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Erdogan Considers Domestic Impact Of U.S.-Turkish Relations

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  • Erdogan Considers Domestic Impact Of U.S.-Turkish Relations

    ERDOGAN CONSIDERS DOMESTIC IMPACT OF U.S.-TURKISH RELATIONS
    By: Emrullah Uslu

    Jamestown Foundation
    http://www.jamestown.org/single/?no_cac he=1&tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=35522&tx_ttnew s%5BbackPid%5D=7&cHash=c5abec1fe7
    Sept 22 2009

    Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan will travel this week to
    the U.S. to attend the 64th Session of the General Assembly of the
    United Nations in New York and the G20 summit in Pittsburgh. During his
    visit to the U.S., Erdogan will hold a number of bilateral meetings,
    including talks with the U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon and the
    heads of state and government of 20 countries.

    Despite the fact that there is no single issue that Turkey is planning
    to present at the U.N. or to discuss with international players at the
    G20 summit, the timing of the meeting will fuel domestic debates that
    have continued over the past few months. One of the issues that he
    will discuss with world leaders is the Turkish government's Kurdish
    initiative. Erdogan stated: "We will explain what we have achieved
    on the democratization initiative, if this is raised. It will be
    constructive to share with our allies the positive results of our
    initiative" (Sabah, September 22).

    Erdogan will explain to world leaders three separate issues,
    for example the Kurdish and the Alevi minorities as well as
    the Turkish-Armenian rapprochement initiatives, all of which
    have contributed to fractious domestic political debates, under
    the overarching umbrella of the "democratization initiative"
    (Zaman, September 21). Indeed, these issues have proven to be the
    main sources of tension between the government and the opposition
    parties. The opposition accused Erdogan of implementing policies that
    are dictated by the United States and the European Union. Chairman
    of the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), Devlet Bahceli is the
    foremost advocate of the allegation that the Erdogan government is
    simply implementing initiatives planned in Washington and aimed at
    dividing the country (EDM, August, 21, September 10). The Chairman of
    the Republican Peoples Party (CHP), Deniz Baykal rejects Erdogan's
    policies surrounding the Kurdish initiative and the re-opening of
    the Turkish-Armenian border.

    Erdogan's trip to the U.S. also provides an opportunity for the
    opposition parties to stir up domestic political issues by linking
    Erdogan to U.S. plans and interests in the region. Devlet Bahceli
    argues that Erdogan traveled to the United States to seek approval for
    his Kurdish initiative, and that he will return with an approved plan
    (Hurriyet, September 22). Meanwhile, Deniz Baykal criticized Erdogan
    using similar rhetoric to accuse him of trying to divide the country
    (Milliyet, September 22). Erdogan responded: "We will not abandon our
    initiative. Those who wish to help the democratization process are
    welcome; those who present obstacles to the initiative should know
    that we will eliminate such obstacles and pursue our plans alone"
    (Milliyet, September 22).

    Meanwhile, the U.S. ambassador to Ankara, Jim Jeffrey, joined the
    debate and supported the government's initiative. Jeffrey stated
    that "any step that would help to remove the Kurdistan Worker's Party
    (PKK) terrorism would be a good step and we would support it." Jeffrey
    further suggested that the "Turkish government is taking courageous
    steps to implement its democratization initiative. This is good and
    I am optimistic about the process" (Aksam, September 21).

    Moving the focus of the debate from Ankara to Washington might damage
    the Kurdish initiative because the majority of the Turkish public
    remains skeptical toward U.S. foreign policy. Turkish nationalist
    dailies have already actively linked the Kurdish initiative with
    the West, in order to deepen the level of public skepticism over the
    policy. For instance, the nationalist daily Yenicag ran a headline
    underlining this theme: "Before explaining to Bahceli and Baykal,
    Erdogan will explain the Kurdish initiative to his allies," implying
    that Erdogan is implementing a plan orchestrated by international
    actors (Yenicag, September 21).

    Erdogan has taken the rather surprising step of revealing that Turkey
    will open a consulate general in Arbil if necessary. "Turkey will
    improve its relations with the northern Iraqi administration in a
    very different way," Erdogan said as he explained that Syria and Iraq
    were jointly supporting the "democratic move" (Turkish Daily News,
    September 18). Such statements might provide additional "evidence"
    for nationalist skeptics to promulgate the view that the Kurdish
    initiative is geared toward establishing a "Kurdish national state
    in northern Iraq."

    However, Erdogan's trip to the U.S. might have no significant impact on
    Turkish foreign policy initiatives, yet it could potentially change the
    direction of the domestic debate. This may have a negative impact on
    the Kurdish initiative, because the Turkish public remains skeptical
    toward the U.S. and the E.U. It is imperative that Erdogan bridge
    this gap in order to stimulate domestic support for his agenda.
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