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  • Mute Peace

    WPS Agency, Russia
    October 12, 2009 Monday


    MUTE PEACE

    by Gajane Movsesjan, Ivan Soloviov

    SERJ SARGSJAN'S VISIT TO MOSCOW: ARMENIA AND TURKEY SIGNED PROTOCOLS
    ON NORMALIZATION; Armenia and Turkey pledge to normalize bilateral
    relations.

    President of Armenia Serj Sargsjan will visit Moscow today on Dmitry
    Medvedev's invitation. Presidents of Russia and Armenia recently met
    at the CIS summit in Kishinev, Moldova, but the forthcoming meeting in
    Moscow is going to be memorable all the same. It will be Sargsjan's
    first international event following what happened on October 10.

    That day, Armenia and Turkey made a first step to normalization of the
    relations after a more than century-long period of animosity. Foreign
    ministers Edward Nalbandjan and Ahmet Davutoglu signed two protocols
    in Zurich, Switzerland, on establishment of diplomatic relations and
    on advancement of bilateral relations.

    The signing was preceded by colossal efforts of international
    go-betweens Switzerland, Russia, and particularly the United States.
    They persuaded the authorities of Armenia and Turkey to push domestic
    political considerations into the background and neglect serious
    opposition to the signing in both countries. Regrettably, the
    opposition just might have its sweet revenge yet because the documents
    will have to be ratified by national parliaments now.

    Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov who was present at the ceremony
    in Zurich pointed it out. "Signing of the protocols is but the first
    step," he said. "The signatories have to ratify the protocols the
    sooner the better and get down to their realization in practice." The
    Armenian-Turkish border is to be opened two months after the protocols
    go into effect.

    Some Armenian politicians and political scientists emphasize in the
    meantime that the signed protocols might weaken Armenia's ties with
    Russia. Russia has a military base in Armenia at this point. Will
    official Yerevan retain the interest in so close a military
    cooperation with Moscow after activization of contacts with Turkey, a
    NATO member?

    The opened border with Turkey will enable the Armenians to trade with
    the world and that may eventually cause a shift in Armenia's
    traditional emphasis on cooperation with Russia. Its borders with
    Azerbaijan and Turkey closed (leaving only the Iranian one), Armenian
    foreign trade was lately restricted to Georgian ports. What counts is
    that Armenia could not even maintain land contacts with Russia via
    Georgia because the Russian-Georgian border was closed after the war
    in the Caucasus in August 2008.

    All the same, Lavrov said that the signing of the Armenian-Turkish
    protocols made Moscow "sincerely happy" because the matter concerned
    "friendly countries". Instead of perceiving this development as a
    potential threat to its strategic partnership with Armenia, Russia
    chose to expect some economic gains.

    In any event, Armenia and Turkey made a step towards each other.
    Sargsjan is convinced that normalization of the relations with Turkey
    without any preliminary conditions has no alternatives.

    Source: Vremya Novostei, No 187, October 12, 2009, pp. 1 - 2
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