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BAKU: American Analyst Speaks Of The Contradictions Between Armenian

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  • BAKU: American Analyst Speaks Of The Contradictions Between Armenian

    AMERICAN ANALYST SPEAKS OF THE CONTRADICTIONS BETWEEN ARMENIAN DIASPORA AND YEREVAN

    Today
    http://www.today.az/news/politics/6 6563.html
    April 22 2010
    Azerbaijan

    Day.Az interviews Jason Katz, principal of the Tool Shed Group,
    a US-based consultancy that advises foreign governments.

    How can agreements between Obama and Medvedev in Prague influence
    the post-Soviet area and regional problems?

    The reduction of nuclear weapons stockpiles of the US and the Russian
    Federation is certainly a positive development. It contributes to
    the stability of the region, in general, and that of the entire world.

    I do have, at least, some hope that this will usher in renewed
    US engagement in the region. Far too long has the US abdicated its
    Clinton-era promises and successes in the region. One large and overly
    ambitious power amongst many others serves the needs and interests
    of no one.

    The reality is that the US, for the sake of NATO operations in
    Afghanistan and global energy diversity and security, needs to take
    a more Clintonian position and tack. The US will continue to ignore
    the region at its own peril and to its own detriment.

    I will only add that I am supremely confused by the Obama
    Administration's decision not to invite Azerbaijan to the proceedings
    in Washington DC. The snubbing Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
    Netanyahu and President Obama's failure to meet with Georgian President
    Mikail Saakashvili was also rather bizarre. It makes me wonder who
    the Administration perceives as friends.

    The Karabakh problem was discussed during the recent visit of
    the Turkish prime-minister to US. What do you expect from these
    negotiations in this regard?

    The fact that Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan has made it clear that
    the issues of Nagorno Karabakh and the normalization of relations
    between Turkey and Armenia are inseparable is a sound move for all
    concerned. The two issues are, in fact, inextricably linked and any
    delinking of the issues poses the distinct possibility of destabilizing
    the entire region.

    I believe that Prime Minster Erdogan will make the case while in
    the US and I am hopeful that the message will be heard. The Obama
    Administration seems to be coming to terms with the gravity of the
    issues involved. I am hopeful that we will soon see a commitment by
    the Administration to foster a comprehensive approach to solving the
    issues at hand.

    It seems that there are significant differences in the Armenian
    Diaspora's and Republic of Armenia's approaches to the Karabakh
    problem and relations with Turkey. It's clear, that the settlement of
    the Karabakh problem is good for Armenia, which is in deep crisis. So
    how can you explain persistence of Diaspora in this issue?

    The agenda of the Republic of Armenia and the Armenian Diaspora are
    for the most part different, as odd as that sounds. The Armenian
    Diaspora wants no part of rapprochement with Turkey or peace with
    Azerbaijan. This is a community that has, unfortunately, lost sight
    of the fact that they started out supporting Armenia. Now, it is
    preoccupied with the recognition of whatever happened a hundred years
    ago and destabilizing the South Caucasus by keeping Azerbaijani lands
    under occupation.

    Clearly, normalization of relations with Azerbaijan and Turkey is a
    prerequisite to Armenia becoming a true independent nation. Whether
    the leadership of Armenia is able to broadcast it openly or not,
    I believe that they are coming to the realization that bringing
    Armenia out of the Third World and into the prosperity of the rest
    of the region is directly linked to rapprochement with Turkey and
    the return of occupied Azerbaijani territories.

    What should be done to prevent negative influence of Armenian Diaspora
    on Armenia?

    This is a process. The Armenian Diaspora has had ownership of all
    the issues associated with the Republic of Armenia for years. It
    is only recently that the issues and Armenia as a nation have come
    into the light, of course as a result of the increasingly robust
    public diplomacy program of Azerbaijan and potential normalization
    with Turkey.

    Public diplomacy is an educational process. There are those in the
    US government who will never see the issues accurately, as they
    are tied to their voters. However, there are increasing numbers of
    elected officials and policy makers who are not buying the Armenian
    Diaspora's narrative any longer. It takes a concerted effort by all
    parties to educate accurately.
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