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  • `Building air defense shield in Azerbaijan in Russia's interests'

    Russia Today
    July 30 2010


    ROAR: `Building air defense shield in Azerbaijan is in Russia's interests'

    Published 30 July, 2010, 16:11

    Russia's arms exporter denies selling S-300 air defense systems to
    Azerbaijan, as the contract on supplying such weapons to Iran remains
    in limbo.


    Propeller Russian state arms exporter Rosoboronexport has denied a
    Vedomosti daily report that the company has sold S-300 surface-to-air
    missile systems to Azerbaijan. The business paper speculated the
    company would supply S-300 systems to arm two battalions according to
    a deal allegedly signed in 2009.


    The alleged contract is being implemented and may be fulfilled in a
    year or two, the paper said, citing a top manager of a company
    producing S-300 components. The deal, worth at least $300 million,
    would be the most expensive one-time purchase of new armaments made by
    a former Soviet republic, the editor of online magazine Moscow Defense
    Brief, Mikhail Barabanov told Vedomosti.

    However, Rosoboronexport spokesman Vyacheslav Davidenko told Interfax
    the company knows `nothing about any such contract.' Azerbaijani
    officials also said they did not have information on this issue.

    The information on selling the system to Azerbaijan has sparked a new
    round of speculations in the media about the same contract with Iran,
    which is still in limbo. According to the deal signed in 2005, Russia
    should supply Iran with five S-300 systems. But its implementation has
    been delayed, as analysts say, for political reasons.

    There were reports in the media that the new UN Security Council's
    sanctions against Tehran would block the deal. Nevertheless, the
    contract between Russia and Iran has not been cancelled, Sergey
    Chemezov, the head of Rostekhnologii company, said on July 15. The
    final decision on signing or dropping the contract `must be the
    president's decision,' RIA Novosti quoted him as saying.

    Iranian officials have said Russia should fulfill its obligations and
    hinted Iran may otherwise try to produce its own missile systems. Some
    analysts predicted that if the contract is not fulfilled, Tehran could
    turn to China as its main arms supplier.

    Relations between Russia and Iran have deteriorated after Moscow
    joined the UN Security Council's sanctions against Tehran. The Iranian
    leadership has said it would be unwise for Russia to support the US's
    moves.

    However, on July 27, Russia criticized unilateral European Union
    sanctions imposed against Iran's energy sector. Moscow considers
    `unacceptable' the practice of unilateral or collective sanctions that
    go beyond the Security Council measures, the Russian Foreign Ministry
    said.

    Although the information about the deal between Russia and Azerbaijan
    has not been confirmed, some analysts believe Baku may become an
    important factor in the Iranian nuclear issue.

    Azerbaijan is modernizing its armed forces, they note. The former
    Soviet republic had advanced air defense systems. At the same time,
    many observers believe the purchase of S-300 systems would not change
    the balance of forces between Azerbaijan and Armenia. The two
    countries are at loggerheads over the breakaway Nagorny Karabakh
    region.

    But if the S-300 deal took place, Baku could use S-300 to defend its
    air space from a possible `attack' from Iran, observers say. However,
    they stress such a possibility is not practicable.

    Russia had already proposed to the US the use of the Gabala radar
    station in Azerbaijan. And for the US, relations with Baku have always
    been `more important' than with Tbilisi,' Caucasus analyst Vigen
    Akopyan told Regnum news agency.

    If fears about the Iranian nuclear program are confirmed, then
    building an air defense shield in Azerbaijan is in Russia's interests,
    the analyst stressed.

    However, another Armenian analyst, Ruben Megrabyan, believes the
    alleged supply of the S-300 to Azerbaijan could really change the
    balance of forces between Baku and Yerevan. He also described the
    Iranian threat to Azerbaijan as `mythical.'

    The information on the deal appeared before the visit of the Russian
    president to Armenia for the summit of the Collective Security Treaty
    Organization, and Yerevan should demand explanations from Russia, the
    analyst told Regnum.

    Aleksandr Khramchikhin of the Institute of Political and Military
    Analysis also stressed it would be difficult `to imagine a direct war
    between Azerbaijan and Iran. The possible contract on purchasing S-300
    should rather be considered in the context of Azerbaijani-Armenian
    relations, he told Prime Tass news agency. However, Armenia does not
    have `planes to be shot down by S-300,' he noted.

    Some observers, however, call the alleged contract between Moscow and
    Baku `a normal thing.' Russia is a big arms supplier, and it sells
    weapons both to Azerbaijan and Armenia, Tatul Akopyan of the Civilitas
    analytical center said.

    `The strategic partnership should not affect the co-operation with
    third countries,' he was quoted by Armenia Today news agency as
    saying. `From this point of view, I consider Russia's position
    `acceptable.'

    The Council of Defense Ministers of CIS States recently discussed the
    development of the integrated air defense system. Currently Armenia,
    Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and
    Ukraine are involved in this project. All the former Soviet republics
    strongly depend on Russia's supplies in the air defense sphere.

    Sergey Borisov,
    Russian Opinion and Analysis Review, RT




    From: A. Papazian
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