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Nabucco Agreement May Provide Entry Point For Iran

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  • Nabucco Agreement May Provide Entry Point For Iran

    NABUCCO AGREEMENT MAY PROVIDE ENTRY POINT FOR IRAN

    Asbarez
    Jul 21st, 2009

    ANKARA (Today's Zaman)-A long anticipated agreement on the Nabucco gas
    pipeline project signed last week by the prime ministers of Turkey,
    Austria, Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania includes provisions that
    may open the way for Iranian involvement in the project, despite
    US disapproval.

    Ankara welcomed regional and international supporters on July 13 to
    the signing of an intergovernmental agreement on the $10.3 billion
    Nabucco gas pipeline, which seeks to free Europe of its heavy reliance
    on Russia.

    Although initially deemed an integral part of the Nabucco pipeline
    project that aims to transport Caspian and Middle Eastern natural gas
    to European markets through Turkey, Iran was left out of the signing
    ceremony in Ankara.

    Energy pundits say that Iran was advertently kept off the list of
    the invited nations due to its deep clashes and adversity with the
    US, especially over its uranium enrichment program, and having US
    support for the project was vital to make it an effective alternative
    to Russia's pipelines.

    However, some Nabucco officials claim that the agreement signed by
    the prime ministers of Turkey, Austria, Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania
    last week in a glamorous ceremony still included Iran, hidden in some
    articles. Iran's exclusion had caught international energy market
    analysts by surprise since without the vast resources of Iran,
    Nabucco's target quantities would be extremely difficult to achieve.

    Speaking to Today's Zaman on the condition of anonymity, Nabucco
    officials said the final decision on Iran will be shaped by
    international developments.

    Section Eight of Article 2 of the agreement defines the Initial Entry
    Points as "the starting points of the Nabucco Project at any three
    points on the eastern or southern land borders of the Republic of
    Turkey as selected by Nabucco International Company, and, subject
    to agreement by the Nabucco Committee in consultation with Nabucco
    International Company, any other point at the eastern or southern
    Turkish border. The exact location of the Initial Entry Points at the
    respective borders is subject to the standard permitting and related
    authorization procedures."

    This article, officials say, points to Iran in its mention of three,
    plus one optional, entry points but avoids naming them. A Nabucco
    official said this sentence was intentionally devised to allow Iran
    to enter the project later on, but it used the expression of "entry
    point" instead of "supplier country" to dodge alluding to Iran's
    potential inclusion.

    The 3,300-kilometer gas pipeline project will have a potential capacity
    of 31 billion cubic meters of gas annually starting from 2015 and is
    expected to cost $11 billion.

    Although it has been officially invited to20be a supplier for the
    pipeline several times, Russia has clearly rejected joining the project
    and instead has accelerated the construction of a new alternative route
    to transport its resources to Europe. Russia has also explored striking
    gas purchase deals with several potential Nabucco suppliers around the
    Caspian Sea. Iraq, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, Egypt and Syria are so far
    the only countries that have pledged to pump gas to Europe via Nabucco.

    The state-owned Turkish Pipeline Corporation (BOTAS) currently has
    pipelines for gas from Iran and Azerbaijan but must construct new
    pipelines to access the resources of Iraq and Egypt.

    Russia has the world's largest natural gas reserves, with 47.65
    trillion cubic meters of proven reserves. Iran comes second with 28.13
    trillion cubic meters of gas beneath its soil, and then come Qatar
    and Saudi Arabia, with 25.36 trillion cubic meters and 7.7 trillion
    cubic meters of reserves, respectively.

    The idea that Nabucco is destined to arrive stillborn without the
    inclusion of major gas providers like Iran has been backed by the
    statements of Nabucco officials and of partner countries. None of them
    have publicly ruled out Iran as a gas supplier to the pipeline so far;
    in fact, there have been numerous remarks claiming the contrary.

    In an interview with Today's Zaman last week, after the agreement
    was signed, Reinhard Mitschek, the managing director of Nabucco
    Gas Pipeline20International, said that Nabucco would not exclude
    any potential source and will be open for the transportation of any
    gas meeting quality requirements from every potential gas supplier,
    including Iran and Russia.

    "Nabucco has never, ever excluded any source. Bottom line, we have to
    buy the gas. The national gas companies will evaluate the political
    aspect, the commercial aspect, the technical aspect and then they
    will decide to buy gas from Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, Iraq, Iran and
    Russia," said Mitschek.
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