 52-87-80 or
    27-48-18; fax (37410) 52-48-46; email [email protected] or [email protected];
    or visit www.acnis.am.
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