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  • Fadia Kiwan, "In The Absence Of Political Institutions Functioning A

    FADIA KIWAN, "IN THE ABSENCE OF POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS FUNCTIONING AS THEY SHOULD, POLITICAL CIRCULATION IS DIFFICULT AND FAMILY SUCCESSIONS ARE FAVORED"
    By Laurence Escorneboueu

    iloubnan.info
    July 06, 2009, 17h09

    Interview

    On June 10, Fadia Kiwan, head of the Institute of Political Sciences
    at Universite Saint Joseph (USJ) takes a look at the June 7 elections:
    the voters' behavior and political circulation the Lebanese way. The
    day following this interview, Michel Aoun suggested that the third veto
    power should be given to the President by constitutional amendment.

    iloubnan.info: Is the Christian vote in these elections comparable
    to that of the Armenian vote, a vote of opinion, based on purely
    political disagreements?

    Fadia Kiwan: Yes absolutely, but we must add that even among Arab
    Christians, there was in the background, the concern to "recover
    their place" in the Lebanese political system. So it was a strategic
    sectarian issue, but it wasn't the cause of their division.

    Christians are divided into two leaderships. The traditional parties,
    which had militias in action during the war, and General Aoun's
    leadership, instigator of a change which is ... relative to the
    extent that in his party, there are people who are little known
    in the political circles and individuals from politically famous
    traditional family.

    As we are talking about change and of political families ... What
    do you think about the decrease in the number of women elected to
    parliament this year, in comparison to the previous parliament?

    In 2005, 6 women were elected by traditional channels; almost all
    of them belong to traditional families, more or less involved in
    politics. In 2009, the same thing happened.

    One thing that the West misunderstands, is that here, when a political
    family suffers the loss of one of its members, people easily accept
    that he gets replaced with a member of its family (political family
    or birth family).Political assassinations have led to compassion
    and collective memory leads to reproductions. Moreover, elections
    in Lebanon have always been held in exceptional situations, with
    decisive emotional factors. If a person is murdered, a political
    struggle against his family will not be easily accepted.

    Moreover, the 2009 campaign for the parliamentary elections was as a
    campaign for the dead, everywhere, pictures of dead people, militia
    songs, and young people honoring the memory of those who died!

    There are two things which must now be taken in consideration First,
    despite the traditional resurgence, it is now less easy for those
    who are in politics, to bring their children on the political scene.

    Then, those who played a political role at crucial moments in the
    history of Lebanon have received a huge recognition of their leadership
    that lasted over more than one generation. I am not trying to justify
    but to explain. We can speak of feudalism; but "some fathers" have
    played major roles at crucial moments like the formation of modern
    Lebanon, the country's independence and the departure of the Syrians
    troops.

    Isn't it inadequate to have children, brothers replacing their father
    or their uncle?

    In the case of maintaining a political influence beyond the person
    who played a key role, then yes we can say that it is inadequate. But
    political change seems difficult, in the absence of fair functioning
    of political institutions, and the wide promotion of family dynasties.

    How to take part in this political circulation?

    In addition to the family successions, there are two other
    ways. The other option is the possession of substantial economic
    resources. Moreover, having a privileged position in the economic
    system gives access to politics.

    The third access channel is the partisan channel. Cases are becoming
    more numerous, in Hezbollah, Amal, in the Syrian Nationalist Social
    Party, in the Lebanese Communist Party, and increasingly also in the
    Free Patriotic Movement and the Kataeb, always with the collaboration
    or preponderance of famous political families.

    Are there any probable changes concerning this third channel?

    There is indeed a slow change, family successions are less and less
    automatic, and people are becoming more vigilant, distrustful, and
    critical. There are more and more party officials from a partisan
    background.

    The parties are also relatively weak in their structures; there should
    be a legal frame to resolve operational issues. Only a law introducing
    proportionality would allow changes.

    How do you think the future government will be formed?

    There are 3 possibilities.

    Either the government will bring together leaders of the 1st rank
    and, in this case we'll have a copy of the national dialogue as
    the executive power. This is the best form, although in this case,
    the substantive issues should be deferred. But it is possible in an
    international climate eased by Obama's position who defused the bomb
    with Iran, and the rapprochement between Syria and Saudi Arabia.

    Either we'll have a government of technocrats in charge of the
    transition, or we'll have a government similar to the previous one,
    that should solve problems related to the veto of the opposition,
    to its guarantees, and to the role of President...

    Several things are related: First, to achieve power, we should open the
    way to alliances. Then no one can go against Article 95 of the Lebanese
    Constitution, which states that "during the interim period: communities
    will be fairly represented in government formation." Finally,
    if Hezbollah did not win the election, their sacrifices should
    nevertheless be taken into account and more seats should be given
    for Shiites in the government. Our lack of consideration towards that
    community will have to be expensively paid
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