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Robert Kocharyan's "Right Hand" Steps Up Activities: Weekly Review

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  • Robert Kocharyan's "Right Hand" Steps Up Activities: Weekly Review

    ROBERT KOCHARYAN'S "RIGHT HAND" STEPS UP ACTIVITIES: WEEKLY REVIEW

    News.am
    14:22 / 09/26/2009

    Domestic policy

    On September 21, Armenia marked the next Independence Day. Eighteen
    years ago, amid active disintegration processes and the inevitable
    collapse of the USSR, most Armenian citizens voted for Armenia's
    secession from the Soviet Union. This year's celebrations have
    been quite modest, bad weather, with constant heavy rains, being
    a contributory factor. No military parade had initially been
    planned (the last parade was held three years ago, when the 15th
    anniversary of Armenia's Independence was celebrated), which,
    however, would not have been out of place in the context of the
    warlike statements regularly made by official Baku. The authorities
    only held a solemn reception at the RA presidential residence and
    presented government awards. As regards the chief opposition force
    led by Levon Ter-Petrosyan, it was even denied a hall designed for
    more than 150 people for a traditional holiday party. As a result,
    several hundred oppositionists had to gather in the pouring rain
    in front of the monument to Martiros Saryan, a traditional place
    for daily "political festivities". Ter-Petrosyan invited his most
    ardent supporters to the Central Office of the Armenian National
    Congress (ANC) and made a short congratulatory speech. In outline,
    Armenia marked the 18th anniversary of its independence amid domestic
    political confrontation and intense debate over the Armenian-Turkish
    rapprochement and Nagorno-Karabakh peace processes.

    Vartan Oskanian, who was RA Foreign Minister under President Robert
    Kocharyan, has stepped up his activities, which is of interest in the
    context of not only appraisals of the Armenian-Turkish rapprochement
    process, but also of their domestic political importance. It is common
    knowledge that Oskanian is Robert Kocharyan's "right hand." Most
    likely he coordinates his actions with Armenia's second president. The
    reasonable conclusion is that Oskanian's tone, which is getting sharper
    and sharper, is actually attempts to probe into public opinion as to
    the possibility of Robert Kocharyan's return to big politics amid the
    discontent with President Serzh Sargsyan's foreign policy voiced by
    some representatives of the ruling elite and of electorate. It should
    be noted, however, that Oskanian's statements may produce effect on
    some high-ranking and junior officials "done out of their share" by
    Serzh Sargsyan, whereas most people are hardly likely "to give ear"
    to the ex-official. All his statements on the necessity for a wave of
    public protest against the Armenian-Turkish Protocols "smash into" the
    fact of his own active involvement in the suppression of post-election
    rallies last year, particularly in the tragic events on March 1-2,
    2008. Vartan Oskanian must be the unhappiest candidate for calling
    on the public to rise.

    The disfavored oligarch Khachatur Sukiasyan, who resigned from
    Parliament, went to Germany "for his health." We have no information
    on his health problems, but the authorities let him go though he
    had earlier been released on his own recognizance. It was common
    knowledge that the opposition oligarch had set up a large business
    in Germany. The question remains: will Khachatur Sukisyan return to
    Armenia or the rumors about his bargain with the Armenian authorities,
    "freedom for abandoning politics", will prove true? Anyway, he did not
    attend the Opposition rally on September 18: an hour before he had
    been summoned to the special investigation group to be interrogated
    for several hours. Nor did Mr. Sukiasyan hold a press conference
    announced immediately after he was released. Now we have to wait
    for further developments and for whether the oligarch will return to
    Armenia in two or three weeks, as his office claims.

    In turn, Hakob Hakobyan, one more supporter of the ANC leader, is
    once again running for Parliament in the December 6 by-election in
    election district #8 in Yerevan. Although Hakobyan was amnestied,
    a court verdict returned on him took force, which meant he was
    to be unseated. Now, the big businessman, who defected to the
    Opposition camp during the latest presidential election, decided to
    "displease" the authorities by "being in their way" to carrying their
    own candidate. With the election process in the Malatiya-Sebastiya
    community and an opposition candidate's participation considered,
    the election campaign in election district #8 is expected to be a
    "noisy" one.

