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  • Our Man in Azerbaijan

    The Santa Barbara Independent, CA
    March 15 2009


    Our Man in Azerbaijan
    Los Angeles-Based Consul General Elin Suleymanov Makes a Santa Barbara Stop

    By Matt Kettmann

    Although Azerbaijan ' the former Soviet republic that's evolved to
    become a major player in the international oil business ' seems like a
    long way away, the world's first Muslim democracy may have more Santa
    Barbara connections than you'd think. The country's Consul General
    Elin Suleymanov spoke to students at Santa Barbara City College in
    early March, for instance, and visited UCSB's Capps Center, which is
    also where Suleymanov has been working with nanotechnology experts to
    develop an extensive nano-network in his homeland. And during midweek
    tour, Suleymanov made a brief stop by the offices of The Santa Barbara
    Independent, where we chatted for awhile about the South Caucasus
    region as a whole and Azerbaijan's specific challenges in getting
    their oil and natural gas to the rest of the world.



    The Azerbaijani flag

    Having spent more than a month in that curious corner of the world
    back in 2004 ' reporting specifically on the war-torn, officially
    unrecognized republic of Nagorno-Karabakh (see my articles here and
    here) ' I've loosely followed the region's developments over the past
    five years, and was curious to hear what Suleymanov had to say. When
    the Soviet Union crumbled in 1991, his country engaged in a bloody war
    against Armenia over the Nagorno-Karabakh region, which existed during
    Soviet times as an independent, mostly ethnic Armenian `oblast'
    located within the borders of Azerbaijan. When the world intervened in
    1994 and the smoke cleared, roughly 30,000 people were dead, but the
    Armenians had won the historic Nagorno-Karabakh lands, plus a
    considerable swath of what was considered traditional Azeri property.

    Conflict with Armenia Since 1994, a ceasefire has existed along the
    disputed border, and peace is only occasionally broken by the exchange
    of sniper fire. But even today, the situation remains tense and
    unresolved, as the international community ' working together via the
    Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe's (OSCE) Minsk
    Group ' has been debating the solution to the geopolitical dilemma for
    nearly 15 years. As diplomats from Russia, the United States, and
    Europe consider solutions, Nagorno-Karabakh has developed a seemingly
    functional republic, but is only recognized by Armenia, a country that
    seems to be struggling both politically (having killed protesters
    after the last election) and financially (having recently asked Russia
    for a $500 million loan).



    A map of Azerbaijan. The disputed area of Nagorno-Karabakh is located
    in the mountainous red area to the east of Armenia.

    Azerbaijan, meanwhile, has been able to move forward thanks to its
    considerable oil and natural gas resources in the Caspian Sea, and is
    actively engaged in conversation with Georgia, the third country in
    the South Caucasus region. But the Karabakh situation still hangs over
    the lives of most Azeris, and remains a shadow on the country's
    attempts to progress into the 21st century, in large part because the
    unresolved situation blocks any meaningful interaction with Armenia.

    That was one of the main messages relayed last Wednesday by
    Suleymanov, who expressed hope that upcoming talks between the
    Armenian and Azeri presidents would be fruitful. But he's not holding
    his breath.

    `We have a generation who has grown up in exile in Azerbaijan,' he
    explained, referring to the thousands who were displaced due to the
    war. He called the establishment of Nagorno-Karabakh `the most
    thorough ethnic cleansing' in history, and explained, `If you kicked
    everyone out, it's easy to pretend you have a government.' He is
    hopeful that a two-stage process 'first with international
    peacekeepers, second with open borders to allow refugees to go home '
    could work in Nagorno-Karabakh. Down the road, that openness could
    lead to a South Caucasus passport of sorts, allowing Armenians,
    Azeris, and Georgians to travel freely in the region, much like the
    current state of the European Union.



    Jonathan Alpeyrie

    Remnants of the war over Nagorno-Karabakh, near the frontlines

    But even before a full resolution to the conflict, Suleymanov believes
    Armenia can change the tide, and become an integral part of the South
    Caucasus's economic and political worlds. `To have Armenia as part of
    the region would be a good thing,' he explained. `But they have to
    decide what they want: Do they want to be part of the region or do
    they want something separate? Are you a historic tribe or are you a
    nation?' He said that Armenia's lack of regional participation has
    `handicapped' the region as a whole because the country does not have
    `experience in real practical life.' By comparison, Azerbaijan and
    Georgia are able to `work very well together and put aside their
    differences.' That cooperation strengthens both countries, said
    Suleymanov, explaining, `If we make Georgia better, we're better off
    ourselves.'

    Peddling Black Gold
    For Azerbaijan, that regional participation revolves largely around
    oil and natural gas, and the need for open pathways to Europe and
    beyond to sell such resources. There is already a pipeline through
    Georgia, but Suleymanov implied that the recent war between Georgia
    and Russia over South Ossetia was waged by the Russians, in part, for
    intimidation purposes. Russia, taking its lead from the Soviet Union's
    decades of tight control, has long reigned over any oil coming out of
    the region and is reluctant to lose market share to Azerbaijan. The
    Russians have even offered to buy it at a higher price than would be
    paid in Europe, said Suleymanov, just so they can then deliver it to
    Europe and retain their distribution foothold. As such, Suleymanov's
    country has been forced to get creative.



