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  • Israel and Turkey will allow interests to reconcile them

    The Daily Star, Lebanon
    March 9 2009


    Israel and Turkey will allow interests to reconcile them

    by Ofra Bengio



    Israel's three-week offensive in the Gaza Strip in January of this
    year threatened to wreck the unique relationship between Turkey and
    Israel. This begs the question: could or should a crisis between
    Israel and a third party bring about a deep transformation in the
    bilateral relations that have been developing between the two
    countries for more than 15 years?

    Israel's three-week offensive in the Gaza Strip in January of this
    year threatened to wreck the unique relationship between Turkey and
    Israel. This begs the question: could or should a crisis between
    Israel and a third party bring about a deep transformation in the
    bilateral relations that have been developing between the two
    countries for more than 15 years?

    The harsh Turkish reaction to the offensive was taken as a major
    indication of a Turkish volte-face at both the official and popular
    level. In a series of unprecedented attacks, Prime Minister Recep
    Tayyip Erdogan lashed out at Israel, declaring that the blood of dead
    Palestinian children would not be left on the ground and that Israel's
    deeds were "a crime against humanity." Worse still, he called for the
    expulsion of Israel, a Turkish ally, from the United Nations for
    ignoring the organization's call to stop the fighting in Gaza.

    Then came the Davos incident at the end of January, in which Erdogan
    demonstratively walked off the stage during a debate with Israeli
    President Shimon Peres. No wonder Erdogan came to be considered a hero
    by Gazans, Iranians and Syrians. Taking their cue from him, the media
    and the Turkish street escalated their anti-Israel and at times even
    anti-Semitic attacks to a point that in some instances surpassed those
    voiced in Arab countries. Huge anti-Israel demonstrations flooded the
    streets of Turkey's major cities and towns; demonstrators burned
    Israeli flags and waved anti-Israel and anti-Semitic slogans. One of
    the placards read: "Jews and Armenians cannot enter, but dogs can."

    The reaction at the popular Turkish level was part spontaneous and
    part officially organized, including even the mobilization of school
    children, which pointed to a political hand acting behind the
    scenes. Turkey, caught up in these dynamics, appeared to be finding
    common ground with Hamas, Syria and Iran in the axis of evil.

    In fact, Turkey's stance on Gaza should be understood as part of the
    proactive foreign policy of the government, led by the ruling Justice
    and Development Party (AKP). It was a diversionary ploy at home and a
    challenge to rivals at home and abroad. Evidently, there was genuine
    sympathy for the Palestinians among the Turkish people. But the
    government was also apparently attempting to manipulate this sympathy
    in order to mobilize support for the AKP in the upcoming Turkish local
    elections in March by deflecting attention away from the domestic
    problems with the Kurdish Workers Party (PKK), while also challenging
    the military - the architect of relations with Israel - and enhancing
    Turkey's role among Arab and Muslim countries.

    Yet for all these rhetorical and emotional reactions, the Turkish
    government did not initiate any "punitive" move against Israel. It did
    not recall its ambassador from Israel as it had done on an earlier
    occasion. Moreover, at the very time that Erdogan was lashing out at
    Israel, the two states reportedly signed a new bilateral arms deal.

    Many Turks wonder why Turkey, a major power in the region, still needs
    strong relations with Israel at a time when the entire regional
    strategic map has drastically changed from the one existing back in
    the 1990s, when the two forged their strategic ties? The answer seems
    obvious. To fulfill its proactive role, Ankara needs to remain on good
    terms with Israel, and thus enhance its stature and maneuverability as
    an honest broker. It has to preserve its image as a role model of a
    democratic Muslim country, maintaining the age-old balances between
    East and West, between the Arab world and Israel, and between Muslim
    and non-Muslim countries. Most important of all, Turkey needs to
    maintain its strategic alignment with Israel to ward off the primary
    dangers facing both countries, especially international terrorism and
    the possibility of nuclearization of the region.

    In Israel, wisely enough, the official reaction to the Turkish attacks
    was low-key. Indeed, in the eyes of some Israelis it was even too
    conciliatory. In fact, Israel could not afford the luxury of
    antagonizing such an important partner in a largely hostile
    region. The Israeli government was willing to bury its resentment in
    the understanding that if it managed to contain the crisis in Gaza, it
    would be able to weather the Turkish storm as well.

    Past experience has shown that the two countries' bilateral interests
    are stronger than sentiments. Notably, the correlation between
    progress in the peace process with the Palestinians and
    Turkish-Israeli relations, first apparent in the early 1990s,
    continues to hold. In the interim, the collapse of the peace process
    in October 2000 and the ensuing violence caused considerable damage to
    relations, whereas Israel's withdrawal from Gaza in summer 2005
    engendered a flood of visits by high-ranking Turkish officials and
    even the establishment of a hotline between Erdogan and then-Israeli
    Prime Minister Ariel Sharon.

    For all the damage done to Turkish-Israeli relations due to the Gaza
    offensive, the historic bonds of amity between the two peoples and the
    two states are likely once again to prove strong enough to overcome
    the latest crisis, even though it might take much longer this time.

    Ofra Bengio of the Moshe Dayan Center and the Department of Middle
    Eastern and African Studies at Tel Aviv University, is the author of
    "The Turkish-Israeli Relationship: Changing Ties of Middle Eastern
    Outsiders" (NY: Palgrave Macmillan, 2004). This commentary first
    appeared at bitterlemons-international.org, an online newsletter.
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