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  • "Paper Tigers" of MATO & CSTO

    WPS Agency, Russia
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    March 11, 2009 Wednesday


    "PAPER TIGERS" OF NATO AND CSTO

    by Alexander Khramchikhin

    COLLECTIVE RAPID RESPONSE FORCES MAY BE USED ONLY FOR SUPPRESSION OF
    INTERNAL RIOT AGAINST A REGIME IN ONE OF THE CSTO MEMBER STATES?; So
    far, all operational components of the armed forces of NATO and
    European Union resemble "paper tigers." Now Russia decided to offer a
    "decent response" creating a similar "tiger" in the framework of the
    CSTO.


    So far, all operational components of the armed forces of NATO and
    European Union resemble "paper tigers" very much. Now Russia decided
    to offer a "decent response" creating a similar "tiger" in the
    framework of the CSTO.

    Countries that are members of the Collective Security Treaty
    Organization (CSTO) now have very different views at goals and tasks
    of the organization. Russia sees it as one of the rudiments of the
    USSR that the Kremlin values for purely psychological reasons. Moscow
    may also view territories of its allies as a kind of antechamber in
    three most important strategic directions. In turn, the allies of
    Russia view Russia as a country that will fight for them (instead of
    them, to be more precise) not only in case of external aggression but
    also in case of internal conflicts (nobody cares if Russia itself
    needs this).

    NATO countries represent the only possible potential enemy for Belarus
    (both from political and from geographic standpoint). Armenia has
    potential enemy in the form of Turkey (Armenia can cope with
    Azerbaijan without assistance of CSTO yet). Of course, Turkey is a
    NATO member but in this case Yerevan justly views it as an entity
    separate from the alliance. Armenia does not wish only to fight but
    even to somehow quarrel with any other member states of this alliance.

    It is possible to say the same about Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and
    Tajikistan, only instead of Turkey they have China, Islamic terrorists
    and, frankly speaking, Uzbekistan.

    The Black and the Caspian seas divide the territories of CSTO member
    states into three isolated strategic directions: European (Russia and
    Belarus), Caucasian (Russia and Armenia) and Central Asian (Russia,
    Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan). It is easy to notice
    that there is only one country besides Russia in two of the three
    directions. Hence, is it possible to imagine soldiers from Central
    Asian countries defending Belarus from NATO or Armenia from Turkey?

    In any case, Armenia and Belarus will not defend each other mutually
    too. These countries will not send their soldiers to Central Asia for
    sure. Lukashenko regularly informs citizens of his country that
    Belarusian boys do not fight outside of the country. Will he send
    these boys to save Armenians from Turks and Central Asian countries
    from Talibs and moreover from China?

    Thus, bilateral agreements on mutual defense with Belarus and Armenia
    are more than enough for Russia for provision of defense in the
    European and Caucasian directions. In this case the CSTO is not
    necessary and is even burdensome because it creates a ground for
    conflicts among its member states. Only in the Central Asian direction
    it really makes sense to establish a collective military
    organization. Even in this case, Russia needs to determine its own
    interests. After all, it is high time to quit the practice established
    in the CIS when Russia has only duties and the rest have only rights,
    when Russia always pays for everything and it does not even occur to
    the rest that they need to pay at least for something some time too.

    CSTO member states obviously expect to receive Russian military
    hardware at internal Russian prices. Along with this, their
    contribution to the collective rapid response forces being formed (to
    be more accurate, declared) will be, to put this mild, not very big.

    Judging by the potential, the collective rapid response forces can be
    used only for suppression of internal riots against a regime in one of
    the CSTO member states. Hence, Russia will act as a regional gendarme
    at its own expense. The might of the collective rapid response forces
    will simply be insufficient for anything bigger. From this standpoint
    the collective rapid response forces of the CSTO are really comparable
    to those of NATO, although according to the formal potential they are
    much inferior to such forces of NATO (six corps formations in the
    ground forces alone).

    The real value of the CSTO was already demonstrated during the war in
    South Ossetia. Our allies did not come to help Russia and did not even
    recognize independence of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. The Kremlin
    simply wastes money to atone its psychological complexes of Soviet
    origin. It is good if the price is confined to money alone and it will
    not be necessary to pay with lives of our servicemen for some of the
    "allies" that will never do anything for Russia.

    Source: Nezavisimoe Voennoe Obozrenie, No. 8, March 06-12, 2009, p. 1

    Translated by InterContact
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