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  • US' Afghanistan strategy review on agenda of Turkish- US relations

    Today's Zaman, Turkey
    Feb 22 2009


    US'S Afghanistan strategy review on agenda of Turkish- US relations


    Since US President Barack Obama was elected in November, analysts have
    cautioned, in reference to Ankara's expectations of the Obama
    administration, that the new White House team would also have certain
    expectations from its transatlantic ally.

    On Monday a White House statement announced that Obama had spoken to
    both President Abdullah Gül and Prime Minister Recep Tayyip
    ErdoÄ?an. The statement particularly noted that in both calls
    the leaders discussed "the US review on Afghanistan and Pakistan
    policy," as well as "US support for the growing Turkish-Iraqi
    relationship" and "the importance of cooperation in Middle East peace
    efforts."

    In Ankara, during a press conference on Wednesday, ErdoÄ?an told
    reporters that he and Obama also discussed Armenian genocide
    allegations. While neither ErdoÄ?an nor Gül mentioned the
    Afghanistan issue in their statements regarding their talks with
    Obama, the US side didn't mention the Armenian genocide issue in its
    own statement concerning the talks. The wording of both sides'
    statements has been read as declarations of priority for each side in
    their bilateral relations.

    Some observers in Ankara claim that the probability of a change in
    Turkey's strong determination not to send combat troops to Afghanistan
    could come on the agenda, given the fact that April 24, the day the
    White House traditionally issues a statement marking `Armenian
    Remembrance Day,' is approaching and the Armenian diaspora has already
    started pressuring American politicians to bring a `genocide
    resolution' to the floor of the US Congress.

    This week Obama authorized 17,000 more US troops for Afghanistan,
    taking the US contingent to around 55,000, in addition to the 30,000
    from 40 other mostly NATO countries already operating in Afghanistan.

    Also this week, during a NATO defense ministers' meeting in Krakow,
    the US called on its NATO allies to provide more forces to provide
    security for Afghanistan's presidential election in August, but
    received only a limited response. US Defense Secretary Robert Gates
    said he would not seek a specific number of additional NATO troops
    from the Krakow meeting but that Washington would like to see a
    short-term deployment of troops to Afghanistan from the alliance's
    rapid response force, the NRF, which has never been utilized.

    `The message is that it is a new administration and [it] is prepared
    to make additional commitments to Afghanistan. But there clearly will
    be expectations that the allies must do more, as well,' Gates told
    reporters.

    Gates also said Washington hoped NATO countries where the Afghan
    mission is politically unpopular could make significant new
    contributions to civilian development. He said the Obama
    administration would seek allies' input for its Afghan strategy
    review, which is expected to stress the need for better police
    training, governance and development -- aims on which the allies have
    been flagging for years.

    Contacts on Kabul Regional Command

    As of Friday afternoon, there was no fresh official statement
    concerning the US demand voiced at the NATO meeting from Turkish
    leaders in Ankara or Defense Minister Vecdi Gönül, who
    participated in the Krakow meeting, which was scheduled to close later
    on Friday.

    When asked about the issue, Turkish diplomatic sources referred
    Sunday's Zaman to earlier statements by Foreign Minister Ali Babacan,
    who stressed that focusing on the use of military means to resolve the
    Afghanistan problem has been a mistake.

    The same diplomatic sources stressed that Turkey has so far provided
    millions of dollars in funding for schools and clinics in Afghanistan
    and that it is continuing these efforts. `Ankara has always stated
    that it is ready for cooperation in the civilian field,' they said
    when reminded of Gates' recent remarks on civilian development in
    Afghanistan.

    Turkey is currently continuing its support of the NATO-led
    International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) with more than 800
    non-combat troops in Afghanistan. The Turkish troops were in charge of
    the rotating leadership of the Kabul Regional Command between April
    and December of 2007. The Kabul Regional Command was created in the
    summer of 2006 under the joint leadership of Turkey, France and Italy
    as part of ISAF in Afghanistan.

    `If an agreement is reached, our country may assume the leadership of
    the Kabul Regional Command once again. This mission doesn't impose any
    different authority or responsibility than the missions assumed by
    Turkey in Afghanistan in the past. Contacts on this issue are under
    way,' a senior Turkish diplomat, speaking on condition of anonymity,
    told Sunday's Zaman.

    Mathematics and diplomacy

    ErdoÄ?an has already said that he will meet with Obama at the
    next G-20 meeting, which will take place in London on April 2. A NATO
    summit of heads of state and government will be held in Germany and
    France right after the G-20 meeting, on April 3-4, and is likely to
    offer an opportunity for a bilateral meeting between Obama and Turkish
    leaders.

    A US policy review of the region is to be completed in late March --
    thus, before the NATO summit -- with feedback from Obama's special
    envoy for Afghanistan and Pakistan, Richard Holbrooke, who visited
    Afghanistan, Pakistan and India in his first trip to the region this
    month.

    Both the Armenian genocide resolution and the US's new strategy on
    Afghanistan are highly likely to top the agenda of these talks between
    Turkish and US leaders.

    `Attributing such a mathematical relationship to any issue is, first
    of all, against the nature of foreign policy,' another senior Turkish
    diplomat told Sunday's Zaman when reminded of certain comments
    associating the resolution and the issue of Afghanistan troops.

    `There is no correlation between those two issues. Plus, there is
    quite a considerable amount of time for the formation of a new
    approach toward Afghanistan within NATO,' the same diplomat said. `We
    have constantly told the United States that there is a difference for
    us between the use of the word genocide by Obama during his address on
    April 24 and the approval of a resolution for official recognition of
    the 1915 incidents as genocide. On the other hand, we have certain
    responsibilities as a member of NATO, and we will not shy away from
    fulfilling these responsibilities. One should also note that sending
    combat troops to Afghanistan is not the only way of helping the Afghan
    people. Our non-combat troops there have carried out very successful
    projects, and these cannot be underestimated,' he said.

    `And even if Turkey eventually decides to send more troops to
    Afghanistan or intensify its current strong support for Afghanistan
    via various non-military means, if there is a certain decision that is
    made or will be made by the Obama administration, then Turkey's move
    will not change this decision. And in the other scenario -- if Turkey
    eventually decides to continue with its current support to Afghanistan
    without sending more troops -- this will also not change what is on
    the Obama administration's mind,' he added

    The diplomat concluded, `I believe that Obama will make his final
    decision by taking the strategic alliance between the two countries
    into consideration.'

    Although he rejected attempts to draw `mathematical connections'
    between these issues, there seems to be an equation with more than one
    unknown on the place of Afghanistan in the future of relations between
    the US and Turkey.

    22 February 2009, Sunday
    EMÄ°NE KART ANKARA
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