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Neither Pact Nor Bloc: Moscow Formed A Post-Soviet Military Alliance

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  • Neither Pact Nor Bloc: Moscow Formed A Post-Soviet Military Alliance

    NEITHER PACT NOR BLOC: MOSCOW FORMED A POST-SOVIET MILITARY ALLIANCE
    by Gennadi Charodeyev

    WPS Agency
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    February 11, 2009 Wednesday
    Russia

    NEW MILITARY STRUCTURE OF THE CIS COLLECTIVE SECURITY TREATY
    ORGANIZATION IS INTENDED TO FORTIFY POLITICAL ALLIANCE OF POST-SOVIET
    COUNTRIES; New collective forces of the CIS Collective Security
    Treaty Organization are formed to deal with threats to member states'
    national security, not with NATO.

    Some Western experts hastened to call the new organization
    Medvedev's Pact and even a military bloc. CIS Collective Security
    Treaty Organization Secretary General Nikolai Bordyuzha pointed
    out, however, that "... before transforming it into a fully-fledged
    military alliance, leaders of these countries ought to make sure that
    participation in the Collective Forces does not collide with national
    legislations." Constitutions of some countries prohibit involvement
    in military blocs and alliances. Participants in the summit believe
    that the problem should be addressed to rule out discrepancies.

    Neither for nor against NATO

    Results of the talks between the presidents of Russia, Armenia,
    Belarus, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan were
    announced right after the negotiations.

    Unlike its drafts, the document the summit signed does not acknowledge
    NATO or installation of the American missile shield in East Europe.

    Experts present at the summit even warned journalists against "being
    overly dramatic" and emphasized that reinforcement of the military
    component of the CIS Collective Security Treaty Organization "shouldn't
    be regarded as the development of a counterweight to the Alliance."

    As matters stand, the collective security framework is regional. There
    exist three regional army groups: Russian-Belarussian (East European),
    Russian-Armenian (Caucasus), and Central Asian.

    Leaders of the involved countries decided to quarter the Collective
    Forces on the territory of Russia.

    Presidential whims

    Moscow all but admits that the new military structure is supposed to
    strengthen the political alliance against efforts of certain Western
    states to exert clout with some members of the CIS Collective Security
    Treaty Organization in order to secure their own military presence
    on the territories of these countries. All the more alarming is the
    fact that no Russian neighbor has ever stepped forward with offers
    of help against the Georgian incursion into South Ossetia. Russia's
    allies keep treating its actions in the Caucasus with caution even
    now. Moreover, some leaders of the CIS Collective Security Treaty
    Organization indulge in whims...

    Alexander Lukashenko of Belarus kept objecting to establishment of
    the Strategic Response Collective Forces and to participation of the
    Belarussian regular army in them. Talks over energy deliveries to
    Belarus meanwhile continued. It was finally confirmed at the meeting
    of the Supreme State Council of the Russian-Belarussian Union that the
    parties had signed supplementary agreements to gas contracts. Rough
    estimates show that the average price of gas for Belarus in 2009
    will amount to about $150 per 1,000 cubic meters. It is going to be
    the lowest tariff throughout the Commonwealth. Lukashenko in return
    waived his objections to the Strategic Response Collective Forces and
    to establishment of the Belarussian-Russian joint antiaircraft defense.

    One other trouble was encountered right away. The development of
    a similar antiaircraft defense framework with Armenia might and
    probably will disturb Azerbaijan that is always jealous of the
    military-technical cooperation between Moscow and Yerevan.

    President of Tajikistan Emomali Rakhmon displayed his temperament
    two days before the summit and refused to attend it. His Kyrgyz
    counterpart Kurmanbek Bakiyev called Rakhmon and talked him into coming
    to Moscow after all. Rakhmon turned up in the Russian capital and -
    if his mood were an indicator - settled all issues in the relations
    with the Kremlin to his satisfaction.

    As for Uzbekistan's "individual opinion", Press Secretary Vitaly
    Strugovets said Uzbek President Islam Karimov must have had personal
    reasons to disagree with the situation where all security structures
    even including the Emergency Ministry were elements of the collective
    forces to be mustered.

    Expert opinion

    Presidential Aide Sergei Prikhodko: It is the Central Asian armed
    forces that are regarded as the nucleus of the future forces because
    threats to security of the CIS Collective Security Treaty Organization
    originate in the south. I mean the situation in Afghanistan, conflict
    potential we know existing in Pakistan, and activeness of all sorts
    of extremist groups operating in the region.

    Vladimir Batyuk of the Institute of the USA and Canada (Russian Academy
    of Sciences): The assumption that the alliance is intended to become
    a kind of counterweight to NATO is absolutely wrong. Members of the
    CIS Collective Security Treaty Organization are facing threats to
    their security to deal with. I'm talking about extremism in these
    countries and in Afghanistan nearby. I'm talking about the swelling
    drug trafficking from Afghanistan. It is these threats the Collective
    Forces are supposed to negate. Sure, membership in the CIS Collective
    Security Treaty Organization costs Russia but Russia must endure this
    financial strain because there is practically nothing in terms of
    serious barriers between the Russian state borders and the borders of
    Afghanistan. Supporting its Central Asian partners, Russia strengthens
    its own security. There are no alternatives to this support.
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