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Consequences Of Armenia-Turkey Protocols

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  • Consequences Of Armenia-Turkey Protocols

    CONSEQUENCES OF ARMENIA-TURKEY PROTOCOLS

    http://www.civilitasfoundation.org/cf/a nalysis/caucasus/264-consequences-of-armenia-turke y-protocols.html
    Friday, 09 October 2009 13:10 |
    Analysis / Caucasus

    Questions That Need Answers: The Diaspora was loud, forceful and
    often not even civil when it delivered its message to President
    Serzh Sargsyan during his five-city visit intended to explain the
    government's position on the protocols and ostensibly to rally support.

    What began inauspiciously in Paris continued in New York, Los Angeles
    and Beirut, and concluded in Rostov, albeit more mildly. At the end,
    one thing is clear. The organizers miscalculated. The content and the
    intensity of the reactions, responses and reception were different
    from what was customary and what was expected.

    As a result, the government's - more specifically, the president's -
    message was not effective. The consequence of all of this is that
    the Diaspora is not on board. The Armenian public was already not
    collectively on board. Yet this is a policy and an action that
    requires solid support from a people who have lost much and who
    therefore believe they have much to lose still.

    At the end, there are several old, and several new questions that the
    Armenian government must be able to answer regarding the signing of
    these protocols:

    Does the Armenian government truly believe that any opening with
    Turkey is necessary at all cost?

    Is the economic incentive of an open border truly so great and so
    realistic that it outweighs the strategic and political concessions
    inherent in these documents?

    Is there the will to postpone the process, set aside the odd,
    artificial time line and re-negotiate a document that indeed sets us
    on a path to the future?

    Is there the will to address the Diaspora, again, this time with a
    view to removing the chasm that now exists?

    The Diaspora was loud, forceful and often not evenQ civil when it
    delivered its message to Q Serzh Sargsyan during his five-city visit
    intended to explain theQ government's position on the protocols
    and ostensiblyqqwdsdWhat began inauspiciously in Paris continued
    in New York, Los Angeles and Beirut, and concluded in Rostov,
    albeit more mildly. At the end, one thing is clear. The organizers
    miscalculated. The content and the intensity of the reactions,
    responses and reception were different from what was customary and
    what was expected. As a result, the government's - more specifically,
    the president's - message was not effective. The consequence of all
    of this is that the Diaspora is not on board. The Armenian public was
    already not collectively on board. Yet this is a policy and an action
    that requires solid support from a people who have lost much and who
    therefore believe they have much to lose still.At the end, there are
    several old, and several=2 0new questions that the Armenian government
    must be able to answer regarding the signing of these protocols:Does
    the Armenian government truly believe that any opening with Turkey
    is necessary at all cost?Is the economic incentive of an open border
    truly so great and so realistic that it outweighs the strategic and
    political concessions inherent in these documents?Is there the will
    to postpone the process, set aside the odd, artificial time line and
    re-negotiate a document that indeed sets us on a path to the future?Is
    there the will to address the Diaspora, again, this time with a view
    to removing the chasm that now existsQuestions
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