    Azerbaijan's capital city of Baku, at night

    `We just want to sell our oil,' said the consul general. `That's all
    we want to do.' As well, Suleymanov proved a big proponent of natural
    gas, calling it the `bridge to the future' and arguing that it was the
    best stepping stone between oil and renewable resources. Currently,
    their oil goes through Georgia and Turkey and into Greece and other
    parts of Europe, and they are making attempts to get more flowing
    toward Western Europe. But geopolitics ' largely dominated ruled by
    Russia's desires ' keep getting in the way. `We're about to begin
    expanding has production,' said Suleymanov, `but we have to line up
    our partners first.'

    The country is also focused on, as their official mantra goes,
    `turning black gold into human gold.' Suleymanov called the slogan
    `somewhat cheesy' but defended its intention to plan for the future,
    since oil and natural gas are finite resources. The nanotechnology
    talks with UCSB are part of that diversification goal. `It's not about
    oil and gas,' he explained. `It's about how you use oil and gas.'

    State of Azerbaijani Democracy
    Eventually, our conversation turned to the state of democracy and
    freedom in Azerbaijan, which, when I investigated the region in 2004,
    did not seem promising. Though my research then was based on all
    available articles and books, my first-hand reporting relied mostly on
    the opinions of Armenians, as the only access to the Nagorno-Karabakh
    Republic (NKR) was through the embassy in Yerevan and via the winding
    roads of southern Armenia. Once in NKR, our guides and translators
    were Karabakh natives who had lived through the war's bombing raids
    and, in certain cases, fought as soldiers themselves. Their opinions
    on the matter, of course, were strong and therefore dominated my
    reports, which described what appeared to be a fully functioning
    though internationally ignored NKR, complete with a parliament (whose
    leader I interviewed extensively), a military (with whom we ate,
    drank, and shot guns), ministers (some of whom gave us thoughtful
    gifts upon our departure), and a president (who lived in a mansion
    next door to our rented flat). As well, the available literature
    overwhelmingly suggested that NKR and Armenia had fought the more
    noble cause ' though as I have come to learn from reporting on other
    geopolitical conflicts, the fog of war is always thick, and verifiable
    truth is one of the first things to die on the battlefield.



    Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev

    As a result of that, I did reach out to the Azerbaijan government for
    comments in 2004. They proved unresponsive at the time, though I was
    able to get an angry and enflamed counterpoint from at least one Azeri
    citizen. On top of that, the available reporting on the Azeri
    government in 2004 was disheartening ' there was a drastic lack of
    independent, non-state-sponsored journalism, their recent and upcoming
    elections were awash in controversy and corruption, and the vitriolic
    attacks lobbed by everyday citizens against the Armenians was evidence
    to me that their emotions had blinded Azerbaijan from any peaceful
    resolution to the conflict.

    Listening to Suleymanov's descriptions of his home country, it appears
    that things have drastically changed. `Every nation in that part of
    the world is making progress,' said the consul general, who was quick
    to point out the troubles recently affecting both Georgia and Ukraine,
    countries once considered `beacons of democracy.' Suleymanov said that
    the 2008 election in Azerbaijan went well, and that the government is
    largely supported by the population. He compared that to the 10 people
    killed by the Armenian government following their recent
    election. `They say that Azerbaijanis like to shoot,' said Suleymanov,
    referring to the NKR conflict. `But in one day, the Armenian
    government in downtown Yerevan kills more people than we do [during
    the entire 15-year NKR ceasefire].'

    Suleymanov is quick to re-assess what we mean when we say
    democracy. `Do we mean elections?' he asked, later adding, `Hitler was
    elected.' Or, Suleymanov asked, `Do we mean tolerance? Do we mean
    women's rights? Do we mean children's rights? On the composite scale,
    I think Azerbaijan is doing very well.' Suleymanov noted that
    Azerbaijan was the first Muslim democracy in the world, and the first
    country to give women the right to vote, both of which were wiped away
    when the Russian Empire an, later, the Soviet Union took over. But
    today, Azerbaijan is a `diverse, pluralistic' society, and a very
    moderate country by Muslim standards. There are even more than 10,000
    Armenians living in Baku, he explained, and although passion run high
    because of the NKR conflict, they are still welcome.

    Whatever the truth may be, one thing's clear: Elin Suleymanov, as
    consul general of the Republic of Azerbaijan's Los Angeles-based
    outreach office, is doing his best to introduce his country to the
    rest of the West Coast. Now it's up to the rest of us, from
    nanotechnology researchers at UCSB to SBCC students studying
    geopolitics, to decide if and how his country fits into our future.

    http://www.independent.com/news/2009/mar/ 15/our-man-azerbaijan/
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