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IMF Mission Reaches Staff-Level Agreement On Second Review Of Stand-

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  • IMF Mission Reaches Staff-Level Agreement On Second Review Of Stand-

    IMF MISSION REACHES STAFF-LEVEL AGREEMENT ON SECOND REVIEW OF STAND-BY ARRANGEMENT WITH ARMENIA

    armradio.am
    17.09.2009 15:33

    An International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission, led by Mr. Mark Lewis,
    visited Yerevan during September 3-16 to carry out discussions on the
    second review of Armenia's 28-month Stand-By Arrangement. At the end
    of the mission, Mr. Lewis issued the following statement:

    "The mission reached a staff-level agreement with the authorities
    on a package of policies that aims at completing the second review
    under the SBA.

    On this basis, the IMF Executive Board is now expected to meet in late
    October to discuss the completion of the second review. Board approval
    would enable Armenia to draw SDR 37.72 million (about US $60 million).

    "This has been a very challenging year for Armenia, with real GDP
    now expected to decline about 15 percent in 2009. In a very difficult
    global environment, these developments have led to some weakening in
    the balance of payments and the public finances, and posed additional
    hardships on the Armenian population.

    "The authorities have implemented a broad range of policies to
    address these challenges, described in their Letters of Intent of
    March and June 2009, and macroeconomic policies are on track. Fiscal
    policy continues to be appropriately expansionary in light of the
    ongoing deep contraction of the Armenian economy. Thanks to financial
    support from the IMF and donors, the government has been able to
    keep expenditures close to the original 2009 budget, while increasing
    spending on high-priority infrastructure projects.

    "However, given the large drop in tax revenues, the public deficit
    could rise up to around 7.5 percent of GDP. Once the economy recovers,
    the government should undertake a gradual consolidation to preserve
    medium-term fiscal and debt sustainability, while continuing to
    support needed public spending and investment. Continued progress in
    tax administration reforms will be critical to ensuring sound public
    finances, and a fair and equitable tax burden.

    "The monetary policy stance has eased further, and the Central Bank
    (CBA) has expanded its instruments to provide liquidity to the
    banking system in order to unblock credit to the private sector. At
    the same time, inflation is on track to meet the CBA's target. The CBA
    should stand ready to adjust its monetary policy stance in response
    to a worsening of the crisis or stronger-than-expected inflationary
    pressures.

    "These policies should help economic conditions improve. In the period
    ahead, the continued successful implementation of the program will pave
    the way for an early return to sustainable economic growth, a strong
    balance of payments, and continued progress in poverty reduction.

    "The mission would like to express gratitude to the authorities for
    their hospitality and fruitful cooperation.
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