    Nagorno-Karabakh peace p The Armenian Revolutionary Federation
    (ARF) continues its actions of protest against the Armenian-Turkish
    Protocols. It should be noted that, in contrast to similar actions
    held by the opposition Miatsum (Unification) movement, the police
    do not come into conflict with the ARF representatives, who "hold
    hours-long concerts" in font of the Government and the RA Foreign
    Office. Although the party claims it has collected tens of thousands
    of signatures against the ratification of the Protocols, the action
    does not evoke a wide public response: in the daytime, the highest
    number of participants in the hunger-strike and sit-in is 70,
    with no more than 15 "being on duty" at night. The founder of the
    Heritage Party Raffi Hovhannisyan and the leader of the New Times
    Party Aram Karapetyan gave "certain impetus" to the ARF's actions
    of protest by joining the signature-gathering campaign. However,
    as has been noted before, with the ANC, the only force capable of
    organizing mass actions of protest, refusing to hold rallies now,
    all the other actions of protest are like a voice in the wilderness.

    The Heritage Party advanced an initiative, which, however, is most
    unlikely to "win the addressee's favor." The party proposed that
    Chairman of the RA Constitutional Court (CC) Gagik Harutyunyan
    organize a hearing of the constitutionality of the Armenian-Turkish
    Protocols. However, since the CC scarcely ever makes any decisions
    against the authorities' will, the CC Chairman can hardly be expected
    to give a favorable response to the party's initiative.

    Vartan Oskanian, Armenia's foreign minister under President Robert
    Kocharyan, has harshly criticized the Armenian-Turkish Protocols,
    stating their signing is unacceptable. Seeking to wreck the Armenian
    authorities' efforts to normalize the Armenian-Turkish relations,
    the former top-ranking official went as far as to comparing them
    to Armenia's relations with other countries, particularly with
    Georgia. Oskanian pointed out it was not until recent times that the
    demarcation of the Armenian-Georgian border got under way, and drew
    attention to Armenia's good relations with its northern neighbor. The
    former Armenian foreign minister referred to the experience of many
    European countries having territorial problems along with normal trade
    and economic relations. He thus tried to argue for the unacceptability
    of the point on the inviolability of frontiers incorporated in
    the initialed Armenian-Turkish Protocols. Without dwelling of the
    argument over the equity of the statements, we cannot but point out a
    rather "peculiar" starting point of Vartan Oskanian. What is another
    possible designation of an attempt to compare such a serious issue
    as Armenian-Turkish relations to Armenia's cooperation with other
    countries - an attempt made by an experienced politician? If we
    remember the fact that most school textbooks in Turkey still stir up
    hatred for the Armenians, while the Georgian Public Television calls
    on Armenians not let their children lose the opportunity to attend
    Armenian schools, Oskanian's comparison is really "great." The only
    thing that remains is to find out the aim of the statements.

    Top-ranking Turkish officials have been active this week as well. They
    held numerous meetings during the 64th General Assembly of the United
    Nations in New York and discussed the normalization of Armenian-Turkish
    relations. Turkish Prime Minister Recep Erdogan and Foreign Minister
    Ahmet Davudoglu have lately made statements in a slightly difference
    vein: they have not mentioned the need for "vacating the occupied
    territories" of Azerbaijan before the Armenian-Turkish border is
    reopened. Talking to journalists, Minister Davudoglu stated that
    Turkey continues its policy of cooperation and zero problems toward
    its neighbors. As regards the Nagorno-Karabakh problem, the Minister
    did not single it out from the entire context of the stabilization in
    the South Caucasus. Turkish Premier Recep Erdogan restrained his ardor
    as well: although embellished by Azeri mass media, his statements
    only contain hope for intensified efforts in the Nagorno-Karabakh
    peace process, without any mention of Azerbaijan's territories
    "occupied" by Armenia. One can easily notice that the Turkish leaders'
    "whereabouts" often account for changes in their rhetoric: they made
    rather strongly-worded statements a few days before leaving for New
    York. However, as soon as they set their feet on the soil of one of the
    principal mediators in the Armenian-Turkish rapprochement, they became
    much more careful about words. This must be another manifestation of
    Turkey's cunning diplomacy: despite the obvious fact that the initialed
    Protocols can by no mean be amended before they are finally signed,
    Turkey is trying to get new concessions from Armenia.

