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  • Strengthening Of Dollar In Armenia During Last Two Months Relates To

    STRENGTHENING OF DOLLAR IN ARMENIA DURING LAST TWO MONTHS RELATES TO ACTIVITY OF ECONOMIC ENTITIES

    ARKA
    Sep 3, 2009

    YEREVAN, September 3. /ARKA/. Dollar appreciation in Armenia is due
    to the increase in economic activity of economic entities the past
    two months.

    This opinion was expressed to ARKA by the main dealer of Cascade Bank
    Arsen Sargsyan.

    "The supply exceeded the demand for the dollar, and as a result of
    this the dollar in the country gradually rose to the level that we
    have now," he said.

    Sargsyan considers that it is not necessary to perceive an increase
    in the rate of 3% as painful.

    To the question whether the dollar will go beyond the planned corridor
    of the Central Bank of Armenia of 360-380 drams per $ 1, Sargsyan
    said that it depends on how the stabilizing factors will work.

    In his opinion, the economic activity in Armenia in September will
    increase, in regards with the Armenian exporters, particularly in
    the mining sector.

    The cash flow is going to increase, resulting in an increase in
    selling currency by these companies.

    At last, according to Sargsyan, this may help to stabilize the
    exchange market.

    The second stabilizing factor is the possibility of the Central Bank
    of Armenia to use such tools as direct intervention.

    "This is a subjective opinion, since it is difficult to suggest what
    steps the Central Bank would make", he said, having foreseen that
    the dollar will remain in that corridor CB.

    According to ARKA News Agency, the average market exchange rate of
    the Armenian dram to the dollar, which was formed in the foreign
    exchange market amounted to 376.03 drams for $ 1 on September 1 2009,
    down to the first of July of this year by 16.05 points (as of July
    1 the rate was 359.98 drams per $ 1, on August 3 is was 370.53 drams).

    After March 3rd, 2009 Armenia's Central Bank announced a return to
    a floating exchange rate policy.

    The market average rate of drama to the U.S. dollar fell to 66.36
    points compared to March 2nd and amounted to 372.11 drams for $ 1.

    According to specialists of the CBA, the weighted average rate in
    2009 will fluctuate in the corridor 360 - 380 drams for $ 1. ($ 1 -
    376.06 dram).
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