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  • ANKARA: [Breaking The Vicious Cycle]: Time To Change The Course On C

    [BREAKING THE VICIOUS CYCLE]: TIME TO CHANGE THE COURSE ON CYPRUS
    MEHMET KALYONCU

    Today's Zaman
    Sept 23 2009
    Turkey

    The second round of negotiations between Greek and Turkish Cyprus,
    headed by Dimitris Christofias (R) and Mehmet Ali Talat, began on
    Sept. 10 under the shadow of accusatory remarks.

    The second-round talks between the Turkish and Greek Cypriots on the
    unification of the two sides of the island were supposed to start
    on Sept. 3. However, what was hoped to be a final step toward the
    resolution of one of the most troublesome conflicts of the last
    century has stalled yet again.

    According to news reports, the Greek Cypriot leadership "postponed" the
    second-round negotiations on the pretext that some dozen Greek-Cypriots
    were denied entry into the north, and that, according to Greek Cypriot
    leader Dimitris Christofias, it apparently demonstrated the Turkish
    Cypriot's ill will to block the progress of the negotiations.

    On the other hand, Turkish Cypriot Prime Minister DerviÅ~_
    Eroglu remarked that the Greek-Cypriots had deliberately set up
    the row over the entry by sending individuals without the proper
    documentation, so that they could withdraw from, or at least stall, the
    negotiations. Similarly, frustrated by his Greek Cypriot counterpart's
    last-minute step back, the Turkish Cypriot president, Mehmet Ali Talat,
    stated that the negotiations would not last forever and that the
    Turkish Cypriots would resort to alternative solutions if the Greek
    Cypriots rejected the solution to be proposed in the second-round
    negotiations. Talat implied that these alternative solutions might
    lead to a permanent partition of the island.

    Under the shadow of such tense remarks, the second-round negotiations
    began on Sept. 10. Given the historical characteristics of the
    relationship between the two communities, and more so the leaderships,
    the negotiations are not likely to yield any substantial solutions,
    or if any, one that will soon be shattered by yet another row between
    the two sides of the island on a trivial issue.

    The recent disruption in the negotiations is just more of the same in
    the general course of the Turkish-Greek Cypriot relationship. However,
    it raises a question critical to the possibility of achieving
    a long-term solution to the Cyprus problem: Under the current
    circumstance of disparity in political power between the two sides
    of the island, is a long-term solution even possible? If not, what
    is the step to take to break the vicious cycle of endless negotiations?

    Is a long-term solution even possible on the island?

    During a seminar on peacemaking and preventive diplomacy in Oslo, I
    was asked by a prominent Greek-American expert/professor of diplomatic
    negotiations whether a long-term solution in Cyprus is possible now,
    given that the political leaderships on both sides of the island and
    in the guarantor states (Greece and Turkey) have changed and that they
    all seem resolved to move on. My answer was "no, it's not possible"
    under the current circumstances, because the partition of the island
    itself was illegitimate and unjustified in the first place, the Turkish
    Cypriots had had legitimate territorial claims over the south, from
    where they had been ethnically cleansed and forcefully evicted to the
    north and because neither the Greek nor the Turkish Cypriots seem to
    be interested in a conclusive solution to the Cyprus problem.

    The professor's explanation of why the Greek Cypriot leadership had
    rejected the Annan plan in 2004 has only reinforced that under the
    current circumstances of the unjustified partition of the island,
    the prospect for a sustainable solution is quite low. She argued that
    the Greek Cypriots were economically much better off compared to the
    Turkish Cypriots, the Greek Cypriot government was internationally
    recognized as the sole representative of the whole of Cyprus and the
    Greek Cypriot side would have been accepted into the European Union
    anyway, with or without their acceptance of the Annan plan. So, she
    contended, there was no incentive for the Greek Cypriot leadership
    to accept a plan that would substantially transform the political
    structure and the balance of power on the island.

    Moreover, the current position of the Turkish Cypriot leadership
    suggests that there is no sustainable solution to the problem in sight
    in the foreseeable future, at least with the current leaders. During
    his interview with the Turkish daily Milliyet, Turkish-Cypriot leader
    Talat noted that the prospects of a permanent partition of the island
    were becoming ever greater, the discussions with the Greek Cypriots
    would not last forever and the international recognition of the Turkish
    Republic of Northern Cyprus (KKTC) was just a pipedream. With his
    apparently diminishing faith in the possibility of international
    recognition of the nation he presides, Talat is increasingly
    reminiscent of his predecessor, Rauf DenktaÅ~_, who infamously
    commented that "the non-solution is the solution on the island,"
    and as such raises questions, once again, about the Turkish Cypriot
    leadership's resolve and ability to achieve an amenable long-term
    solution to the Cyprus problem.

