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ACNIS on US President Obama's Moscow Summit

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  • ACNIS on US President Obama's Moscow Summit

    PRESS RELEASE
    Armenian Center for National and International Studies
    75 Yerznkian Street
    Yerevan 0033, Armenia
    Tel: (+374 - 10) 52.87.80 or 27.48.18
    Fax: (+374 - 10) 52.48.46
    Email: [email protected] or [email protected]
    Website: www.acnis.am


    July 7, 2009

    ACNIS Director Richard Giragosian Comments on
    US President Obama's Moscow Summit


    Richard Giragosian
    Director
    Armenian Center for National and International Studies (ACNIS)

    (7 July 2009, Yerevan)--Armenian Center for National and International
    Studies (ACNIS) Director Richard Giragosian issued a statement today
    commenting on US President Barack Obama's two-day summit meeting with
    Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin in
    Moscow:

    US President Barack Obama and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev
    concluded an important new arms control agreement that will reduce the
    two countries' nuclear arsenals by as much as one-third, as part of an
    update to the 1991 Strategic Arms Reduction treaty (START). In
    addition, the two leaders also signed agreements on resuming
    military-to-military cooperation, restoring efforts to combat nuclear
    proliferation and regarding Russian permission for US military forces
    to transit Russian territory and airspace to conduct operations in
    Afghanistan.

    Although the Moscow summit resulted in an important new improvement in
    US-Russian relations, the two leaders need to be reminded of several
    further imperatives. More specifically, the US and Russian leaders
    need to devote greater attention to the need for cooperation in
    forging security and stability in the South Caucasus. Within this
    context, there are five essential points for their consideration:

    Arms Control for the South Caucasus: There has been a dangerous `arms
    race' underway in the South Caucasus for the past several years, as
    Azerbaijan has steadily increased defense spending. Most notably,
    Azerbaijan has increased its defense budget from $175 million in 2004
    to almost $2.5 billion for 2009. Even more troubling is the
    aggressive and militant rhetoric by Azerbaijani officials, threatening
    to launch a new war against Armenia and Nagorno Karabagh. In order to
    counter this Azerbaijani threat to regional security and stability,
    there is a need for a new `arms control' agreement for the South
    Caucasus, with the US and Russia cooperating to prevent and persuade
    Azerbaijan from acting on its threats of war;

    Russia Needs to Recognize Armenia's Strategic Value: Russia needs to
    recognize the fact that Armenia is the only reliable ally for Moscow
    in the region and needs to treat Armenia with respect. Moreover,
    Russian policy toward Armenia should no longer treat Armenia as a
    `vassal' state, rather than as a strategic ally, and it must not
    prevent Armenia from exercising its own sovereignty and independence,
    including deepening ties with the European Union (EU) and NATO, if it
    so desires;

    There Are No Shortcuts to Democracy: Both the United States and Russia
    seek stability in the South Caucasus. But neither country has
    demanded enough from the Armenian authorities. Both Moscow and
    Washington need to send a strong message to Yerevan calling on the
    Armenian government to sincerely and seriously resolve the country's
    ongoing political crisis by inviting a new international inquiry into
    the tragic events of March 2008, which left at least ten people dead
    and wounded many more, and take steps to overcome the polarization of
    Armenian society. The Armenian authorities must also be reminded that
    they must now learn to govern--and not just rule--the country and must
    be called upon to satisfy mounting demands for change and expectations
    of reform;

    The Need for a New Approach Toward Nagorno Karabagh: If the US and
    Russia sincerely seek to resolve the Nagorno Karabagh conflict, they
    must adopt a new approach that includes recognizing Nagorno Karabagh
    as an equal party to the conflict and engaging the
    democratically-elected leaders of Karabagh as full participants in the
    peace talks. Only with the participation of Nagorno Karabagh can the
    US and Russia hope to achieve any meaningful progress in mediating the
    last `frozen' conflict in the region;

    Time to Pressure Turkey: Although there is a real opportunity for a
    significant improvement in Turkish-Armenian relations, both Washington
    and Moscow should recognize that the burden for such a breakthrough
    now rests solely with Turkey and reaffirm the reality that the issue
    has no direct link to the Karabagh conflict. It is also clear that
    Turkey needs to take the next step by opening its closed border with
    Armenia and establishing diplomatic relations and must, like Armenia,
    impose no preconditions for such a move. Lastly, the US and Russia
    must not mistakenly praise Turkey for opening the border and extending
    diplomatic relations with Armenia; such a move is not a concession to
    Armenia but is merely the basic behavior of civilized countries and
    the minimum expectation of normal relations between neighbors.

    -------------------------------------- --------------------------

    The Armenian Center for National and International Studies (ACNIS) is
    a leading independent strategic research center located in Yerevan,
    Armenia. As an independent, objective institution committed to
    conducting professional policy research and analysis, ACNIS strives to
    raise the level of public debate and seeks to broaden public
    engagement in the public policy process, as well as fostering greater
    and more inclusive public knowledge. Founded in 1994, ACNIS is the
    institutional initiative of Raffi K. Hovannisian, Armenia's first
    Minister of Foreign Affairs. Over the past fifteen years, ACNIS has
    acquired a prominent reputation as a primary source of professional
    independent research and analysis covering a wide range of national
    and international policy issues.

    For further information on the Center call (37410) 52-87-80 or
    27-48-18; fax (37410) 52-48-46; email [email protected] or [email protected];
    or visit www.acnis.am.
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