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Fitch says Armenian banks cushioned against crisis

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  • Fitch says Armenian banks cushioned against crisis

    Interfax, Russia
    Sept 18 2009

    Fitch says Armenian banks cushioned against crisis

    LONDCOW Sept 18


    The Armenian banking system has been relatively resilient amid the
    global financial crisis due to its low integration into international
    capital markets, substantial capital and liquidity buffers and
    increasing foreign ownership, Fitch Ratings said in a report.

    Nevertheless, the sharp downturn of the highly undiversified Armenian
    economy, a decline in the volume of transfers and investments,
    especially from Russia, and the 20% devaluation of the Armenian dram
    in March 2009 have negatively affected Armenian banks' asset quality
    and performance. In addition, banks' very small size and limited
    diversification of risks and revenues remain an underlying credit
    weakness, the report says.

    The banking system's aggregate capital adequacy ratio remained at a
    solid 28% at end-H109 as new equity injections, de-leveraging and
    still positive pre-impairment profit have offset the impact of higher
    provision charges and devaluation. Previous rapid asset growth,
    generally unseasoned loan books, expansion into new segments and a
    high level of FX lending (in particular to the corporate sector) have
    coupled with weakened economic fundamentals to drive significant
    growth in loan impairment in H109. NPLs could rise further from their
    still moderate reported levels, but capital bases provide considerable
    capacity to absorb loan losses.

    The liquidity positions of Armenian banks have generally been adequate
    due to substantial holdings of liquid assets, and these strengthened
    further in H109 through reduced lending activity. Prior to and
    following the devaluation of the dram, customer funding (the main
    source of liabilities for Armenian banks) remained reasonably stable
    in aggregate terms. However, increased dollarization of customer
    funding led the banks to temporarily open short FX positions and
    record losses as result of the devaluation. Foreign funding is
    important, but mostly comes from parent banks or international
    financial institutions, and so is not viewed by Fitch as a source of
    significant refinancing risk.

    The Armenian banking system is highly fragmented, with 22 banks - all
    privately owned - sharing a sector balance sheet of just USD3.2bn at
    end-H109 and serving a population of 3.2 million. The four largest
    banks account for about 43% share of the system's assets, while HSBC
    Armenia is the leading player in the retail deposit segment with a 23%
    market share at end-H109. About 70% of the sector's assets are held by
    banks with majority foreign ownership, although international
    shareholders are not always highly-rated foreign banks.

    Fitch views the regulation and the supervision of the banking system
    as reasonable for a small emerging market, supported by a relatively
    sophisticated regulator, accounting standards in accordance with IFRS
    and generally conservative prudential requirements.
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