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Armenian Premier Downplays Impact Of National Currency Devaluation

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  • Armenian Premier Downplays Impact Of National Currency Devaluation

    ARMENIAN PREMIER DOWNPLAYS IMPACT OF NATIONAL CURRENCY DEVALUATION

    Public TV
    March 4 2009
    Armenia

    The Armenian prime minister has said that making the recent sharp
    move towards a floating currency exchange rate was more effective than
    letting the national currency devaluate gradually. He also downplayed
    the impact of the move on society.

    In an interview with Armenian Public TV aired on 4 March, Prime
    Minister Tigran Sargsyan said that the Armenian government had never
    backed off from the policy of a floating exchange rate but for some
    period of time it simply preferred financial stability.

    As a result of the move, Sargsyan said, Armenian banks have increased
    their liquid assets and are now able to serve the public and the
    economy. This decision was made after discussions on the issue with the
    World Bank (WB) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Sargsyan
    said. "This makes the environment more predictable for commercial
    banks, as well as the market, exporters and importers," Sargsyan said.

    The government has specified its programmes for the coming three or
    four years, after completing talks with the WB, IMF and "strategic
    partners", Sargsyan said, adding that this led to the IMF's decision
    to extend 540m dollars in a loan. The WB announced it would extend
    525m dollars in a loan to Armenia to be channelled into various
    sectors of the economy and the Russian prime minister said their
    government would allocate 500m dollars in a loan to Armenia, Sargsyan
    added. Other regional banks will also extend loans to Armenia,
    he noted. Sargsyan said that thanks to this, the government will
    prioritize social projects, meaning in particular that there will
    be no delays in paying pensions or salaries to teachers. This money
    will also be used to improve the infrastructure and contribute to
    economic growth by assisting companies that plan to create more jobs,
    he said. The best way to do this is to help small and medium-sized
    businesses, Sargsyan added.

    Sargsyan predicted that the prices that surged on 3 March would
    stabilize within a couple of days. "It is understandable that the
    20-per-cent devaluation of the national currency makes importers
    adjust their prices," Sargsyan said. He added that importers, however,
    operated in a very favourable environment in the past years due to
    the strong national currency and have accumulated a lot of funds,
    so they would not have many problems. The situation is under the
    control of the regulating bodies, he said, and if importers try to
    raise prices sharply, they will find themselves facing the risk of
    paying more taxes. So, the wisest policy for them would be to act in
    a more balanced way. We predict an 8-per-cent inflation rate for this
    year, which is the same figure as last year, he said.

    Sargsyan noted that the increase in the prices for natural gas,
    electricity and water was not big, and that calculations showed
    it would deduct some 2,000 drams (about 5.5 dollars) from family
    budget. But this is offset by the 14-per-cent rise in pensions that
    we have done for this year, Sargsyan said. In addition, the government
    will help the most vulnerable groups of society, he added.

    Sargsyan said that the devaluation of the dram would help boost
    domestic production and exports. He said the plan to devaluate the
    national currency was discussed with the captains of the Armenian
    economy, so it was not news to them. Also, he said, the government
    is helping companies that are having temporary problems due to the
    world financial crisis and those that are planning to create more
    jobs. "These are successful companies with serious assets, and they
    will create new jobs and add to our export potential," Sargsyan said.

    Sargsyan also said that Armenia has some strong sides in dealing with
    the second wave of the world economic crisis. These include strong
    macroeconomic indices, Armenia's small foreign debt and stable bank
    system, he said. Sargsyan also dismissed rumours that Armenia would
    enter the rouble zone, calling such a move "illogical."
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