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  • According to Azerbaijan, in all world troubles feels the "hand of Ar

    ACCORDING TO AZERBAIJAN, IN ALL WORLD TROUBLES FEELS THE "HAND OF ARMENIA"
    Karine Ter-Sahakyan

    PanARMENIAN.Net
    17.02.2009 GMT+04:00

    Baku fails to differentiate between criticism and foul language used
    against Armenia.

    No matter how hard Azerbaijan tries to assure that the world economic
    crisis Â"hardly tells upon the countryÂ", in fact this as well as
    other statements of Baku Agitation and Propaganda Department contradict
    the reality. Hardly will oil and gas prices rise in the near future,
    which means that the Aliyev clan cannot get their regular billion
    manats. By the way, Baku counts exclusively on mantas, since it makes
    greater impression.

    /PanARMENIAN.Net/ Against the background of the slightly changing
    Russian-Turkish and Armenian-Turkish relations, President of Azerbaijan
    decided to just in case find an alternative for the delivery of the
    Azerbaijani gas to Europe through Georgia. It is no secret that this
    was the main aim of Ilham Aliyev's visit to Athens. "Azerbaijan makes
    every effort to strengthen the energy security of Europe and expects
    to export gas to Europe through Georgia," declared Aliyev in Athens
    on Monday. One could say this statement was a signal to Ankara: there
    can be found an alternative to Turkey as a transit country . Let us
    note that the statement was made on the background of circulating
    anti-Turkish campaign in the Azeri press. Well, this campaign is
    not yet fully anti-Turkish but if the impossible occurs and the
    Armenian-Turkish border is opened, there would be more than enough
    reasons for Baku to severely criticize her Â"brotherly partnerÂ". Baku
    considers that if Erdogan can venture upon harsh declarations about
    Israel, Baku can do the same with respect to Ankara.

    However, the situation is not that simple. Ilham Aliyev knows the game
    directive brilliantly well and lays special emphasis on the Â"European
    energy securityÂ", which is under threat because of the Â"gas warÂ"
    between Ukraine and Russia. There is no guarantee that the war will
    not break out again, that is why gas exporting states are now trying
    their best to draw the attention of Europe. Some of them succeed, some
    of them fail, but both Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan fail to notice the
    two central players of this game: Iran and Russia. If the US-Iranian
    relations indeed improve (and we are gradually coming to it), Iran will
    have an opportunity to profitably transport gas to Europe and, quite
    obviously, at an acceptable price. The same is true about Russia. No
    matter how critically Â"GazpromÂ" is treated now, it can afford to
    purchase the Azerbaijani gas and sell it at a profitable price.

    Nabucco awaits a similar fate. It is still a question whether the
    Nabucco project will be carried out or not, but it can be said for
    sure that it can never be put into effect without participation
    of Iran and Turkey, while Azerbaijan is not a necessary component
    in this issue. Lately Kaan Soyak, co-founder and co-chairman of
    the Turkish-Armenian Business Development Council, said "Nabucco
    may well pass through Armenia", which caused a burst of anger in
    Baku. The map shows Armenia is really a suitable transit country for
    the Nabucco pipeline, only if the latter should not become a second
    Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan.

    Supposedly, Aliyev's foreign tours and statements are all closely
    related to the Referendum due in March, the outcome of which is
    quite predictable. Actually all that is done and spoken about in Baku
    at least by officials or those Â"authorized to speakÂ", is exactly
    directed to that. That is why no one is any longer surprised at the
    tactless comments of the Press Secretary of the Azerbaijani Foreign
    Ministry about the President of another country. All is fair in war,
    but Baku fails to differentiate between criticism and foul language
    used against Armenia. However, it is also useless to teach Baku lessons
    of good conduct since offspring of nomads will never be able to learn
    this lesson.

    The interesting point is that in any occurrence which is directly or
    marginally related to Azerbaijan, Baku begins to nervously search
    an Â"Armenian spotÂ". Hardly can all this be stipulated in the
    declarations signed by Ilham Aliyev and in the liability criteria
    of joining the EC. As usual, Vafa Guluzade could not stay aloof. His
    Â"oraclesÂ" may finally lead Azerbaijan into a dead end, from where
    she can never crawl out again. After all, a deadlock is a deadlock.

    "Azerbaijan has no other way-out but to preserve close ties with
    the West. This is the guarantee of our security. Russia has made its
    choice, she has chosen Armenia, and we must strengthen our western
    orientation as counterbalance to the Armenian-Russian alliance. You
    see, they join their air defense forces, their economies, thus leaving
    us no alternative but join the western world," Guluzade said.

    It is simply interesting to know what Baku Agitation and Propaganda
    Department has prepared after the failed bluff of Â"Russia's selling
    Armenia military hardware with a total cost of USD800 millionÂ". Most
    likely, the new Â"storyÂ" will refer to the new US Administration,
    which is surely reconsidering its attitude towards Azerbaijan,
    remembering the Â"badÂ" inheritance of ex-Vice President Dick Cheney
    and, in all probability, that of very soon former Co-chair of the
    OSCE Minsk Group Mathew Bryza. It is not out of place to remind that
    for the 8 years of Bush's rule as co-chairs for the OSCE Minsk Group
    mainly representatives of oil lobbywere chosen. If Barack Obama and
    Hilary Clinton in fact want to change their foreign policy they should
    appoint a more independent a co-chair, in whose appointment Baku once
    again would try to find the track of the Â"Armenian lobbyÂ".
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