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Gazprom Undermining Nabucco

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  • Gazprom Undermining Nabucco

    GAZPROM UNDERMINING NABUCCO

    Messenger.ge
    July 9, 2009

    It has become evident recently that Moscow is very aggressively
    undermining the NABUCCO project. The Kremlin is trying its best to
    prevent NABUCCO obtaining a sufficient supply of natural gas.

    The EU and NABUCCO-promoting countries wants to involve as many states
    as possible in the project to make it viable, and are therefore
    desperately looking for countries which can supply enough natural
    gas for the project to be successful. Moscow on its side is doing
    its best to influence potential suppliers in the contrary direction
    by offering them better prices for their gas.

    The agreement on NABUCCO's construction, which should have been signed
    at the beginning of July, has been delayed for a fortnight. Meanwhile
    Azerbaijan has signed an agreement to sell a certain amount of natural
    gas to Gazprom at a very high price and Gazprom has expressed its
    readiness to take more gas. The Azeri side seems quite satisfied with
    this deal, as it has killed two rabbits with one shot: on the one hand
    it has pleased Russia, from whom it expects a solution to the Karabakh
    conflict, and on the other hand it has shown Turkey that it can sell
    its gas for a better price if Turkey does not continue defending
    Azeri interests during its normalisation of relations with Armenia.

    Today Ankara buys Baku's gas at a very cheap price and no new tariffs
    has been negotiated yet. Turkey pays USD 120 per 1,000 cubic metres
    for it, whereas Gazprom is ready to buy Azeri gas at USD 350 for
    1,000 cubic metres. Gazprom is also ready to buy the entire Azeri gas
    production at the same price, because this is a political price not a
    market one. Moscow is ready to pay that price to strangle NABUCCO and
    remain the sole supplier of Europe, with the ultimate aim of taking
    control of European markets and thus influence European policy by
    permanently blackmailing it.

    A big multiplayer game is taking place, and it is difficult to predict
    in which direction it will develop. However one thing is obvious:
    the side which wants to win should timely make appropriate and very
    radical efforts to achieve its goal.
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