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Yerevan Suspends Reconciliation Process With Turkey

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  • Yerevan Suspends Reconciliation Process With Turkey

    YEREVAN SUSPENDS RECONCILIATION PROCESS WITH TURKEY
    Marianna Grigoryan

    EurasiaNet
    April 22 2010
    NY

    Two days before Armenia commemorates Ottoman Turkey's World War I-era
    slayings of ethnic Armenians, President Serzh Sargsyan on April 22
    called on Armenia's parliament to "suspend" the process to ratify
    reconciliation protocols with Turkey.

    Sargyan described the current stage of relations with Turkey as
    "exhausted." A senior Armenian politician, meanwhile, indicated that
    the agreement may be recalled from parliament.

    In a televised speech to the nation, Sargsyan, who has long backed
    normalizing ties with Turkey, took issue with what he termed
    "preconditions" set by Ankara for a peace deal with Armenia. These
    preconditions, the president contended, caused the process to stall.

    "Preconditions" refers primarily to recent comments made by Turkish
    Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who indicated that Turkey would
    not normalize relations with Armenia unless Yerevan made progress in
    peace negotiations with Turkish ally Azerbaijan concerning the future
    of Nagorno-Karabakh. [For background see EurasiaNet's archive].

    "Armenia shall retain her signature under the protocols because we
    desire to maintain the existing momentum for normalizing relations,
    because we desire peace," a transcript of the speech published on
    Sargsyan's presidential website stated. "Our political objective
    of normalizing relations between Armenia and Turkey remains valid,
    and we shall consider moving forward when we are convinced that there
    is a proper environment in Turkey, and there is leadership in Ankara
    ready to re-engage in the normalization process."

    Armenia's governing coalition - Sargsyan's Republican Party of Armenia,
    the Prosperous Armenia Party and Orinats Yerkir (Rule of Law) Party
    -- earlier in the day declared that Turkey's refusal to ratify the
    agreement "without preconditions" means that "there's no sense in
    further continuing the process of their ratification at this stage"
    in Armenia's National Assembly.

    Republican Party of Armenia spokesperson Eduard Sharmazanov told
    EurasiaNet.org that the April 22 announcement does not signal a break
    with the normalization process in full. "We are not withdrawing from
    the process; we are waiting for a real answer from Turkey -- yes
    or no, but not an imitation [of real steps toward reconciliation],"
    Sharmazanov said.

    The chair of parliament's European Integration Parliamentary Committee,
    Naira Zohrabian, told EurasiaNet.org that President Sargsyan's recent
    meetings with coalition leaders suggest that the protocols will be
    recalled from the National Assembly. Zohrabian, who is also a senior
    member of the Prosperous Armenia Party, did not elaborate.

    A Turkish Foreign Ministry spokesperson told reporters in Ankara
    that Turkish leaders were considering how to respond to Sargsyan's
    announcement. Prime Minister Erdogan later repeated Turkey's commitment
    to the reconciliation process.

    Sharmazanov claimed that the international community will understand
    Armenia's move. He suggested that the Turkish position had the
    indirect effect of complicating efforts by the United States, Russia
    and France, the three co-chairs of the Minsk Group, to make progress
    in the Karabakh peace process. [For background see the Eurasia
    Insight archive].

    "I think the international community will interpret our step as
    normal since the Armenian side does not recall its signature [of the
    protocols], but rather suspends the process," Sharmazanov asserted.

    "In this case, Turkey has no way to escape."

    One Yerevan-based analyst questioned the government's logic. "Trying
    to correct a mistake through another mistake is wrong," said Tatul
    Hakobyan, and analyst with the Civilitas Foundation and a former
    journalist who has written extensively on the Karabakh war.

    "The Armenian side shouldn't have removed discussion of the protocols
    from the National Assembly agenda, but should have left them there to
    turn into dust," Hakobyan said. "Now the Turks will start to blame
    Armenia for spoiling the [reconciliation] process, while Armenia
    won't be able to persuade the international community that it's not
    Armenia's fault the process didn't succeed."

    Suren Surenyants, a senior member of the political board of the
    opposition Republic Party, also believes the international community
    may react negatively to Armenia's move. Though senior Turkish officials
    have repeatedly made statements about "preconditions," the Turkish
    side never declared it had suspended parliamentary discussion of the
    protocols, he noted.

    "Yerevan was the first to voice this statement," Surenyants said.

    "Actually, the Turkish authorities achieved their aim by driving
    Armenia to take an irrational position. It turns out now that not
    only Turkey, but the Yerevan government as well puts preconditions
    [on the deal by] stipulating ratification of the protocols based only
    on Turkey's position."

    A more understandable move for the international community would
    be if Armenia had allowed the vote on the protocols to proceed and
    succeed or fail based on the agreement's own merits, he added.

    Zohrabian said the Prosperous Armenia Party would have responded
    negatively to any National Assembly decision to ratify the agreement.

    "I think the coalition made a very correct move by suspending the
    process," Zohrabian said. "This is a political break for Turkey to
    determine its position, whether it wants to follow a civilized path,
    or whether it prefers irresponsible declarations and reckless schemes."
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