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  • Armenia, Doubts Emerge

    ARMENIA, DOUBTS EMERGE
    Zerin Elci and Hasmik Lazarian

    Related News
    Wed Oct 7, 2009 12:54pm EDT

    ANKARA/YEREVAN (Reuters) - Turkey expects historic accords to normalize
    ties with Armenia to be signed on Saturday in Switzerland in a step
    toward ending a century of hostility, senior Turkish government
    sources said on Wednesday.

    But doubts have emerged in diplomatic circles about whether the
    ceremony would take place because of pressure from the powerful
    Armenian diaspora, as well as opposition within Armenia and to a
    certain extent Turkey.

    "There are no changes to those plans," a senior Turkish government
    source, referring to the planned signature of protocols in Zurich on
    October 10, told Reuters. Another government source, who also declined
    to be named, agreed.

    Armenian Deputy Foreign Minister Arman Kirakossian told Reuters that
    a decision had not yet been taken on when and where the protocols
    would be signed but acknowledged they needed to happen shortly as an
    agreed deadline was approaching.

    "The signing ceremony is very important because Armenia has always
    stated its desire to establish relations without preconditions. And
    I hope that these protocols will be signed very soon," Kirakossian
    told Reuters in Yerevan.

    Turkey and Armenia have no diplomatic ties because of hostility
    stemming from the mass killings of Armenians by Ottoman Turks during
    World War One.

    Turkey closed its border with Armenia in 1993 in solidarity with fellow
    Muslim Azerbaijan, then at war with Armenian-backed ethnic Armenians.

    Turkey and Armenia agreed on August 31 to sign, within six weeks, two
    protocols on the establishment of diplomatic ties, opening a common
    border and for historians to investigate the events surrounding the
    killings of Armenians in 1915.

    But Armenia was taken by surprise when Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip
    Erdogan announced in New York that the agreements would be signed on
    October 10.

    Turkish Foreign Ministry officials later told reporters each country's
    foreign minister would attend the ceremony in Zurich.

    Armenian President Serzh Sarksyan is on a week-long intercontinental
    charm offensive to calm concerns in the Armenian diaspora over the
    historic thaw with Turkey. Diplomatic observers also fear the signing
    could be disrupted by demands by some Turks for a resolution on the
    Nagorno-Karabakh dispute.

    Armenian nationalists demand that Turkey acknowledge the 1915 killings
    as genocide and protests have erupted in France and Lebanon. Ankara
    rejects the term genocide, saying that many people died on both sides
    of the conflict.

    Once the protocols are signed they must be approved by the respective
    parliaments. This leaves open the possibility that either side delays
    the approval in case they face unexpected domestic opposition.

    NAGORNO-KARABAKH

    Hanging over efforts to re-establish ties is the specter of one of
    the bloodiest and most intractable conflicts sparked by the demise
    of the Soviet Union.

    Ethnic Armenian forces, backed by Armenia, fought a war with Azerbaijan
    in the early 1990s over the mountainous territory of Nagorno-Karabakh,
    an ethnic Armenian enclave located within Azerbaijan's internationally
    recognized borders. Some 30,000 people died.

    International mediators are trying to put pressure on Armenia to
    negotiate with Azerbaijan over Karabakh as part of a wider attempt
    to secure a lasting peace in the region.

    Turkey, a close ally of Azerbaijan, has also said ties with
    Armenia cannot be normalized until there is progress on
    Nagorno-Karabakh. Armenia insists the two issues are separate.

    In the latest diplomatic round, two days before the Swiss ceremony,
    the leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan will hold new talks on Karabakh
    in Moldova's capital Chisinau on Thursday.

    Turkish government sources said they did not expect any major
    breakthrough in Moldova but said the meeting itself would help push
    a solution to the Nagorno-Karabakh dispute forward.

    (Additional reporting by Margarita Antidze in Tbilisi; Writing by
    Paul de Bendern; Editing by Charles Dick)
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