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IMF Predicts 10-15% Full-Year Contraction Of Armenian Economy

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  • IMF Predicts 10-15% Full-Year Contraction Of Armenian Economy

    IMF PREDICTS 10-15% FULL-YEAR CONTRACTION OF ARMENIAN ECONOMY

    ARKA
    September 9, 2009
    Yerevan

    YEREVAN, September 9, /ARKA/. Nienke Oomes, IMF Resident Representative
    in Armenia, said today Armenia's full-year economic contraction,
    according to a preliminary outlook, will be between 10-15%, the
    inflation rate will be 3%.

    Armenia's GDP in January-June plunged by 16.3%. According to official
    figures, a 0.4% deflation was recorded in August against July, while
    the consume price index in August was 102.0 % from 2008 December.

    Nienke Oomes said according to the latest official IMF forecast,
    Armenian economy would fall by 9.5% by yearend, but she added that
    that forecast is being revised now.

    She said an IMF delegation is visiting now Armenia and its members
    will discuss the situation with Armenian government and Central Bank
    officials and representatives of private sector, following which the
    forecasts will be specified, but 'according to preliminary figures,
    the decline will be between 10-15% and the average annual inflation
    rate will be curbed to 3%, one of the lowest index."

    "The IMF expects the overall full-year contraction to be lower than
    in the first half of the year because the decline began in the last
    quarter of 2008," she said, adding that the IMF shares Armenian
    government's forecast about a relatively small growth expected
    next year. Earlier Armenian finance ministry also predicted a 10-15%
    full-year contra ction for this year. The World Bank outlook is 12-15%,
    that of inflation is 6%. -0-

    YEREVAN, September 9, /ARKA/. Nienke Oomes, IMF Resident Representative
    in Armenia, said today Armenia's full-year economic contraction,
    according to a preliminary outlook, will be between 10-15%, the
    inflation rate will be 3%.

    Armenia's GDP in January-June plunged by 16.3%. According to official
    figures, a 0.4% deflation was recorded in August against July, while
    the consume price index in August was 102.0 % from 2008 December.

    Nienke Oomes said according to the latest official IMF forecast,
    Armenian economy would fall by 9.5% by yearend, but she added that
    that forecast is being revised now.

    She said an IMF delegation is visiting now Armenia and its members
    will discuss the situation with Armenian government and Central Bank
    officials and representatives of private sector, following which the
    forecasts will be specified, but 'according to preliminary figures,
    the decline will be between 10-15% and the average annual inflation
    rate will be curbed to 3%, one of the lowest index."

    "The IMF expects the overall full-year contraction to be lower than
    in the first half of the year because the decline began in the last
    quarter of 2008," she said, adding that the IMF shares Armenian
    government's forecast about a relatively small growth expected next
    year. Earlier Armenian finance ministry also pr edicted a 10-15%
    full-year contraction for this year. The World Bank outlook is 12-15%,
    that of inflation is 6%.
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