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BAKU: It Is Most Important For Armenia To Remain On The Occupied Lan

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  • BAKU: It Is Most Important For Armenia To Remain On The Occupied Lan

    IT IS MOST IMPORTANT FOR ARMENIA TO REMAIN ON THE OCCUPIED LANDS OF AZERBAIJAN AS LONG AS POSSIBLE: RUSSIAN POLITICAL SCIENTIST

    Today.Az
    http://www.today.az/news/polit ics/51116.html
    March 17 2009
    Azerbaijan

    It is most important for Armenia to remain on the occupied lands
    of Azerbaijan as long as possible, said Russian political scientist
    Alexander Karavayev, chief of the service of political forecast of
    the Center of studying post-Soviet area.

    According to him, it is difficult to say anything clearly whether
    there is still a perspective or danger of resumption of hostilities
    in Nagorno Karabakh for the interests of any party-either Azerbaijan,
    Armenia, Russia or West.

    "On the one hand, we hear every day about the fire on the line on
    armed confrontation and tensions is constantly felt. Therefore, we
    can not reject anything or even speak of any terms. Another matter is
    that if we agan compare the situation around Nagorno Karabakh with
    Georgian conflicts, the probability of resumption of hostilities
    between Azerbaijan and Armenia is extremely low.

    Here I mean hostilities that would not go beyond the framework
    of small incidents when there is information about the passage of
    one or even a group of soldiers over the contact line. Of courses,
    such cases are not a cause to resume war, though on the other hand,
    the cause can be insignificant. But on the whole we see that each
    side finds it difficult to start war, considering that superpowers
    will not render a direct aid either to Armenia or Azerbaijan for the
    armed completion of this conflict", noted the political scientist.

    He said we can not state that Russia will provide Armenia with any
    sources for it to fix in the region.

    "On the whole, when I hear some statements that Armenia is planning
    hostilities to expand the occupation area, I ask a question to
    myself-why does it need it for? As in the sense of Armenian military
    planning this is an absolute nonsense", noted Kaaravayev

    It is most important for Armenia to remain on the occupied lands of
    Azerbaijan as long as possible, said he.

    "But another matter is that when Azerbaijan pays attention to different
    possible variants of the development of such a script. They usually
    try to substantiate the division of geopolitical spheres of influence,
    which would mean deployment of peacekeeping contingent there in the
    framework of NATO, or other framework but without Russia, or vise
    versa, deployment of peacekeeping contingent by CSTO and Russia",
    he said and concluded that such measures can cardinally change
    the regional system of security balances and influence the wider
    redistribution of powers in the Near East region.

    Such scripts, he said deserve instant attention but on the whole it
    is just clear that today the South Caucasus region is not so important.
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