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  • Tensions Between Turkey And The West

    TENSIONS BETWEEN TURKEY AND THE WEST
    By Dan Bilefsky

    New York Times
    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/28/world/euro pe/28turkey.html
    Oct 27 2009

    ISTANBUL -- With Turkey's prospects for joining the European Union
    growing more elusive and the country reaching out to predominantly
    Muslim countries with a vigor not seen in years, a longstanding
    question is vexing the United States and Europe: Is this large,
    secular Muslim country turning East instead of West?

    When President Obama visited Turkey in April -- a symbolic gesture
    that underlined Turkey's geostrategic importance -- he emphasized the
    country's role as a bridge between East and West, acknowledged its
    mediation in the Arab-Israeli conflict and threw his weight solidly
    behind Turkey becoming a European Union member.

    Now, six months later, some in Washington and Brussels are questioning
    Turkey's dependability as an ally, and many Turks are asking whether
    they should reject the European Union before the bloc rejects them.

    Fears that Turkey is abandoning its bridge-building role were fanned
    this month when it canceled air force exercises with Israel, straining
    ties that frayed in January when Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan
    castigated Israel's president, Shimon Peres, over the war in Gaza,
    in front of world leaders at Davos, Switzerland.

    Senior Turkish officials say Mr. Erdogan, who was mediating between
    Israel and Syria just weeks before the conflict in Gaza broke out,
    felt personally betrayed by Israel's aggression and what he regarded
    as the needless killing of innocent Muslims.

    At the same time, some Western diplomats say, Turkey has made what
    they consider alarming overtures toward Iran.

    When the official result of Iran's disputed presidential election
    was announced in June, Turkey was one of the first countries to
    congratulate President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on his re-election. On
    Tuesday, during a visit to Tehran, Mr. Erdogan said the West was
    applying a double standard in pressuring Iran over its nuclear
    program. "Those who are chanting for global nuclear disarmament should
    first start in their own countries," he said.

    President Nicolas Sarkozy of France has vociferously opposed European
    Union membership for Turkey, arguing that it is not geographically part
    of Europe. Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany has expressed similar
    reservations. Many Turks have interpreted the rejection to mean that
    their country is not welcome because of its large Muslim population.

    At a meeting in Istanbul last week about Turkey's relations with
    its neighbors, Representative Robert Wexler, chairman of the European
    subcommittee in Congress, said: "You wonder why Turkey is curious about
    different avenues? Look at your own behavior and attitude, Europe."

    Other analysts say that cultural and economic factors are also pushing
    Turkey in that direction.

    Ersin Kalaycioglu, a political science professor at Sabanci University,
    noted that the global financial crisis had contracted European
    economies, prompting Turkey, a large exporter, to seek different
    markets. He and others also suggested that leaders of the governing
    Justice and Development Party, or A.K.P., a socially conservative
    party with Muslim roots, felt more at home in Riyadh, Damascus and
    Baghdad than in Paris, London or Rome.

    Even a partial collapse of talks with the European Union would have
    far-reaching consequences. Turkey is an indispensable ally for the
    United States and Europe. Bordered by Iran, Iraq and Syria, Turkey is
    a powerful symbol of the compatibility of democracy, capitalism and
    Islam. Located between the Middle East and the former Soviet Union,
    it has vital strategic importance as a transit country for gas. It
    also has deep influence in Afghanistan and is a regional leader in
    the Caucasus.

    Yet the country's European Union negotiations are in a precarious
    state. Negotiations on a number of issues have been blocked because of
    its long dispute with Cyprus. For the first time in years, leading
    figures in the business establishment, which has always led the
    drive for European Union integration, are questioning the wisdom of
    continuing a negotiating process that appears to have no end.

    "We Turks are a proud nation and we don't want to go to a house where
    we were invited but where the host keeps slamming the door in our
    face," said Hasan Arat, an executive at a top Turkish real estate
    development firm.

    For all the country's wounded pride, Turkish officials and analysts
    insist that Turkey has no intention of abandoning the West. Rather
    than reorienting Turkish foreign policy toward the East, Egemen Bagis,
    Turkey's minister for European Union affairs, argued in an interview
    that the recent outreach to its neighbors -- including the opening
    of its border with Syria, the signing of a historic agreement with
    Armenia to establish normal diplomatic relations and the engagement
    of Iran -- was helping Turkey become a more effective interlocutor
    for its Western allies.

    "Any bridge with one strong leg and one weak leg can't stand for long,"
    Mr. Bagis said.

    Ibrahim Kalin, chief foreign policy adviser to Mr. Erdogan, said
    Western critics of Turkey's new inclusive foreign policy were using a
    double standard. "When the U.S. makes an overture to Russia, everyone
    applauds this as a new era in diplomacy," he said. "But when Turkey
    tries to reach out to Iran, people ask if it is trying to change
    its axis."

    Mr. Kalin said that the anti-Turkish talk emanating from key European
    capitals was making it harder to convince the Turkish people about
    the need for European Union membership.

    Rather than worrying that Turkey is moving toward the East, said
    Cengiz Aktar, a leading expert here on the European Union, the West
    should fear a wounded Turkey turning to Russia. Already, Russia has
    been courting it as a distribution point for energy supplies, while
    Turkish investment in Russia is intensifying.

    "This government is perfectly capable of saying 'no thanks' to Europe
    and instead shifting toward Russia," Mr. Aktar said.
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