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Does a new treaty on European security have a future?

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  • Does a new treaty on European security have a future?

    Does a new treaty on European security have a future?

    00:1103/10/2009

    MOSCOW. (Vladimir Ryzhkov for RIA Novosti) -At a recent UN General
    Assembly in New York, President Dmitry Medvedev reiterated last year's
    proposal to draft and sign a comprehensive treaty on European
    security.
    In the last few years, Russia has been frustrated by the international
    organizations in which it holds membership. They have been near idle,
    as with the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe
    (OSCE), or have reduced their activities to what Moscow considers
    interference in the internal affairs of Russia and other
    countries. The Council of Europe and, again, the OSCE have been
    monitoring elections, human rights, freedom of speech, etc.
    These actions have been accompanied by NATO's eastward expansion,
    deployment of new weapons and renunciation of commitments under the
    Treaty on Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE) (for instance, the
    recently abandoned U.S. plan to deploy missile defense in Poland and
    the Czech Republic). In Moscow's opinion, these are attempts to
    guarantee one's own security at the expense of Russia and other
    countries.
    Russia cannot accept NATO's claims to play the role of all but the
    only guarantor of security in Europe, the OSCE's reluctance to do
    anything regarding the first and second "baskets", or the unilateral
    policy of the United States, which has ignored not only the UN
    Security Council, but often even its own allies in Europe in the last
    few years.
    Medvedev urged all concerned parties to draft and sign a legally
    binding treaty based on the principle of indivisibility of security,
    which would secure, in part, a commitment "not to guarantee one's own
    security at the expense of others." At a forum on international
    security in Evian, France, he suggested that the parties of the
    proposed treaty should assume the following commitments:
    - reaffirm basic principles of security and interstate relations in
    the Euro-Atlantic space;
    - consider the use of force or its threat in international relations
    unacceptab
    qual security for all;
    - not to allow any state or international organization to have an
    exclusive right to the maintenance of peace and security in Europe;
    - establish basic parameters for arms control and reasonable
    sufficiency in the military strength.
    These general principles suggest that Moscow wants the United States
    and the West in general to give it legal guarantees on the following:
    - cessation of NATO's expansion towards Russia's borders, primarily,
    Ukraine and Georgia's non-admission;
    - renunciation of the deployment of new military hardware and
    facilities in Europe, imposition of ceilings on armaments, which can
    be changed only by agreement between the parties;
    - legal and practical delimitation of the zones of responsibility (or
    spheres of influence) between major security organizations in Greater
    Europe - NATO, the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO),
    OSCE and probably the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO);
    - limitation of U.S. unilateral activity in the region, including in
    those countries which Moscow considers its "sphere of vital
    interests."
    Speaking about the format of the new treaty, Medvedev suggested OSCE
    modernization, vesting it with new authority. He believes it should
    concentrate on the first "basket". In this case, as a pan-European
    organization, which includes Russia, OSCE could break NATO's emerging
    monopoly, and pursue a uniform security policy in the entire
    region. In other words, Medvedev suggested a Helsinki-plus agreement.
    However, there are doubts that this most meaningful Russian initiative
    in the last few years will find enough supporters and be carried out,
    for a variety of reasons.
    First, many countries do not share Moscow's opinion on the
    inadequacies of the existing security system. To the contrary, it
    fully suits the majority (not only the United States, but most of the
    European countries). Statements to this effect have already been made
    by the U.S., EU High Representative for the Common Foreign and
    Security Policy Javier Solana, and by other high-rankin
    ctive use of existing mechanisms, such as the NATO-Russia Council,
    OSCE, and a permanent dialogue between Russia and the European Union.
    Second, it does not seem worthwhile to establish a new organization,
    when members of the existing ones violate their commitments
    (recognition of Kosovo, Abkhazia and South Ossetia, Russia's failure
    to comply with its commitments in the Council of Europe, NATO's
    unilateral actions, etc.)
    The main problem is not the structure of these organizations but the
    lack of trust and mutual understanding between their
    participants. This often blocks decision-making in the UN Security
    Council, paralyzes the OSCE, and the NATO-Russia Council, and
    obstructs dialogue between Russia and the EU and in the Council of
    Europe. Any new organization could also be paralyzed in much the same
    manner.
    Conclusion of a new treaty requires a consensus between all states of
    the Euro-Atlantic region. Would it be signed by Serbia, Georgia,
    Armenia and Azerbaijan without revising the decisions to recognize
    Kosovo, Abkhazia, and South Ossetia, or without settling the
    Nagorno-Karabakh issue? Are such a revision and such settlement
    possible? Without these countries, and another dozen states with
    unsettled grievances, how would a proposed new treaty be
    comprehensive?
    The new security treaty is unlikely to materialize. At the same time,
    the discussion of its proposed provisions may be useful in specifying
    the positions of the parties, in their consideration in practical
    policy, in enhancing the effectiveness of the existing organizations
    and formats of cooperation, and in establishing cooperation between
    international organizations that never cooperated before (for example,
    NATO, the CSTO, and the SCO). Such debates could facilitate an
    elaboration of a much needed spirit of trust and mutual
    understanding. Dialogue between Russia and the EU can play a key role
    in this process. In 2003, they agreed to build a common security
    space. It is essential to seal this agreement in the new Russia-EU
    Treaty, which is now being d
    yzhkov is a member of the presidium of the Council for Foreign and
    Defense Policy, professor of the Higher School of Economics.
    The opinions expressed in this article are the author's and do not
    necessarily represent those of RIA Novosti.
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