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Oskanian: First Step-Capitulation

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  • Oskanian: First Step-Capitulation

    First Step-Capitulation

    Aravot
    October 14, 2009

    By Vartan Oskanian

    Armenia-Turkey Protocols Signed


    *First Step - Capitulation:* The ill-constructed protocols signaling the
    beginning of formal relations between Armenia and Turkey received an
    uncertain and inauspicious signing in Zurich. The parties themselves and the
    representatives of the world powers, all were present but all remained
    silent. When such a `historic' moment goes by with none of the sides or the
    witnesses able to say anything acceptable to the rest, either about the
    long-awaited event itself or the content of the documents being signed -
    it
    becomes obvious that these documents are in fact full of the contradictions
    and expectations that do not engender the serious trust and respect
    necessary for stable and respectful relations between countries.

    Those within and outside Armenia who support this process label all those
    against it as nationalists, extremists or those who categorically reject all
    relations with Turkey. But I, and others like me, who have for decades
    wanted and continue to believe in the importance of Armenia-Turkey
    rapprochement are neither extremists or nationalists.

    We are not afraid to recognize the enormous challenges of creating a new
    relationship in the context of overwhelming political, psychological,
    practical challenges. It is for fundamental political and security reasons
    that we oppose these protocols. We want the documents that define our
    reciprocal relationship to be respectful, farsighted and most of all,
    sustainable. These protocols are not. We want the documents to define a 21st
    century relationship that is as honest about past grievances as it is about
    contemporary political realities. These protocols are not.

    Instead of an acknowledgement of the historic divide and mutual distrust
    that separates us, or at the very least circumventing that topic, the
    documents place one-sided conditions and receive one-sided concessions.
    Normalization has thus begun with the capitulation of the Armenian side.

    Indeed these protocols - barely signed and not even ratified - have already
    damaged, possibly irrevocably, Armenia's positions on the three most
    significant issues of national security and national identity.

    First, they will hamper the resolution of the Karabakh conflict. The reason
    for this is simple. Any Armenian insistence of no-linkage between
    Armenia-Turkey and Armenian-Azerbaijani is not credulous. The linkage
    between the Turkey border opening and the resolution of the Karabakh
    conflict was clear from the beginning. Now, it's inarguable. If the presence
    of the Minsk Group co-chair countries' foreign ministers at the signing
    wasn't enough, there were the last minute frantic attempts at the signing
    ceremony to prevent Turkey from speaking of that linkage at that forum. But
    the coup de grace was the Turkish Prime Minister's unequivocal conditional
    announcement the day after, buttressed by the strength of his ruling party
    whose meeting had just concluded, that the Turkish Parliament won't ratify
    these protocols until territories are returned.

    Any acceptable resolution will require certain compromise on the Armenian
    side - including compromise on the territories surrounding Karabakh. Many
    would say that such compromise would have been necessary eventually
    regardless of Armenia-Turkey relations. This is true. But in this
    conditional environment, when Turkey at every opportunity refers to the
    return of territories without the resolution of Karabakh's status, even the
    most reasonable compromise that Armenia would have been prepared to make
    will be more difficult for this or any administration to make, because it
    will be viewed domestically as a concession made under pressure, in exchange
    for open borders, not for the independence of Karabakh. Even if the Turkish
    parliament ratifies the protocols and opens the border with the mere
    expectation that Armenians will return those territories in the near future,
    still, in the context of the forceful and repeated admonitions by the
    Turkish leadership, those expectations will themselves become conditions
    that the border opening was in exchange for possible future concessions.

    Second, the nature of the genocide debate has been deeply altered. The ink
    on the protocols was not even dry before major news outlets and
    international figures began to couch their terminology, retreating from the
    use of the term genocide, citing the protocol's provisions that a commission
    will determine what the events of 1915 really were. In other words, we have
    offered the international community the formalization of official Turkey's
    position. If earlier, Armenians and international experts had defined the
    political and historical events as genocide, while the official Turkish side
    insisted on denying the term and the history behind the term, today, the
    official Turkish `doubts' have been sanctioned and will internationalize the
    denial of the events, their causes and consequences, and thus strengthen the
    historic and demographic status quo. Armenians will now be dragged into a
    new cycle of denial - struggling against the machinery of a state bent on
    rewriting history and consolidating the consequences of genocide.

    Finally, this document succeeds in touching what had heretofore been a
    dormant but sensitive issue - the subject of borders and territorial claims.
    No Armenian administration had ever made such a claim of Turkey. Today, this
    sensitive issue has become a front-line issue. When Turkish Foreign Minister
    Ahmet Davutoglu says these protocols reaffirm the provisions of the Lausanne
    Treaty, that means the issue of reparation and compensation is now on the
    table. I do not demand my ancestral home in Marash, but if that demand were
    really so illusive, then why is Turkey forcing me to renounce my historic
    links with that home?

    It is important to understand that the claim on land is not merely a
    sentimental issue having to do with Armenian properties in Turkey 100 years
    ago. The issue of lands is also an important element of the Karabakh
    conflict. If a mere 100 years later, Turkey is able to formalize and
    legalize its control of lands taken forcibly, then what's to prevent
    Armenians from waiting if that offers them the opportunity to formalize
    their control of the lands surrounding Karabakh?

    On Saturday, October 10, we heard President Sargsyan's address to the
    Armenian people, issued just hours ahead of the scheduled signing, the
    content of which was directly contradictory to the content of the
    protocols. It can even be said that the president's arguments were
    the best reasons to reject the protocols. The address insisted that
    there are irrefutable realities and we have undeniable rights; the
    protocols on the other hand question the first and eliminate the
    second. Armenia, without cause and without necessity, conceded its
    historic rights, both regarding genocide recognition and what the
    address so justly called `hayrenazrkum' - a denial and dispossession
    of our patrimony.

    The administration said one thing and signed another. Normalization of
    Armenia-Turkey relations, as an idea even, has been discredited.

    The processes - both Armenia-Turkey, and the Karabakh peace talks - are
    going to become more complicated and more intense, and not at all to our
    advantage. If Armenia does not bring this process to a halt, and return to
    square one, the consequences will be grave not just for the administration,
    but for the Armenian people.
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