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Lebanon's Ruling Coalition Claims Election Victory Over Hezbollah

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  • Lebanon's Ruling Coalition Claims Election Victory Over Hezbollah

    LEBANON'S RULING COALITION CLAIMS ELECTION VICTORY OVER HEZBOLLAH
    Hugh Macleod in Beirut

    The Guardian
    Monday 8 June 2009

    - Saad Hariri expected to become prime minister
    - Vote deemed fairest in country's history

    Jubilant supporters of Lebanon's US-backed ruling coalition took to
    the streets last night, claiming a decisive election victory. It marks
    a dramatic reversal of fortunes after polls showed it losing its slim
    majority to a Hezbollah-led coalition backed by Syria and Iran.

    Fireworks streamed from the Beirut home of Saad Hariri, leader of the
    governing coalition and the top Sunni politician who is now expected
    to become prime minister. The post was held five times by his father,
    whose assassination in 2005 triggered a prolonged crisis.

    "We extend our hand to work together seriously and in earnest for the
    sake of Lebanon ... to build a strong and sovereign state," Hariri told
    supporters in the early hours of the morning. "Long live democracy."

    Appearing to concede defeat, Hezbollah MP Hassan Fadlallah told the
    Hezbollah-run Al Manar television: "Whatever the results are, it won't
    change the sensitive equilibrium. Lebanon's only choice is consensus."

    Official results will be announced early today, but supporters
    of the ruling coalition, known as March 14, last night began the
    celebrations on the streets of Beirut, blaring car horns and flying
    party colours. Local media reported that with 80 % of the votes
    counted, March 14 - which won elections in 2005 by opposing Syria,
    which they blame for Rafik Hariri's assassination - had a slim lead
    over the Syrian-backed opposition.

    Voters patiently queued all day outside polling booths, many for
    several hours, watched over by 50,000 soldiers and police in what
    monitors said was Lebanon's most free and fair parliamentary election
    to date.

    Isolated voting booths, indelible ink and a voter education campaign
    launched by the interior ministry made the elections a significant
    improvement on 2005, with turnout averaging more than 50%.

    The vote pitted a moderate Sunni-led government, supported by the
    west, Saudi Arabia and Egypt, against an opposition led by Hezbollah,
    the Middle East's most powerful militant group, which fought Israel
    in the devastating 2006 war and is financed by Iran's Shia government.

    Presidential elections will take place in Iran on Friday and
    fears about growing Iranian influence were evident in some Lebanese
    voters. "My main concern is for the army to be the only ones to carry
    arms," said Georges Abdo, a Christian hairdresser who voted for the
    current ruling coalition.

    Such fears were dismissed by voters supporting the Hezbollah-led
    coalition.

    "We don't listen to everything Hezbollah says," said Harout Vartanian,
    a 30-year-old Armenian kung-fu champion who said he was voting with
    the opposition in order to secure his community's represen tation
    in cabinet.

    There were widespread reports of vote-buying before the poll, with
    some Lebanese expatriates being offered free air tickets home. Though
    voting passed off largely without incident, tensions in the capital
    and the battleground Christian towns remained high, with the army
    imposing a midnight curfew on the capital.

    "Democracy is a blessing we must preserve, a blessing that
    distinguishes Lebanon in the Middle East," said President Michel
    Suleiman after voting in his home town of Amchit, north of Beirut. He
    urged Lebanese to vote "calmly and with joy".

    With Sunnis largely aligned with the incumbent government coalition
    and Shias solidly behind the Hezbollah-led opposition, Christians,
    who make up nearly 40% of Lebanon's 3.26m eligible voters, provide
    the crucial swing vote.

    Christian leader Michel Aoun redrew the political map in 2005 when
    he forged an unlikely alliance with Hezbollah, weathering fierce
    criticism from opponents. Aoun's party, the Free Patriotic Movement
    (FPM) could have delivered victory to Hezbollah's coalition if it
    had gained 10 extra seats in the 128-member parliament, which is
    divided equally between Muslims and Christians. The FPM has defended
    its alliance with Hezbollah as helping to stabilise Lebanon rather
    than give Hezbollah a platform for renewed conflict with Israel.

    "If the west wants to make serious negotiations with Islamist groups
    like Hezbollah then the FPM has set a precedent," Ziad Abs, who
    negotiated the FPM's alliance, told the Guardian. "The main threat
    to us is from Israel. There can be no stability in Lebanon without
    peace in the region."

    While the US continues to list Hezbollah as a terrorist organisation,
    Barack Obama has offered dialogue with Iran and is sending his Middle
    East envoy, George Mitchell, to the region this week to work on an
    Arab-Israeli peace deal, with a visit to Damascus expected.

    In a break with US policy, Britain announced in March that it would
    re-establish contact with Hezbollah politicians, making a distinction
    between the group's armed wing and its politics.
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