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Turkey's Identity Crisis: Where Is Ankara Heading?

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  • Turkey's Identity Crisis: Where Is Ankara Heading?

    TURKEY'S IDENTITY CRISIS: WHERE IS ANKARA HEADING?

    Khaleej Times
    Nov 13 2009
    UAE

    13 November 2009 There have been many questions raised in recent
    months regarding Turkey's position on a number of issues which have
    been viewed in the West, particularly in Washington, with trepidation.

    However, the international community can, in the short term at least,
    count on Turkey's support in matters relating to counterterrorism,
    both regionally and globally.

    Turkey, after all, has been a prime target of terrorism for the good
    part of the last four decades. But Turkey seems to be handling the
    threats aimed its way diplomatically, all while keeping the military
    option on the table, as the former U.S. president George W. Bush
    liked to say.

    The government of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's Islamist
    Justice and Development Party (AKP) has confronted the threat from
    the PKK, the Kurdistan Worker's Party with a combination of military
    power and political negotiations. A recent visit by Foreign Minister
    Ahmet Davutoglu to Iraqi Kurdistan, the first of its kind, and Ankara's
    intention on opening a consulate in Irbil, the capital of the Kurdistan
    Regional Government of Iraq is a prime example of Turkey's ability
    to apply the right amount of pressure and the right amount of power.

    Turkey's thawing of relations with Armenia is another prime example
    of Ankara's successes in regional politics.

    Yet one may begin to question whether the Turkish example of strict
    "laicite," a word borrowed from the French in order to underline the
    strict separation of church and state as wished for by the founder of
    modern day Turkey, Mustapha Kemal Ataturk, is about to become a memory
    of a short-lived dream, if Turkey will chose instead to emulate its
    neighbour, Iran.

    Despite its geopolitical significance, despite its geostrategic
    fixture as a bridge between the Muslim world and the Judeo-Christian
    West--including the long-standing pivotal role Turkey plays within
    NATO and beyond, including Turkish good offices when advancing the
    Middle East Peace process-- there are mounting concerns stemming from
    both internal and external developments.

    Domestically, the Justice and Development Party that has come into
    power since 2002, seems to gradually transform the country from a
    secular-European state along the directives outlined by Ataturk's
    tradition, into a theologically based-nation modeled on Islamic
    teachings and practices. Internationally, fears have been expressed
    that Turkey can no longer be regarded as a reliable ally providing
    critical support for regional and global security needs.

    In 2009, for example, several incidents resulted in increasing tensions
    between Turkey and its friends in NATO and elsewhere. In January Prime
    Minister Erdogan criticized Israeli president Shimon Peres during a
    televised debate at the World Economic Forum in Davos over the war
    in Gaza; a war which Turkey joined its Arab neighbours in calling
    "unjust."

    In October Turkey canceled scheduled war games with Israel's air force;
    then Turkish state run television began broadcasting anti-Semitic
    programs; and finally, Ankara has strengthened its diplomatic and
    economic cooperation with Iran and Syria, two countries who stand
    accused by a large segment of the international community of sponsoring
    terrorism. It is not surprising therefore that these developments
    are worrisome to the United States, the European allies and Israel,
    particularly relating to Turkish foreign policy's disposition on war
    and peace issues. Undoubtedly, the uncertainty of Ankara's apparent
    changing diplomatic and strategic course further complicates prospects
    of it joining the European Union.

    Already Germany's new coalition government has voiced a strong
    opposition to Ankara's EU accession, underscoring Berlin's principal,
    "not membership, but privileged partnership." Similar sentiments are
    echoed by France's President Nicolas Sarkozy.

    Still, Turkey's support of counterterrorism efforts remains strong
    as Ankara seems very likely to continue to be victimised in the
    foreseeable future by politically motivated terrorism emanating
    from Kurdish separatists and from religious motivated terrorism from
    Al-Qaeda and its affiliates. And for the foreseeable future the PKK
    Kurdish separatists will continue to represent a serious challenge
    to Turkey's internal security. Ankara's response has been to strike
    the PKK and to pursue them in their safe havens well inside the
    Kurdish region in northern Iraq. At the same time Ankara is offering
    Turkey's Kurds "expanding rights," such as permitting Kurdish language
    television programs.

    Turkey's counterterrorism efforts are also of immense value to its
    allies outside the country. Particular mention needs to be made
    of Ankara's role in the Euro-Mediterranean partnership with Turkey
    seeking to improve political, economic and cultural relations in the
    region. Additionally, the Istanbul Cooperation Initiative aims to
    promote military to military cooperation in combating terrorism.

    Yet between Ankara's flirting with the Islamist East and wanting
    to become part of the democratic West, Turkey is a county doing a
    strange political waltz; one step forward and two steps back. Under
    the leadership of Prime Minister Erdogan and his Islamist-leaning AKP,
    the country has taken great strides forward, appearing more and more
    like Europe, a political entity Ankara badly wants to join. For the
    moment that is appearances; the reality may be different. The hope is
    that Turkey's national interest will ultimately drive the country's
    foreign policy in a more balanced direction.

    Yonah Alexander is professor emeritus at the State University of New
    York and director for the International Center for Terrorism Studies
    in Washington, DC
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