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Armenians see crucial economic boost from Turkey ties

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  • Armenians see crucial economic boost from Turkey ties

    Times of Oman, Sultanate of Oman
    Oct 11 2009


    Armenians see crucial economic boost from Turkey ties



    YEREVAN: Like many business owners in Yerevan, Artur Afrikian is
    salivating over the prospects for ArmeniaâEUR(TM)s struggling economy
    as his country and Turkey move to normalise ties and open their
    border.
    "This is going to be very good for us," said Afrikian, who runs a shop
    selling Turkish-made suits and shirts in Yerevan s sprawling Hrazdan
    market. "It will be cheaper for me to bring goods from Turkey and, who
    knows, maybe they will even open some factories here."


    Armenia and Turkey on Saturday signed landmark pacts to normalize ties
    after decades of bitterness rooted in World War I-era mass killings of
    Armenians under Ottoman rule.
    The two protocols signed will establish diplomatic ties and develop
    bilateral relations, provided the two countries respective parliaments
    ratify them. According to the protocols, the sealed Armenian-Turkish
    border is to open two months following their ratification.
    Economists predict that opening the border will give a huge boost to
    the Armenian economy, which has badly suffered from the
    countryâEUR(TM)s long isolation and has been among those hardest hit
    by the global economic crisis.
    Turkey closed the border in 1993 in solidarity with ally Azerbaijan
    over Yerevan s backing of ethnic Armenian separatists in the disputed
    Nagorny Karabakh region. The border with Azerbaijan is also closed.
    With only its borders with Georgia and Iran open, landlocked Armenia
    has struggled to join the world economy and depends significantly on
    remittances from Armenians working abroad, especially in Russia.
    As remittances have fallen amid the global economic downturn,
    ArmeniaâEUR(TM)s economy contracted by 18.5 percent in the first eight
    months of this year, according to the International Monetary Fund.
    The IMF s country director in Armenia, Nienke Oomes, said the opening
    of the border will not only lower import costs for Armenia, but give
    the country access to vast new markets for its goods.
    "In the short run it s possible that some Armenian companies will
    suffer from the increased competition, but we believe that in the
    medium and long term it s definitely going to be beneficial,âEUR she
    said.
    She said the IMF expects that transportation costs for exporting
    Armenian goods will decrease by 10-20 percent after the border opens,
    making Armenian companies more competitive internationally and giving
    a major boost to trade.
    "The whole eastern part of Turkey which borders Armenia -- there are
    about 15 million people living there and this could be a huge market
    for Armenians to export goods," she said.
    In 2008, according to Armenia s statistical service, less than two
    million dollars worth of Armenian goods were exported to Turkey,
    against 268 million dollars worth of Turkish goods imported to
    Armenia, mostly through neighbouring Georgia.
    Martin Sarkisian, the head of Armenia s Chamber of Commerce and
    Industry, said he expects the amount of Armenian exports to grow
    exponentially after the border opens, and not only to Turkey.
    "Opening the border will open up the world to Armenia and promote
    transportation and tourism. Armenia could even become a transit
    country for our neighbours," he said.
    Some opponents of opening the border have raised concerns that local
    businesses will go under as cheaper Turkish goods flood the market,
    but Sarkisian dismissed those fears.
    "Many people say that Armenian manufacturers cannot compete with their
    Turkish counterparts. But we should not be afraid of competition; on
    the contrary, this will force manufacturers to raise the quality of
    Armenian goods and reduce prices," he said.
    At his clothing shop in Yerevan, Afrikian said that after his most
    difficult business year ever, he can hardly wait for the border to
    open.
    "It s been a terrible year, nobody has any money and those who are
    shopping are buying only the cheapest things," he said. "We need to
    open the border. Things couldn t get any worse."
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