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ANKARA: Background of Protocol Signed With Armenia

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  • ANKARA: Background of Protocol Signed With Armenia

    Radikal, Turkey
    Sept 2 2009

    Background of Protocol Signed With Armenia

    by Murat Yetkin

    When Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu came out of his meeting with
    Bashar al-Asad at the Presidential Palace in Damascus it was past the
    evening meal that breaks the Ramadan fast. The entire Turkish
    delegation went to the Noble Palace Restaurant, which is one of the
    best restaurants in Damascus. After breaking his fast, Davutoglu
    teasingly asked: "Have you been able to transmit your reports?" Erdal
    Safak had reportedly experienced a technical problem and he had not
    been able to transmit his article to Sabah. Davutoglu continued to
    teasingly say: "Never mind, there will be another report shortly and
    you will write about it."

    The telephone of Ambassador Feridun Sinirlioglu, new under secretary
    of the Foreign Ministry, rang several minutes before eight o'clock. He
    was sitting at the right side of the minister. After speaking on the
    phone, Sinirlioglu whispered something in Davutoglu's ear. Davutoglu
    said something like: "No way! They should do it the way we agreed."
    Sinirlioglu got up from the table, moved away, and spoke on the
    phone. Then he returned to the table. At around a quarter or twenty
    past eight Sinirlioglu's telephone rang again. The under secretary
    listened, he said "all right," later he whispered something in
    Davutoglu's ear again. Davutoglu and Sinirlioglu got up from the table
    in spite of the fact that they had not finished eating. Davutoglu
    said: "We have to go to the embassy. We will issue a statement on
    board the plane.'

    As the journalists drove towards the airport, Foreign Minister
    Spokesman Burak Ozugergin issued the statement: Turkey and Armenia,
    with the assistance of Switzerland, have initialed a protocol with the
    aim of establishing diplomatic ties and forming commissions for the
    normalization of the ties. At the end of six weeks, the protocol will
    be submitted to the approval of the parliaments of the two countries.

    Apparently the foreign minister had gone to the Turkish Embassy in
    Damascus with the aim of calling and briefing Prime Minister Tayyip
    Erdogan. It was understood on board the plane that the statement
    should have been issued at 1700. Foreign Minister Davutoglu had held
    countless phone conversations with Swiss Foreign Minister Micheline
    Calmy Rey - phone conversations that had been cut off every time
    Davutoglu had passed through the labyrinths with the cement walls for
    going to the Iraqi Foreign Ministry. Armenia had asked for changing
    one word in the protocol at the last minute. Turkey in turn had
    insisted via Switzerland on remaining loyal to the text of the
    agreement and therefore there had been a delay.

    Nonetheless this was not the only delay. The developments that had
    occurred behind the scenes in association with the announcement of the
    protocol showed this.

    For example the protocol whose details were announced yesterday was
    not actually initialed on 31 August when the statement was
    issued. Even on 22 April, when it was announced that Turkey and
    Armenia, with the assistance of Switzerland, had begun to work on
    protocols for the normalization of the relations, the work had not
    been completed. Swiss Secretary of State Michael Ambihl had conducted
    shuttle diplomacy between Ankara and Yerevan on 1-3 April (in other
    words prior to the visit that US President Barack Obama had conducted
    to Turkey on 4-6 April) and he had enabled the initialization of the
    protocol about which you will read on our newspaper today. CHP's
    [Republican People's Party's] Yilmaz announced this date as 2 April on
    Kanal-D yesterday evening. Despite Armenia's strong opposition Turkey
    had insisted on announcing that the talks had begun (the announcement
    had not said the talks had not been finalized) on 22 April (in other
    words on the eve of 24
    April which is of critical importance in terms of the US
    Congress). Given that the protocol had been ready for five months,
    what were the items that had been negotiated for the past five months?

    The information that we received from the behind the scenes shows that
    Turkish and Armenian diplomats have been holding talks on how to write
    the text of the announcement of the protocol, which Davutoglu approved
    during the fast-breaking dinner in Damascus.