    The futility of the mere talks between the Turkish and Greek Cypriot
    leaderships is nothing new. In his "The Road to Bellapais: the Turkish
    Cypriot Exodus to Northern Cyprus," Pierre Oberling reminds us that
    starting in 1968 at the initiative of then-President Archbishop
    Makarios, and representing, respectively, the Greek Cypriot and
    the Turkish Cypriot communities, Glafkos Klerides and DenktaÅ~_ met
    on a weekly basis for six years to discuss a settlement. However,
    argues Oberling, there were many on both sides who wanted the
    talks to fail. For the Greek Cypriots, the establishment of a
    bi-communal government for the entire island would lead to the
    dismissal of hundreds of Greek Cypriots from the government and
    bureaucratic posts and would bring back what they called Turkish
    Cypriot "obstructionism." It was a kind of obstructionism which they
    accused the Turkish Cypriots of for using their veto power within
    the framework of the 1960 Constitution to prevent legislation that
    would marginalize the Turkish Cypriot presence in the national and
    local governments. Similarly, argues Oberling, the Turkish Cypriots
    were content to have achieved a de-facto separation, thanks to Turkey,
    which spared their lives from the ensuing Greek Cypriot terrorism. In
    addition, Ankara's aid for food and protection against a would-be
    aggressor was sufficient for the Turkish Cypriots not venture into
    another round of duels with the Greek Cypriots.

    So, after some 40 years, there is not much change in the dynamics
    of the talks between the Greek and Turkish Cypriots of the
    island. According to the apparent mindset of the Greek Cypriots, now
    as a member of the European Union, they have much more to lose with a
    solution that requires them to share the government with the Turkish
    Cypriots. However, the reluctance of the Greek Cypriot leadership and
    the inability of its Turkish Cypriot counterpart to solve the problem
    once and for all are only one part of the reason for the absence of
    a solution on the island. It appears that the bitter memories of the
    1960s and 1970s entrenched in the psyche of the Turkish Cypriots may
    well engender a major impediment to a solution that does not address
    the issue of reparation for their losses.

    The necessity of addressing the losses of the past has recently
    become clear once again as the Turks and Armenians have sought ways
    to settle their relations. It would probably take some time for both
    sides to figure out the extent of the tragedies they inflicted on each
    other. Nevertheless, the acknowledgement is a first and crucial step
    to take for a long-term solution. Similarly, any long-term solution
    on the island requires both Greek and Turkish Cypriots to acknowledge
    what they have inflicted on the other side.

    The historians on both sides should shed light on their pasts no
    matter how bitter the realities it may reveal. Oberling contends
    that the Turkish Cypriots' exodus to the north had intensified
    by the end of 1963 and the beginning of 1964. He writes: "Giorgio
    Bocca, the correspondent of Il Giorno, an Italian daily of the time,
    reported: 'Right now we are witnessing the exodus of the Turks from
    their villages. Thousands of people abandoning homes, lands, herds;
    Greek terrorism is relentless. This time, the rhetoric of Hellenes and
    the busts of Plato do not suffice to cover up barbaric and ferocious
    behavior... Threats, shootings and attempts at arson start as soon as
    it becomes dark. After the massacre of Christmas that spared neither
    women nor children, it is difficult to put up any resistance'."

    Moreover, the UN News Bulletin in May 1964 describes the situation
    as follows: "The Greek Cypriots continued to build up their arms and
    war equipment by purchasing heavy weapons, ammunition, aircraft and
    vehicles from abroad... The Turkish communities remained surrounded
    by the overwhelming Greek forces and were constantly subjected to
    all kinds of abuse, vexations and pressure. Freedom of movement on
    the island was totally denied to the Turks; their economic situation
    continued to deteriorate rapidly, as they were not allowed to sell
    their produce in the markets, to cultivate their fields, to graze
    their flocks and to go to their jobs in areas dominated by Greeks.

    In the villages which the Turks had abandoned in the face of Greek
    attacks, the houses were put on fire, the properties looted and the
    harvest confiscated. From March to June the Turkish Cypriots continued
    to be murdered and the Greeks did not give up their abhorrent method
    of taking hostage among the innocent people." (Oberling, 1982)

    The grim reality of the island's past is probably caught best
    by Archbishop Makarios' confession of his genocidal intentions
    toward the Turks of the island in 1974. Oberling notes, "While the
    [Turkish] air raid was in progress, Makarios, in a paroxysm of grief
    and frustration, threatened that unless the Turkish Air Force left
    the scene within half an hour he would order the massacre of the
    entire Turkish Cypriot population."

    The Turkish Cypriots have long been terrorized by such organizations
    as the EOKA (Ethniki Organosis Kypriakon Agoniston -- National
    Organization of Cypriot Fighters) and other smaller paramilitary
    groups and victimized by such ideologies as Hellenizing the entire
    island and uniting with Greece. Interestingly, however, the hitherto
    Turkish Cypriot leaderships and Ankara in part have continued to
    stand pathetically apologetic. What is even more problematic is that
    none of the Turkish Cypriot leaders has ever voiced the Turkish
    Cypriots' rightful claims over the territories in the south, from
    where their forefathers were forced out. It is difficult, or maybe
    not, to understand why former Turkish Cypriot leader DenktaÅ~_ had
    never made the demand for reparations by the Greek Cypriots a part
    of his political discourse; his very hometown was Paphos, a small
    town on the western coast of southern Cyprus, where his forefathers
    had been persecuted.

    In the end, it is more obvious today than ever that in a conflict
    involving different ethno-religious groups no long-term solution is
    even possible without mutual acknowledgement of the tragedies the
    parties inflicted on one another. In this regard, both Greek and
    Turkish Cypriots should be bold enough to investigate their common
    past and be ready to accommodate the demands of the other side for
    their losses. After all, what do they have to fear if they have not
    done anything wrong?

    *Mehmet Kalyoncu is an international relations analyst and author of
    the book "A Civilian Response to Ethno-Religious Conflict: The Gulen
    Movement in Southeast Turkey."
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