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Ankara: The Main Problem

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  • Ankara: The Main Problem

    THE MAIN PROBLEM

    Hurriyet Daily News
    Tuesday, October 13, 2009

    Common sense eventually prevailed and Republican People's Party,
    or CHP, leader Deniz Baykal accepted a request from Prime Minister
    Recep Tayyip Erdogan and extended an invitation to the premier
    for a tete-a-tete meeting at the CHP headquarters sometime next
    week. Finally, the CHP has taken a constructive step rather than
    insisting on stubbornness or aggressiveness, a characteristic that
    has become synonymous with the leadership style of Baykal.

    The CHP leader not only invited Erdogan to a tete-a-tete meeting
    at the CHP headquarters but asked him to have the meeting in front
    of cameras and the broadcast of the discussion on a mutually agreed
    channel at a mutually agreed date so that the nation could learn what
    was discussed and avoid a second controversial "Dolmabahce concord."

    So far, Erdogan has not replied to the recorded meeting request
    of Baykal, yet he welcomed the meeting invitation. Although it was
    clear from Baykal's letter that the CHP remained skeptical of the
    government's opening intentions and most likely will not cooperate with
    it, it was good that Baykal has agreed to invite the premier to the
    CHP headquarters and listen from the mouth of the horse, as they say,
    what indeed are the intentions and plans of the government. Would
    Erdogan reveal such details at a recorded meeting, is of course
    another problem.

    An interesting poll

    However, it is obvious that the nation is very much confused
    on the opening intentions of the government. A public opinion
    poll conducted by the Eurasia Public Opinion Research Center, or
    AKAM, clearly demonstrated the opening rhetoric of the Justice and
    Development Party, or AKP, government could not stop the erosion in
    the popularity of the ruling party that dipped to 38 percent in the
    March local polls from the 47 percent level the party received in
    the July 2007 parliamentary elections.

    According to the AKAM public opinion poll, which was conducted
    through face-to-face i vinces, including Istanbul, Ankara, Bursa,
    Kocaeli, Edirne, Van, Erzurum, Å~^anlıurfa and Diyarbakır with
    a total 2,150 people, only 30 percent of the interviewed said they
    would vote for the AKP if elections were to be held this weekend. The
    CHP, which received 23 percent of the votes in the March local polls
    has apparently increased its public support to around 25.3 percent,
    while support for the Nationalist Movement Party, or MHP, was at 14.5
    percent level. 5.2 percent said they would support the Democratic
    Society Party, or DTP, while the Islamist Saadet, or Felicity Party,
    received backing from 4.5 percent, the far right Great Unity Party,
    or BBP, was supported by 2.2 percent and the Democrat Party, or DP,
    was backed by two percent. These results, while they are nothing more
    than a public opinion poll and might not be indicative of what might
    be the political picture after the next elections as at present there
    is no election in the horizon yet, still are indicative of the public
    trend and obviously demonstrate that erosion in the AKP popularity
    is continuing.

    That was the widespread expectation anyhow. Many people were
    already stressing that the Kurdish move, or democracy opening, of the
    government might produce a very heavy price for the AKP in the western
    and central Anatolian provinces and some modest gains in the east and
    southeast. It is obvious that AKP needs to undertake a more serious
    effort to explain itself and its openings to the Turkish people,
    because even if it still remains the biggest party, a 30 percent or
    less electoral support cannot bring it to power alone.

    Since we mentioned the AKAM poll, let's continue with the main
    theme of that poll. AKAM did not try to measure the public support
    for parties. Rather, it wanted to identify the main problems of
    the country. According to AKAM poll, neither the Kurdish opening,
    the Armenia protocols or even the Cyprus problem were considered by
    the public as the main problem of the country. For understandable
    reasons, and I sincerely hope the CHP, which claims to be a social
    democrat party, will take this poll very seriously, 29 percent of the
    polled group defined unemployment as Turkey's most important problem,
    while 27 percent said economy. That is 56 percent of Turks listed
    economic hardships and unemployment as the most important problem
    of today's Turkey. Only 17 percent listed the Kurdish issue and 11
    percent listed education while 48.5 percent said they agreed that the
    Turkish judiciary was under political pressure. 38 percent said the
    so-called Ergenekon investigation and trials were part of a political
    vendetta campaign.

    What is indeed Turkey's main problem?
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