    It is understood that the talks were very tough. It is also understood
    that the strong reaction that the 22 April announcement had causes not
    only in Turkey and Armenia, but also in Azerbaijan had brought these
    long-lasting talks on the text of the press statement to the point of
    breaking many times.

    It is also seen that due to the effect of the debates that had been
    held at that time, Ankara did not neglect to brief Baku on each and
    every step that it took with Yerevan. The fact that Prime Minister
    Erdogan called and briefed Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev on 28
    August, when the text of the announcement had begun to shape and the
    fact that on the following day he sent Under Secretary Sinirlioglu as
    well as Deputy Undersecretary Ambassador Unal Cevikoz to Baku in order
    to give Aliyev detailed information are the signs of this.

    Therefore the initial statements issued by Baku said: "We are not
    uncomfortable with these developments and this is their internal
    affair." Neither Aliyev's statement to the effect that "the opening of
    the border without the solution of the Karabakh issue runs against our
    national interests," nor Davutoglu's statement that "Turkey will not
    take any steps that will harm Azerbaijan" contradicted the picture
    that had emerged. This is because despite Armenia's insistence (on
    ensuring that the protocol would keep the door ajar for keeping
    Nagorno-Karabakh outside the process), the protocol does not include
    the word "without any preliminary conditions." In other words, the
    Karabakh dispute is part of this process. Prime Minister Erdogan's
    statement to the effect that "the protocol will not come into effect
    without the approval of the National Assembly" also points to the
    Karabakh issue.

    It is understood that the government will not submit the protocol to
    the approval of the National Assembly if no progress is made in the
    Nagorno-Karabakh issue (in fact, its approval will be impossible under
    those circumstances). Both Azerbaijan and Armenia are aware of this.

    Speaking to Clinton the day before yesterday and to Russian Foreign
    Minister Sergey Lavrov and French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner,
    members of the Minsk Group for Karabakh, yesterday Davutoglu said: "A
    step has been taken but if the solution of the Karabakh issue is not
    stepped up, this step may not be completed and therefore you should
    convince Armenia for a solution." These words prove this framework.

    In fact there are no additional items that should be negotiated
    between Turkey and Armenia during the next six weeks. Davutoglu said:
    "With the announcement the briefing process has also begun. During
    this process we will begin to brief the public at home and abroad and
    to hold consultations." The same thing is relevant for Armenia and
    Azerbaijan. There is a period between the interesting points of this
    process [sentence as published]. Even if it is not announced publicly,
    the six week period ends on the eve of the soccer game between the
    Turkish and Armenian national teams on 14 October. This has brought a
    psychological threshold to the protocol. It appears that whether or
    not Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan will come to Turkey in return to
    the visit that President Abdullah Gul had conducted to Armenia on 6
    September will no longer have an impact on the process. Nonetheless
    there is yet another surprise at the end of the six-week period. A
    simple look
    at the calendar shows that the six-week period ends on 13
    October. This date has been set as a result of serious bargains. The
    Armenians reportedly called for ending the process on 5
    October. Ankara reportedly understood that Armenia wants to impose
    pressure on Azerbaijan during the Aliyev-Sargsyan meeting that will be
    held during the Independent States Summit that will be held in
    Kishinev, Moldova on 7-9 October. In order to prevent this, Ankara
    reportedly requested the process to end after the summit in
    question. As a result it was decided that the process will end
    somewhere between 10 to 14 October. As for 13 October, this is the
    psychological reason behind the Turkish Foreign Ministry's insistence
    on issuing the announcement on 31 August.

    13 October is the anniversary of the signing of the 1921 Treaty of
    Kars that had been signed by the TBMM [Turkish Grand National
    Assembly]. The treaty had closed the TBMM armies' eastern front and
    had determined the border between the Soviet Union and Armenia. Given
    that with the protocol process Yerevan will indirectly recognize
    Turkey's borders, it may issue the announcement one or two days
    earlier in order to avoid ending the protocol process on a day that is
    very meaningful in terms of Turkey's establishment.

    [translated from Turkish]
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