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Economist: Turkey And The Army: Conspiracy Theories

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  • Economist: Turkey And The Army: Conspiracy Theories

    TURKEY AND THE ARMY: CONSPIRACY THEORIES

    Economist
    http://www.economist.com/world /europe/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13040014
    Jan 29 2009

    The arrest of still more suspects in the Ergenekon case is raising new
    questions about the relationship between the army and the government

    SOMEWHERE under the ground between the south-eastern town of Cizre
    and the Iraqi border lie scores of corpses of dissident Kurds who
    disappeared at the height of the 24-year-long separatist rebellion
    by the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK). They were tortured
    and murdered by counter-insurgency forces that had been given free
    rein in the battle against the rebels. So go the claims of a former
    PKK informant, Abdulkadir Aygan, who made headlines this week as
    he described in gruesome detail a slew of extra-judicial killings
    allegedly carried out on the orders of the army. A local prosecutor
    has agreed to investigate the charges after 47 families petitioned
    him to launch a search for the bodies of relatives who have been
    missing for years.

    Mr Aygan's confessions are the latest in a series of sensational
    revelations unfolding in a case that takes its name from Ergenekon,
    a supposedly clandestine organisation. Some 86 people, including
    retired generals, journalists and politicians, who purportedly planned
    to carry out a string of high-profile murders, sow chaos and provoke
    a military coup in Turkey, have been on trial. Some defendants are
    said to have ties with the mafia and drug gangs.

    On January 22nd a further 39 people (five of them serving
    army officers) were rounded up in pre-dawn raids across the
    country. These arrests have turned Ergenekon into what many say is
    the most significant criminal investigation in Turkey's history. The
    prosecutors are now exploring links with the 2007 murder of Hrant
    Dink, a Turkish-Armenian editor, who had been threatened by a retired
    general, Veli Kucuk, before his death. Mr Kucuk was arrested in
    January 2008 and is alleged to be among Ergenekon's ringleaders.

    If the prosecution ever gets to the bottom of the case, some dark
    chapters in Turkey's recent past will stand revealed. And Turkey will
    have taken a giant step towards becoming a full-blooded Western-style
    democracy--and a suitable candidate for membership of the European
    Union. But at present the if is still big.

    Since the trial began in October, claims have grown that the case is
    a conspiracy by the mild Islamists ruling Turkey to discredit the
    army. The determinedly secular generals have never disguised their
    distaste for the prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, whose Justice
    and Development (AK) Party narrowly escaped a ban by the Constitutional
    Court last year on charges of seeking to introduce religious rule.

    The leaked diaries of a retired naval commander revealed that some
    fellow officers (two of whom are now in jail for alleged links to
    Ergenekon) had plotted at least two coups against Mr Erdogan that
    were blocked by the then chief of the general staff, Hilmi Ozkok. But
    tensions between the army and the government returned when a retired
    colonel shot himself dead on January 19th, after allegations in the
    Turkish press that he had been involved in the extra-judicial killings
    of Kurds. The top brass showed up in force at his funeral and in an
    angry statement all but blamed the media for his death. Speculation
    is widespread that it was pressure from the army that led to the
    swift release of two retired generals detained in an earlier raid on
    January 7th.

    The Ergenekon case has become so broad and complex, and the arguments
    of the 2,500-page indictment so muddling, that it has left most people
    utterly confused. Many of those arrested still do not know what they
    are being charged with. Yet a recent opinion poll showed that some 60%
    of Turks believe in the conspiracy. Even some former prime ministers
    have acknowledged the existence of a shadowy network of rogue security
    officials and bureaucrats known as the "deep state" who will stop
    at nothing to stay in power. Their supposed aims include sabotaging
    Turkey's efforts to join the EU (not that much sabotage is needed just
    now: several parts of the EU negotiations remain frozen and when Mr
    Erdogan visited Brussels recently he left largely empty-handed).

    The number of hidden weapons uncovered during the course of the
    Ergenekon investigation has bolstered claims that the gang meant real
    business. In early January a map found at a leading suspect's home
    in Ankara led police to an arms cache that included 300 bullets, 700
    grams (1.5lb) of plastic explosives and two anti-tank weapons. Further
    searches have yielded bombs and other equipment.

    The growing body of evidence has embarrassed the generals. It
    has also exposed divisions within the army, pitting anti-Western
    soldiers who favour closer links with Iran and Russia and are known
    as "Eurasianists" against those committed to Turkey's friendship
    with America and its putative membership of the EU. The second group
    includes General Ilker Basbug, who is now the chief of the general
    staff.

    The desire to weed out the Eurasianists may explain the army's silence
    in the face of the arrests of serving soldiers who have been implicated
    in the Ergenekon case. It may also explain the apparent truce that
    has been struck between Mr Basbug and Mr Erdogan, who have recently
    agreed that they should hold weekly consultations.

    The worry is that the price of any compromise between the army and the
    government may be to let some of the high-ranking officers thought to
    be involved in the conspiracy off the hook. An opportunity to assert
    civilian control over the army once and for all would then have been
    missed. For Turkey's reputation in the West, especially in Brussels,
    much is riding on the outcome of this case.
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