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Caspian Prospects: Lavrov Tested In Baku The Soil For The Formation

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  • Caspian Prospects: Lavrov Tested In Baku The Soil For The Formation

    CASPIAN PROSPECTS: LAVROV TESTED IN BAKU THE SOIL FOR THE FORMATION OF A NEW REGIONAL ALLIANCE
    by Sokhbet Mamedov

    Nezavisimaya Gazeta website
    March 13 2009
    Moscow

    Russia is hoping to use the Qabala radar even after 2012

    Baku - Caspian topics and also the first results of implementation
    of the Declaration of Friendship and Strategic Partnership Between
    Russia and Azerbaijan of 3 July 2008 underlay the negotiations that
    were held on Thursday [12 March] in Baku by Russian Foreign Minister
    Sergey Lavrov. The negotiations were held as part of a two-day visit
    to Azerbaijan.

    Lavrov spoke about the purposes of his visit to Baku in a lengthy
    interview for several Azerbaijani press agencies on the eve of
    his arrival in Baku. "I hope during the scheduled meeting with the
    president of the Republic of Azerbaijan to hear the opinions of the
    Azerbaijani head of state on the present state and prospects of the
    development of relations between our countries," Lavrov said. He
    observed here that "I am geared up for a comprehensive discussion
    with Foreign Minister [Elmar] Mammadyarov on the entire range of key
    issues of the bilateral agenda, including political cooperation and
    interaction in the economic and humanitarian fields."

    Specifying what he had said, the minister announced that "the foreign
    policy component of the talks will be very full, naturally. Russia
    and Azerbaijan, as allied states and active regional players, have
    many subjects for discussion. Among them, of course, are Caspian
    affairs, including determination of the legal status of the Caspian,
    the formation of a multilateral mechanism in support of security in
    the Caspian, and the organization of Caspian economic cooperation".

    We should note that the local press has for several days now been
    giving extensive coverage to the visit to Azerbaijan of the leader
    of Russia's foreign policy department. Since not all nuances of the
    negotiations will be made public, the senior political pundits are
    pointing in their commentaries to the presence of two main topics,
    at a minimum. Mubariz Ahmadoglu, director of the Centre for Political
    Innovation and Political Technology, says there may be no doubt that
    the main topic was a settlement of the Karabakh conflict.

    "Russia is unwilling as yet to hand over to anyone the initiative
    in a settlement of this problem. The United States and France are
    not involving themselves in our conflict in full strength, you could
    say. And I believe that Russia will take advantage of this situation,"
    the political pundit told NG [Nezavisimaya Gazeta].

    Eldar Valiyev, columnist of the Zerkalo newspaper, believes that it is
    most likely that Lavrov will in Baku test the soil for the formation
    in the region of an anti-American alliance. "Russia is the sponsor
    of the formation of a multilateral mechanism in support of security
    in the Caspian and a new regional structure - the Caspian Economic
    Cooperation Organization (OKES). Moscow believes that the formation
    of a new regional organization in the Caspian would strongly boost
    a convergence of the positions of the countries of the region and
    permit them to more confidently defend their foreign policy interests
    internationally. For Russia this means the start of an active offensive
    against the policy of the United States in the South Caucasus and
    Central Asia," the columnist observes.

    Few people are noticing against this background the presence of
    such topics of considerable importance as Iran and the Nabucco gas
    project. Lavrov's visit to Baku in the immediate aftermath of the
    Tehran session of the Economic Cooperation Organization should hardly
    in this sense be considered a mere coincidence. Consequently, this
    subject could not have been avoided at the meeting with the president
    of Azerbaijan.

    First, Iran is exhibiting unprecedented assertiveness for
    participation in implementation of the Nabucco project, contemplating
    the transportation of gas by its territory from Turkmenistan
    included. Second, Tehran, like Moscow, is not a supporter of the
    increased presence of the United States and Western countries in the
    Caspian. Both these topics are, one way or another, the focus of the
    attention of Russian foreign policy, which would like to win over
    Azerbaijan, which makes no secret of its endeavour to integrate in
    Euro-Atlantic structures, also. In a word, Russia's foreign minister
    had more than enough topics for discussion in Baku. But it will be
    some time, to all appearances, before the specifics of results of
    the negotiations here are known.

    Sergey Lavrov also discussed the prospects of Russia's use of the
    Qabala radar in Azerbaijan even after 2012, when the agreement on its
    lease expires. "The Russian Federation is interested in cooperation
    with the Azerbaijanis in the use of the Qabala radar and will
    materialize this interest through arrangements with our Azerbaijani
    colleagues," Lavrov said about the results of the negotiations with
    Elmar Mammadyarov.
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