    Economy and social life

    At its sitting the Armenian Government approved the order of granting
    economic (tax, customs, etc..) benefits under a framework agreement
    between Armenia and the Committee of European Communities. The benefits
    include exemption from VAT, exemption of imported products from customs
    duties, exemption of nonresident organizations from profit taxes,
    etc.. The Government also approved the results of contests held on
    the WB-allocated funds under an irrigation system renovation program.

    We would remind you that the Armenian Government and the World Bank
    signed a credit agreement in Yerevan on July 31. Under the program,
    irrigation canals in Talin and Armavir are to be renovated.

    At its sitting the RA State Commission for Economic Competition
    discussed its 2010 program of action. Commission Chairman Ashot
    Shahnazaryan reported that the Commission would take tougher measures
    against economic entities abusing heir market positions and simplify
    the methods of appraising economic entities' activities.

    Head of the RA Supervisory Chamber Ishkhan Zakaryan has shown an
    unexpected tendency in his behavior. Over the past year each of his
    news conferences was marked by "sensational exposures" of economic
    entities' financial activities, whereas he looked good-natured
    the last time. He said that relevant measures were taken revealed
    financial violations in government agencies in 2007-2008. Zakaryan
    made that statement while presenting the financial reports of the RA
    Civil Aviation Department, Ministry of Justice, Ministry of Finance,
    Ministry of Sport and Youth Affairs and the Social Investment Fund. The
    only question remains: what is the nature of the Supervisory Chamber's
    activities: actual struggle against corruption, which made officials
    honest workers, intimidation or the relevant materials may unexpectedly
    "come to light" in the future.

    Transparency International released a new report, which points out
    an extremely high corruption level in Armenia. According to the
    report, corruption has affected all the spheres of the country's
    life. Corruption takes such forms as mass bribery, political and social
    pressure, which seriously impedes Armenia's economic progress. The
    part dealing with Armenia specifically mentions the "misfortunes"
    that befell the Royal Armenia Company and the Gala TV channel.

    Amid the global crisis, "out of season", the European Union (EU)
    set 5-year additional duties, up to 30%, for aluminum foil from
    China, Brazil and Armenia, to assist European producers, primarily
    the Polish Grupa Kety SA, in competing with the cheap import. The
    Chinese, Brazilian and Armenian producers exported their products to 27
    European countries at below-cost prices thereby practicing dumping. As
    a result, the Bloomberg agency reported, such companies as Novelis
    (Great Britain), Symetal Aluminium Foil Industry SA (Greece) and
    Alcomet (Bulgaria) sustained losses. The EU levied a duty of 17.6%
    on the products of Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio and of any other
    Brazilian companies, 13.4% on the products of ARMENAL (subsidiary
    of RUSAL, Russia), and 30% on any foil exports from China. The EU
    accepted the Brazilian companies' offer to raise prices in exchange
    for exemption from antidumping duties, whereas it declined a similar
    offer made by ARMENAL.

    The CE Ministers' Council released a report on the national minorities'
    languages in Armenia. The report is not free from bias. The European
    officials pointed out the complete lack of TV or radio broadcasts
    in national minorities' languages. However, for apparently political
    reasons, they did not list the Russian language, which is not only the
    mother tongue one of the national minorities, but also the language
    spoken by many thousands of Armenians. The Council demanded that the
    Armenian authorities ensure broadcasting in the Assyrian, Kurdish
    and Yezid languages, whereas they did not say a single word about
    the Russian language taken off the air. We hope that the Armenian
    authorities will give ear to the European officials' demands and
    come to realize the necessity for Russian-language broadcasts on the
    Government-financed TV channel - so as not to "be unfair" to one of
    the largest national communities, to say nothing of tens of thousands
    Russian-speaking Armenians. There is no better way of reducing overseas
    media's influence on them, is there?
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