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BAKU: EU Not Well Represented In Talks On Frozen Conflicts In Caucas

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  • BAKU: EU Not Well Represented In Talks On Frozen Conflicts In Caucas

    EU NOT WELL REPRESENTED IN TALKS ON FROZEN CONFLICTS IN CAUCASUS - GERMAN EXPERT

    news.az
    Nov 10 2009
    Azerbaijan

    Kathrin Brockmann News.Az interviews Kathrin Brockmann, resident
    fellow of the German Council on Foreign Relations' International
    Forum on Strategic Thinking.

    What is Azerbaijan for the EU? Is it just an energy supplier or
    something more?

    Energy issues do play an essential role in EU policies. However, as
    one of the EU's Eastern neighbours, Azerbaijan is more than just an
    energy supplier to the European Union. After the 2004 enlargement,
    the EU debated the issue of avoiding dividing lines and "new walls"
    in Europe by promoting regional frameworks for cooperation with
    its neighbours.

    The conflicts over Nagorno-Karabakh, South Ossetia and Abkhazia have
    put economic and political pressure on the three Caucasian countries,
    impoverished their societies, created conditions for the emergence of
    organized crime and have negatively impacted on their democratization
    processes.

    Kathrin BrockmannThis debate eventually resulted in the creation of the
    European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP). The ultimate aim of this policy
    is to bring its neighbours closer to the EU and to establish an area
    of prosperity, security and stability in the wider European space. It
    is therefore also out of normative and security considerations that
    the EU is interested in close and good relations with Azerbaijan. With
    the creation of the Eastern Partnership, the EU has recently expressed
    its commitment to intensify relations with its Eastern neighbours.

    Do you see Azerbaijan in the EU in the future?

    The instruments and incentives that the EU offers to its neighbours
    in the framework of the ENP are summarized in the catch-phrase "all
    but institutions".

    As such, the ENP is designed as a complementary instrument to
    enlargement policy and does not entail the perspective of membership.

    The EU is currently experiencing institutional overstretch and frequent
    political gridlock, that have been further aggravated by the latest
    enlargements. The prevailing enlargement fatigue makes it unlikely that
    the EU will open new membership negotiations with any country soon.

    However, it will be difficult for the EU to deny the prospect of
    membership to any European country that entirely fulfills all economic
    and political criteria for accession (Copenhagen criteria). In
    this respect, while it is unlikely in the near future, membership
    is not impossible at a later stage should reforms proceed in the
    right direction.

    Do you share the opinion that ethnic conflicts in Europe, in particular
    in the South Caucasus, are threats for Europe?

    The conflicts over Nagorno-Karabakh, South Ossetia and Abkhazia have
    put economic and political pressure on the three Caucasian countries,
    impoverished their societies, created conditions for the emergence of
    organized crime and have negatively impacted on their democratization
    processes.

    These developments contribute to instability and insecurity in
    the region and undermine the countries' path towards Euro-Atlantic
    integration. The eruption of the frozen conflict that led to the
    war between Georgia and Russia in the summer of 2008 is a prominent
    example.

    Following a wider notion of security, such conflicts pose not only
    threats to regional stability but also to European values and the
    livelihoods and rights of many people.

    What kind of role can the EU play to support stability and peace in
    the region?

    Within the EU a broad consensus prevails that there is a positive
    correlation between democracy, peace and stability.

    Following these considerations, the EU's efforts to promote stability
    and peace in the region are geared towards supporting democratic
    reforms, good governance and institution-building, with the ENP being
    the most prominent instrument at its disposal apart from enlargement.

    While there is truth in the assumption that consolidated democracies
    are more peaceful than any other form of government, this does not
    necessarily hold true for countries in democratic transition, which
    are often prone to conflict.

    Given the already existing tensions within their societies, any attempt
    to assist the democratization of the countries in the South Caucasus
    will have to go hand-in-hand with conflict resolution efforts. In
    this respect there is still some homework to be done for the EU. The
    conciliation of interests within a European Union of 27 states remains
    a challenge. In addition, the EU has so far been unable to come up
    with a coherent stance towards Russia, which remains a powerful actor
    in the region.

    Last but not least, the EU has failed to match its concern over
    the frozen conflicts in the region by an adequate presence in the
    respective negotiations to solve them. Only if the EU manages to take
    into account the national peculiarities and needs of the countries
    in the South Caucasus and accompanies its democracy assistance with
    enhanced conflict resolution efforts, might it be able to make use
    of its transformative power to promote stability and peace in its
    immediate neighbourhood.
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