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  • Azerbaijan May Spurn West

    AZERBAIJAN MAY SPURN WEST

    International News
    http://www.thenews.com.pk/print1.asp?id=21071 8
    Nov 27 2009
    Pakistan

    BAKU: On a windswept hilltop looking down at the Azerbaijani capital
    Baku, Turkish flags flutter over a monument that testifies to decades
    of close ties between the two nations.

    Surrounding an obelisk bearing the Turkish crescent and star, stone
    blocks carry the names of dozens of Turkish soldiers who died while
    fighting for Azerbaijan's independence before it was absorbed into
    the Soviet Union in 1922.

    For Turks and Azerbaijanis, who share close ethnic and linguistic
    roots, the monument is a symbol of what officials in both countries
    frequently describe as "brotherly" relations.

    So it came as a shock when Azerbaijan -- angry over Ankara's efforts
    at reconciliation with Azerbaijan's arch-rival Armenia -- removed
    the Turkish flags flying over the monument in October.

    After some soothing words from Ankara, the flags soon returned. But
    anger at Turkey is running deep in Azerbaijan, and tensions are
    threatening not only a partnership that has been crucial for both
    countries, but also Western interests in an area of great strategic
    importance.

    Diplomats and analysts say resentment in Azerbaijan is aimed not
    only at Nato member Turkey for pursuing ties with Armenia, but also
    at the United States and Europe for pushing Ankara towards a deal.

    That could see Azerbaijan turn away from nearly two decades of looking
    to the West, threatening vital energy supplies to Europe and sowing
    further instability in the volatile South Caucasus region between
    Russia and Iran.

    "It's not only Azerbaijan whose interests are put at risk by this
    abruptive, not carefully prepared... rapprochement between Turkey
    and Armenia," Azerbaijani Deputy Foreign Minister Araz Azimov told
    AFP in an interview.

    The interests of Europe and the United States also stand to suffer,
    he said, while warning that "reactions from Azerbaijan will be even
    more harsh" if Turkey ratifies a deal to establish diplomatic ties
    and open its border with Armenia. At the centre of the dispute is
    the mountainous southwestern Azerbaijani region of Nagorny Karabakh,
    where ethnic Armenian separatists, backed by Yerevan, seized control
    from Baku during a war in the early 1990s that left 30,000 dead.

    Negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the region have been
    stalled for years and tensions remain high, with frequent fighting
    and deadly shootings along a fragile ceasefire line.

    Turkey closed its border with Armenia in 1993 in solidarity with
    Azerbaijan over the Karabakh conflict, and Baku insists the border
    should not re-open until the region's status is settled.

    The United States and Europe had pushed for Ankara to reach a deal
    with Armenia earlier, making it appear that Baku's interests have
    been set aside, said Vladimir Socor, a regional expert with the
    Washington-based Jamestown Foundation.

    "Azerbaijan is justifiably irritated with Western policy on this
    issue," he said. "Azerbaijan correctly feels that its own security
    concerns and the Karabakh issue are simply not being taken into
    account to a sufficient degree, if at all, by the United States and
    by the major European powers."

    Socor said that by ignoring Azerbaijan's interests, Western powers
    are jeopardising years of effort to gain influence in the strategic
    Caucasus region and to tap the vast energy reserves of the Caspian Sea.

    Since gaining its independence with the Soviet collapse in 1991,
    Azerbaijan has been at the heart of Western efforts to transport oil
    and gas from the Caspian to Europe, decreasing Western reliance on
    Russian supplies.

    Baku is the starting point for two major pipelines carrying oil and
    gas from the Caspian, through Georgia and Turkey, to hungry European
    consumers.

    Efforts are underway to expand the network into Central Asia,
    and Azerbaijan is also considered a key potential supplier for
    the European Union's flagship Nabucco gas pipeline. But in the
    wake of the Armenia-Turkey deal, Azerbaijan has threatened to seek
    alternative export routes and in recent months has signed new supply
    deals with both Russia and Iran. Azimov, the deputy foreign minister,
    said the West needs to realise that pushing for a deal between Turkey
    and Armenia without taking Baku's interests into account will have
    consequences.

    "The question that needs to be asked is: Are we important? And if
    we are, then issues have to be solved in a way providing for all
    interests," he said.
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