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  • Vertical divide of Lebanese coalitions to affect nation

    Arab News , Saudi Arabia
    June 7 2009


    Vertical divide of Lebanese coalitions to affect nation


    Omaima Alfardan & Fatima Sidiya | Arab News

    JEDDAH: On the eve of the crucial Lebanon elections, many experts have
    expressed the view that the increasingly vertical divide of coalitions
    would in all likelihood affect the identity of the nation. In what is
    being predicted as one of the tightest races, the new government, some
    say, could be partial to external influences.

    It would be against the interests of Lebanon for the
    Hezbollah-dominated March 8 coalition to win the country's
    parliamentary election today, said Dr. Waheed Hashem, professor of
    political study at King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah.

    Hashem said such a win would pose a real challenge to Lebanon, deeply
    affecting all of the country's sectors, including tourism. The
    election is mainly being fought by the Hezbollah-dominated March 8
    coalition on the one side and the Sunni-dominated March 14 coalition
    on the other ' both parties include the nation's Christian minorities.

    Hashem said the political conflict reminds one of the Lebanese Civil
    War and that a March 14 win would open up many opportunities for
    Lebanon. He also said that the regional and international importance
    of the Lebanese election could not be ignored, this is regardless of
    whether it is American, Iranian or Syrian interests in Lebanon.

    When asked whether independent candidates have been marginalized
    because of the two major parties, he said that the role of
    independents is crucial in determining the election's winner.

    Dr. Sarhan Al-Otaibi, professor of political science at King Saud
    University, said the election should not be viewed along sectarian
    lines. `We should look at them as two leading parties that are
    influenced by internal and external elements. The role of external
    influences on the Lebanese elections is a major and very important
    one,' he said.

    Al-Otaibi said since Rafik Hariri's assassination, the role of
    external factors (Iranian, Syrian, Middle Eastern, American and
    French) in internal Lebanese political affairs is widely visible. The
    conflict and lack of harmony between these regional and international
    elements is the main reason that has dragged Lebanon into this mess in
    the first place, he said. `If the Lebanese people want to adapt a
    balanced policy that serves Lebanese interests in the first place,
    then there should be understanding between the two coalitions. This
    should have not been left to outside forces to determine,' he said.

    Muneer Al-Khateeb, a Lebanese political analysts, said the election is
    not based on sectarianism, and should not be classified along
    sectarian lines.

    The March 14 coalition is Sunni in majority and includes other groups,
    he said, adding that the same goes with the Hezbollah-dominated March
    8 coalition with the majority Shiites and the Christians also forming
    a heavy political presence.

    The country's Armenian population, although a minority, is expected to
    determine the election's winner.

    He ruled out the effectiveness of regional influence on the election
    saying that the candidates are Lebanese, the voters are Lebanese and
    that the election is taking place on Lebanese soil.

    `Yes, both coalitions accuse each other of serving other regional or
    international powers, but they are equally influenced by outside
    forces. The regional influence is effective but will not determine the
    winner,' said Al-Khateeb.

    He said that if the March 8 coalition wins the election, the group
    would not be boycotted because they would be dealt with as a Lebanese
    power. He said that Western countries have previously given
    reassurances to accept the election results as long as the `the
    election is fair and clean, and there are no security issues.'

    He clarified that Iranian support for Hezbollah would be with tight
    official Lebanese approval. He also stressed that there is no chance
    for the Salafi group forming a presence in Lebanon, as the country is
    diverse.

    http://www.arabnews.com/?page=1&section=0&amp ;article=123332&d=7&m=6&y09
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